Raiders @ Gators

2025-12-21T17:00Z | Stephen C. O'Connell Center | SECN+
Line: FLA -27.5 | O/U: 155.5 | COLG: 6-5 | FLA: 7-4

Look, Florida's home court is one of the toughest environments in the SEC, and they're catching a Colgate team that's been up and down all season. The Gators at 7-4 aren't world-beaters, but they're a completely different animal at the O'Connell Center where they've been crushing opponents by double digits.

Colgate sits at 6-5, but here's the thing - the Patriot League schedule hasn't exactly prepared them for SEC physicality. The Raiders can shoot the three, no question, but Florida's length and athleticism is going to bother them on the perimeter. This is the kind of game where the talent gap shows up in the second half.

That 27.5-point spread is massive, don't get me wrong, but Florida's been blowing out inferior competition at home. The Gators have the depth to keep the pressure on for 40 minutes while Colgate's bench is thin. Expect Florida to pull away early and never look back.

Commodores @ Deacons

2025-12-21T18:00Z | LJVM Coliseum | The CW Network
Line: VAN -4.5 | O/U: 163.5 | VAN: 11-0 | WAKE: 9-3

This is the marquee matchup of the afternoon. Vanderbilt is 11-0 and rolling, and they've earned every bit of that undefeated record. Mark Byington has this Commodores squad playing with incredible confidence and cohesion. They're not just winning - they're dominating, and the four-and-a-half point spread feels disrespectful to a team that hasn't lost.

Wake Forest at 9-3 is no slouch though. The Demon Deacons have been solid at home in the LJVM Coliseum, and they've got the offensive firepower to hang with anyone. This is going to be a shootout - that 163.5 total tells you the books expect points, and I don't disagree.

Here's what I love about this spot: Vandy has been tested all season and passed every time. They've got the backcourt depth to handle Wake's pressure, and their defense has been stifling against better competition than this. The Commodores are for real, and this is the kind of road win that announces them as a legitimate national contender.

Owls @ Tide

2025-12-21T19:00Z | Propst Arena | SECN+
Line: ALA -21.5 | O/U: 182.5 | KENN: 8-3 | ALA: 8-3

Don't let the identical 8-3 records fool you - this is a massive mismatch. Alabama is an SEC powerhouse going through a down stretch, while Kennesaw State is an ASUN program that's exceeded expectations. The Tide are laying 21.5 points at home, and honestly, that might not be enough.

Nate Oats has Alabama playing uptempo basketball that wears down mid-major opponents. The Owls aren't built for 40 minutes of SEC pace and physicality. Kennesaw has done well against their conference competition, but they haven't seen athletes like what Bama puts on the floor every night.

The total at 182.5 is sky-high for a reason - Alabama wants to play fast and score in transition, and Kennesaw doesn't have the personnel to slow them down. This game is going to be in the 90s for Bama, and the question is just whether the Owls can score enough garbage time points to make it interesting.

Bulldogs @ Volunteers

2025-12-21T20:00Z | Food City Center | SECN+
Line: TENN -41.5 | O/U: 152.5 | GWEB: 2-12 | TENN: 8-3

I don't even know where to start with this one. Gardner-Webb is 2-12 and has been getting demolished all season, and now they're walking into the Food City Center against a Tennessee team that's been one of the most physical teams in the country. This is going to be ugly.

Rick Barnes has his Volunteers playing their trademark suffocating defense. Tennessee doesn't just beat teams - they break them. The 41.5-point spread is astronomical, but when you're dealing with a Big South program that can't guard anybody against SEC talent, these numbers happen.

Here's the reality: Gardner-Webb hasn't shown they can compete with anyone on their schedule, let alone a Top 25 caliber team. Tennessee's depth is going to wear them down, and by the second half, this turns into garbage time. The Vols should cover easily, and the under feels safe given how much Tennessee likes to grind possessions.

Explorers @ Wolverines

2025-12-21T21:00Z | Crisler Center | Peacock
Line: MICH -40.5 | O/U: 153.5 | LAS: 4-8 | MICH: 10-0

Michigan is undefeated and feeling themselves right now. The Wolverines are 10-0 under Dusty May, and they've been absolutely rolling through their non-conference schedule. La Salle at 4-8 is one of the weaker A-10 programs this year, and they're about to find out what Big Ten basketball feels like.

The 40.5-point spread is massive, but here's the thing - Michigan has been covering these big numbers all year. They've got shooters at every position, they defend at an elite level, and they're deep enough to keep running fresh legs at you for 40 minutes. La Salle doesn't have an answer for any of it.

Crisler Center is going to be rocking for this one. Michigan fans know they've got something special brewing, and they're going to bring the energy. The Explorers are walking into a buzzsaw, and this has the feel of a game that gets out of hand in the first ten minutes and never gets competitive.

Huskies @ Demons

2025-12-21T21:30Z | Wintrust Arena | FS1
Line: CONN -14.5 | O/U: 136.5 | CONN: 11-1 | DEP: 8-4

This is the Big East opener for both teams, and it's a fascinating matchup. UConn at 11-1 is looking to defend their back-to-back national championships, while DePaul at 8-4 is trying to prove they belong in the conversation this year. The 14.5-point spread feels about right for a road conference game.

Dan Hurley has this Huskies team playing at an elite level again. They lost one game early in the season and have been on a tear since. The defense is suffocating, the offense is efficient, and they've got the depth to wear teams down. DePaul hasn't seen anything like this yet.

Here's what I'm watching: DePaul's improved, no question. They've got some talent and they'll make UConn work for it at Wintrust Arena. But the Huskies have championship DNA and they know how to close games. This is the kind of spot where UConn pulls away late and covers going away.

Beach @ Cyclones

2025-12-21T23:00Z | Hilton Coliseum | ESPN+
Line: ISU -37.5 | O/U: 149.5 | LBSU: 3-9 | ISU: 11-0

Iowa State is undefeated and they're playing some of the best basketball in the country. T.J. Otzelberger has this Cyclones squad locked in defensively - they're one of the most efficient defensive teams in college basketball, and Long Beach State at 3-9 is about to learn that the hard way.

The 37.5-point spread is enormous, but here's what people forget: Iowa State doesn't just win at Hilton Coliseum, they dominate. The crowd is insane, the atmosphere is suffocating, and mid-major teams routinely get run out of the building. Long Beach hasn't beaten anyone of consequence all year.

This is a classic Big 12 tuneup game before conference play really heats up. Iowa State is going to use this as a warmup, and they're not going to take their foot off the gas. Expect the Cyclones to cover with room to spare - they've got too much on the line to let a team like this hang around.

Ducks @ Bulldogs

2025-12-21T23:00Z | Moda Center | Peacock
Line: GONZ -11.5 | O/U: 157.5 | ORE: 6-5 | GONZ: 11-1

This is a tasty matchup at the Moda Center in Portland. Gonzaga at 11-1 is rolling as usual under Mark Few, while Oregon at 6-5 is still trying to find their identity in their first Big Ten season. The Zags are 11.5-point favorites, and that feels about right for a neutral site game between these programs.

Oregon's had an up-and-down year, but here's the thing - they've got talent and they can get hot from three. The Ducks are dangerous when they're clicking offensively, and a pseudo-home environment in Portland could give them a boost. This isn't going to be a cakewalk for Gonzaga.

That said, Gonzaga is Gonzaga. They've been to the tournament every year since 1999, and they know how to handle these big non-conference games. The Bulldogs have the experience edge, the coaching edge, and they're playing their best basketball right now. Look for Gonzaga to pull away in the second half and cover.

Hawks @ Cornhuskers

2025-12-22T01:00Z | Pinnacle Bank Arena | BTN
Line: NEB -29.5 | O/U: 151.5 | UND: 5-9 | NEB: 11-0

Nebraska is 11-0 and having their best start in decades. Fred Hoiberg has finally got this Cornhuskers program rolling, and the energy at Pinnacle Bank Arena has been electric. North Dakota at 5-9 is walking into a buzzsaw, and that 29.5-point spread might not be big enough.

The Fighting Hawks are a Summit League program that's been struggling all year. They don't have the size or athleticism to hang with a Big Ten team playing their best basketball, and Nebraska's crowd is going to make every possession feel like a fight. This is a mismatch in every sense of the word.

Here's what I love about Nebraska in this spot: they've got something to prove. After years of being the Big Ten's doormat, they're finally relevant, and they're not going to let up against an inferior opponent. Hoiberg is going to keep his guys sharp for conference play, and that means covering big spreads like this one.