Dallas Stars Dallas Stars @ San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
Thursday, December 18, 2025 | 10:00 PM ET | SAP Center, San Jose, CA | ESPN+
Spread
DAL -1.5 (+140) / SJ +1.5 (-165)
Total
O/U 6.5
Moneyline
DAL -175 / SJ +150
Records
DAL 22-7-5 | SJ 17-14-3

The Stars Invade the Tank: Dallas Dominance Meets Celebrini's Rise

The Dallas Stars (22-7-5) travel to SAP Center to face a San Jose Sharks team (17-14-3) that is quietly putting together a solid season behind rookie phenom Macklin Celebrini. Dallas sits in second place in the Western Conference with 49 points, while San Jose occupies eighth place with 37 points. This is the second of three meetings between these teams this season, with Dallas winning the first matchup earlier in December.

Dallas is rolling. The Stars beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-1 in their last game and have established themselves as one of the NHL's elite teams this season. With Mikko Rantanen leading the team with 44 points (14 goals, 30 assists) tied for sixth in the league, and Jason Robertson adding 40 points including 20 goals, the Stars have a lethal top six that can score in bunches. Their balanced attack makes them dangerous every night.

But San Jose is no pushover. The Sharks have won three straight games, including a dominant 6-3 victory over the Calgary Flames where Celebrini erupted for 4 points (2 goals, 2 assists). The 18-year-old rookie is making a case for the Calder Trophy with 51 points (18 goals, 33 assists) in 34 games, ranking third in the entire NHL in scoring. Yes, you read that right. A teenager is outscoring almost everyone in the league.

The head-to-head history heavily favors Dallas. The Sharks have lost their last 7 games against the Stars, and Roope Hintz has been a Sharks killer with 11 points (6 goals, 5 assists) in 12 career games against San Jose. He enters this game riding a six-game point streak versus the Sharks. When Dallas plays San Jose, good things happen for the Stars.

KEY INJURIES

Dallas Stars: Tyler Seguin (OUT - Season) - ACL surgery. The veteran center's absence is a significant blow to Dallas's depth, but the Stars have managed well without him.

San Jose Sharks: Ty Dellandrea (Questionable) - Upper-body injury. Day-to-day status for the forward.


The Star Power: Two Explosive Attacks

Dallas Stars (22-7-5)
Mikko Rantanen - RW
44 points (14 G, 30 A) in 33 games
Tied for 6th in NHL scoring
Elite playmaker, power play quarterback
+15 plus/minus rating
Jason Robertson - LW
40 points (20 G, 20 A)
20 goals = 8th in NHL
Elite goal-scorer, deadly in slot
Robertson-Hintz duo dominant
Roope Hintz - C
6-game point streak vs Sharks
11 pts (6 G, 5 A) in 12 career games vs SJ
200-foot game, physical presence
San Jose's worst nightmare
Team Statistics
49 points (2nd in Western Conference)
Beat LA Kings 4-1 last game
Strong two-way game, elite goaltending
7-game win streak vs San Jose
San Jose Sharks (17-14-3)
Macklin Celebrini - C (Rookie)
51 points (18 G, 33 A) in 34 games
3RD IN NHL SCORING
3-game point streak (8 pts: 3 G, 5 A)
4-point game vs Calgary (2 G, 2 A)
Calder Trophy frontrunner
Team Form
WON 3 STRAIGHT GAMES
Beat Calgary 6-3 in last game
37 points (8th in Western Conference)
Building around Celebrini working
The Problem
LOST 7 STRAIGHT vs Dallas
Roope Hintz owns them (11 pts in 12 games)
Lost first meeting this season
Mental block against the Stars?

Macklin Celebrini is special. The No. 1 overall pick from the 2024 draft has exceeded every expectation, and calling him a "generational talent" doesn't feel like hyperbole anymore. At 18 years old, he's outscoring veterans who have been in the league for a decade. His 51 points in 34 games would project to a 123-point pace over a full 82-game season. That's absurd for any player, let alone a rookie.

The Sharks have built their entire identity around Celebrini this season, and it's working better than anyone expected. San Jose was supposed to be tanking, fighting for another high draft pick. Instead, they're in a playoff spot through sheer force of Celebrini's will. His 3-game point streak has seen him pile up 8 points, and he just dropped a 4-point bomb on Calgary. When Celebrini is on, the Sharks can beat anyone.

But then there's the Dallas problem. The Sharks haven't beaten the Stars in SEVEN straight games. That's a two-year streak of futility against one opponent. Roope Hintz has turned into a San Jose specialist, seemingly scoring at will every time these teams meet. At some point, you have to wonder if there's a mental block. Can Celebrini be the one to finally break the curse?


Betting Analysis: Fade the Streak or Ride the Wave?

The moneyline sits at Dallas -175, San Jose +150. That feels about right for a road favorite against a team on a hot streak, but the history between these teams suggests Dallas should be laying even more. Seven straight wins against San Jose is not a coincidence. The Stars have San Jose's number, and Hintz owns the Sharks.

The total of 6.5 is interesting. Both teams can score: the Sharks just put up 6 against Calgary, and Dallas has the firepower to match. Celebrini is red-hot, and the Stars have multiple 40+ point scorers. If both goalies have average nights, this could easily hit the over. But Dallas also plays excellent defense when they need to, which is why they're 22-7-5.

The spread of Dallas -1.5 (+140) offers value if you believe in the Stars' dominance. Their seven-game win streak against San Jose includes several multi-goal victories. When Dallas beats the Sharks, they typically beat them convincingly. If the Stars are on their game, -1.5 should cover.

KEY BETTING FACTORS

Dallas dominance: Stars have won 7 STRAIGHT vs San Jose

Roope Hintz: 11 points (6 G, 5 A) in 12 career games vs Sharks, 6-game point streak vs SJ

Celebrini factor: 51 pts (3rd in NHL), 8 pts in last 3 games, 4-pt game vs Calgary

San Jose form: Won 3 straight, but 0-7 in last 7 vs Dallas

Dallas form: Beat LA Kings 4-1, 2nd in West with 49 pts


Keys To Victory

For Dallas to win: Let Hintz do what he does against San Jose. The center has been dominant in this matchup for years, and the Stars should run their offense through him early and often. Contain Celebrini the best you can, force other Sharks to beat you, and trust the process that's worked for seven straight games against this opponent. Dallas doesn't need to reinvent the wheel here. Play their game, control the pace, and the wins will keep coming.

For San Jose to win: Macklin Celebrini needs to have the best game of his young career. The Sharks have to break the mental block against Dallas, and their franchise cornerstone is the only player capable of doing it. San Jose needs to embrace the home ice advantage at SAP Center, feed Celebrini early, and let him take over. If the rookie can match or outplay the Stars' top line, the Sharks can finally end this losing streak. Play fast, play physical, and give Celebrini space to create.


Final Thoughts

This is a fascinating clash of narratives. On one side, you have the Dallas Stars, a Stanley Cup contender with depth, experience, and a seven-game win streak against this opponent. On the other, you have the San Jose Sharks, a young team riding the wave of a generational rookie who is putting up numbers that defy belief.

The smart money says Dallas. Seven straight wins is not a fluke, and the Stars are the better team on paper. Hintz has proven he can dominate the Sharks, and Dallas's balanced attack is hard to contain. Tyler Seguin's absence hurts, but the Stars have enough firepower to cover.

But if you're looking for a sleeper, Celebrini gives you hope. The kid is special, and special players find ways to will their teams to victories they shouldn't get. San Jose is playing well, they're at home, and Celebrini is in the zone. At +150, the Sharks have value if you believe the rookie can finally break the curse.

Whatever happens, this is appointment viewing. Two of the NHL's most exciting offenses, a generational rookie against a loaded contender, and a seven-game losing streak begging to be snapped. Set your alarms for 10 PM ET. This one should be fun.