Thunder @ Mavericks
Wednesday, 7:30 PM ET | American Airlines Center
Here's the thing about the defending champion Thunder - they just don't lose. OKC rolls into Dallas at 22-3 with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander putting up MVP numbers every single night. The supporting cast is deep, the defense is elite, and the confidence is sky-high. This team knows they're the best in basketball.
Dallas has been maddeningly inconsistent at 12-14. Luka Doncic is still Luka - a one-man offensive system who can go for 40 any night. But the supporting cast hasn't gelled, and the defense has been atrocious. The Mavs rank bottom-five defensively and that's not going to fly against OKC's balanced attack.
The 6.5-point spread feels fair. Dallas is capable of keeping this close if Luka catches fire, but OKC's depth and defensive versatility should wear them down by the fourth quarter. Thunder win, and probably cover.