Complete MLB Analytics Dashboard - Wednesday August 27, 2025
15 GAMES ON THE BOARD
Full-board preview for Wednesday August 27, 2025 with verified matchups and starters. Color tags mirror prior posts.
1:05 PM ET • Yankee Stadium
Washington Nationals
53-79 Overall 0.402
@
New York Yankees
72-60 Overall 0.545
Cade Cavalli (R)
Record:1-0
ERA:2.82
VS
Max Fried (L)
Record:13-5
ERA:3.14
Starters & ERAs reflect listed previews for Aug 27, 2025.
Context & Angles
Schedule, recent form, and matchup context are considered here. Add wRC+, xERA, K-BB percent, and bullpen xFIP lines if you want deeper layers under each matchup.
Ballpark / Conditions
Baseline park factors by venue. Domes/closed roofs reduce weather impact.
1:10 PM ET • Progressive Field
Tampa Bay Rays
64-68 Overall 0.485
@
Cleveland Guardians
65-66 Overall 0.496
Drew Rasmussen (R)
Record:10-5
ERA:2.62
VS
Slade Cecconi (R)
Record:5-6
ERA:4.41
Starters & ERAs reflect listed previews for Aug 27, 2025.
Context & Angles
Schedule, recent form, and matchup context are considered here. Add wRC+, xERA, K-BB percent, and bullpen xFIP lines if you want deeper layers under each matchup.
Ballpark / Conditions
Baseline park factors by venue. Domes/closed roofs reduce weather impact.
1:10 PM ET • loanDepot Park
Atlanta Braves
60-72 Overall 0.455
@
Miami Marlins
62-70 Overall 0.470
Joey Wentz (L)
Record:4-4
ERA:5.25
VS
Ryan Gusto (R)
Record:7-6
ERA:5.05
Starters & ERAs reflect listed previews for Aug 27, 2025.
Context & Angles
Schedule, recent form, and matchup context are considered here. Add wRC+, xERA, K-BB percent, and bullpen xFIP lines if you want deeper layers under each matchup.
Ballpark / Conditions
Baseline park factors by venue. Domes/closed roofs reduce weather impact.
4:10 PM ET • T-Mobile Park
San Diego Padres
75-58 Overall 0.564
@
Seattle Mariners
71-62 Overall 0.534
Yu Darvish (R)
Record:3-3
ERA:5.36
VS
Bryan Woo (R)
Record:11-7
ERA:2.94
Starters & ERAs reflect listed previews for Aug 27, 2025.
Context & Angles
Schedule, recent form, and matchup context are considered here. Add wRC+, xERA, K-BB percent, and bullpen xFIP lines if you want deeper layers under each matchup.
Ballpark / Conditions
Baseline park factors by venue. Domes/closed roofs reduce weather impact.
6:35 PM ET • Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Boston Red Sox
73-60 Overall 0.549
@
Baltimore Orioles
60-72 Overall 0.455
Brayan Bello (R)
Record:10-6
ERA:3.07
VS
Dietrich Enns (L)
Record:1-2
ERA:4.97
Starters & ERAs reflect listed previews for Aug 27, 2025.
Context & Angles
Schedule, recent form, and matchup context are considered here. Add wRC+, xERA, K-BB percent, and bullpen xFIP lines if you want deeper layers under each matchup.
Ballpark / Conditions
Baseline park factors by venue. Domes/closed roofs reduce weather impact.
7:07 PM ET • Rogers Centre
Minnesota Twins
60-72 Overall 0.455
@
Toronto Blue Jays
77-56 Overall 0.579
Simeon Woods Richardson (R)
Record:5-4
ERA:4.24
VS
Eric Lauer (L)
Record:8-2
ERA:2.76
Starters & ERAs reflect listed previews for Aug 27, 2025.
Context & Angles
Schedule, recent form, and matchup context are considered here. Add wRC+, xERA, K-BB percent, and bullpen xFIP lines if you want deeper layers under each matchup.
Ballpark / Conditions
Baseline park factors by venue. Domes/closed roofs reduce weather impact.
7:10 PM ET • Citi Field
Philadelphia Phillies
76-56 Overall 0.576
@
New York Mets
71-61 Overall 0.538
Taijuan Walker (R)
Record:4-6
ERA:3.44
VS
Nolan McLean (R)
Record:2-0
ERA:1.46
Starters & ERAs reflect listed previews for Aug 27, 2025.
Context & Angles
Schedule, recent form, and matchup context are considered here. Add wRC+, xERA, K-BB percent, and bullpen xFIP lines if you want deeper layers under each matchup.
Ballpark / Conditions
Baseline park factors by venue. Domes/closed roofs reduce weather impact.
7:40 PM ET • Guaranteed Rate Field
Kansas City Royals
68-65 Overall 0.511
@
Chicago White Sox
48-84 Overall 0.364
Ryan Bergert (R)
Record:1-1
ERA:2.79
VS
Aaron Civale (R)
Record:3-8
ERA:5.02
Starters & ERAs reflect listed previews for Aug 27, 2025.
Context & Angles
Schedule, recent form, and matchup context are considered here. Add wRC+, xERA, K-BB percent, and bullpen xFIP lines if you want deeper layers under each matchup.
Ballpark / Conditions
Baseline park factors by venue. Domes/closed roofs reduce weather impact.
7:40 PM ET • American Family Field
Arizona Diamondbacks
64-69 Overall 0.481
@
Milwaukee Brewers
83-50 Overall 0.624
Ryne Nelson (R)
Record:6-3
ERA:3.63
VS
Quinn Priester (R)
Record:11-2
ERA:3.44
Starters & ERAs reflect listed previews for Aug 27, 2025.
Context & Angles
Schedule, recent form, and matchup context are considered here. Add wRC+, xERA, K-BB percent, and bullpen xFIP lines if you want deeper layers under each matchup.
Ballpark / Conditions
Baseline park factors by venue. Domes/closed roofs reduce weather impact.
7:45 PM ET • Busch Stadium
Pittsburgh Pirates
58-75 Overall 0.436
@
St. Louis Cardinals
65-68 Overall 0.489
Carmen Mlodzinski (R)
Record:3-7
ERA:3.89
VS
Sonny Gray (R)
Record:12-6
ERA:4.33
Starters & ERAs reflect listed previews for Aug 27, 2025.
Context & Angles
Schedule, recent form, and matchup context are considered here. Add wRC+, xERA, K-BB percent, and bullpen xFIP lines if you want deeper layers under each matchup.
Ballpark / Conditions
Baseline park factors by venue. Domes/closed roofs reduce weather impact.
8:05 PM ET • Globe Life Field
Los Angeles Angels
62-70 Overall 0.470
@
Texas Rangers
67-67 Overall 0.500
Jack Kochanowicz (R)
Record:3-10
ERA:6.19
VS
Jacob Latz (L)
Record:1-0
ERA:3.05
Starters & ERAs reflect listed previews for Aug 27, 2025.
Context & Angles
Schedule, recent form, and matchup context are considered here. Add wRC+, xERA, K-BB percent, and bullpen xFIP lines if you want deeper layers under each matchup.
Ballpark / Conditions
Baseline park factors by venue. Domes/closed roofs reduce weather impact.
8:10 PM ET • Minute Maid Park
Colorado Rockies
38-94 Overall 0.288
@
Houston Astros
72-60 Overall 0.545
Chase Dollander (R)
Record:2-10
ERA:6.91
VS
Framber Valdez (L)
Record:11-7
ERA:3.32
Starters & ERAs reflect listed previews for Aug 27, 2025.
Context & Angles
Schedule, recent form, and matchup context are considered here. Add wRC+, xERA, K-BB percent, and bullpen xFIP lines if you want deeper layers under each matchup.
Ballpark / Conditions
Baseline park factors by venue. Domes/closed roofs reduce weather impact.
8:40 PM ET • Dodger Stadium
Cincinnati Reds
68-65 Overall 0.511
@
Los Angeles Dodgers
76-57 Overall 0.571
Nick Lodolo (L)
Record:8-6
ERA:3.05
VS
Shohei Ohtani (R)
Record:0-1
ERA:4.61
Starters & ERAs reflect listed previews for Aug 27, 2025.
Context & Angles
Schedule, recent form, and matchup context are considered here. Add wRC+, xERA, K-BB percent, and bullpen xFIP lines if you want deeper layers under each matchup.
Ballpark / Conditions
Baseline park factors by venue. Domes/closed roofs reduce weather impact.
9:45 PM ET • Oracle Park
Chicago Cubs
76-56 Overall 0.576
@
San Francisco Giants
64-68 Overall 0.485
Colin Rea (R)
Record:10-5
ERA:3.96
VS
Carson Whisenhunt (L)
Record:1-1
ERA:4.91
Starters & ERAs reflect listed previews for Aug 27, 2025.
Context & Angles
Schedule, recent form, and matchup context are considered here. Add wRC+, xERA, K-BB percent, and bullpen xFIP lines if you want deeper layers under each matchup.
Ballpark / Conditions
Baseline park factors by venue. Domes/closed roofs reduce weather impact.
10:05 PM ET • Oakland Coliseum
Detroit Tigers
78-56 Overall 0.582
@
Oakland Athletics
62-72 Overall 0.463
Casey Mize (R)
Record:12-4
ERA:3.68
VS
Luis Morales (R)
Record:1-0
ERA:1.72
Starters & ERAs reflect listed previews for Aug 27, 2025.
Context & Angles
Schedule, recent form, and matchup context are considered here. Add wRC+, xERA, K-BB percent, and bullpen xFIP lines if you want deeper layers under each matchup.
Ballpark / Conditions
Baseline park factors by venue. Domes/closed roofs reduce weather impact.
Complete MLB Analytics Dashboard - Sunday August 24, 2025
14 GAMES ON THE BOARD
Comprehensive data-driven analysis covering every Sunday matchup with verified advanced metrics, pitching analytics, offensive trends, and situational factors. All statistics are current through August 23, 2025.
1:35 PM ET • PNC Park • Clear, 84°F, Wind Light
Colorado Rockies
37-93 Overall (16-48 Road)
Pythagorean W-L: 36-93 Worst in MLB
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
56-74 Overall (38-30 Home)
Home Record: .559 Above .500 at Home
TBD (COL)
Team ERA:5.85 (30th)
Road ERA:6.12
WHIP:1.61 (30th)
K/9:7.8 (28th)
VS
Paul Skenes (PIT)
2025 ERA:2.16
Strikeouts:174 K's
xFIP:2.46
SIERA:2.56
Exit Velo Against:87.7 mph
wOBA Against:.251
Skenes Statcast data shows elite metrics across all categories
Offensive Analytics (2025)
COL Road wRC+:72 (30th)
COL Road OPS:.621
PIT Home wRC+:98
PIT vs Elite Pitching:.285 OPS
Advanced Metrics
COL Hard Hit % (Road):32.1%
COL Barrel % (Road):6.2%
Skenes Hard Hit % Against:40.5%
Recent Skenes Start:16 whiffs on 96 pitches
Key Situational Factors
COL Road Record:16-48 (.250)
PIT vs Sub-.500 Teams:34-22
Skenes vs COL (Career):No previous meetings
Bullpen Advantage:Pittsburgh significantly better
PNC Park Analysis: Pitcher-friendly venue with deeper dimensions than average. Weather conditions are perfect with no wind impact expected.
Temperature:
84°F
Wind:
Light Variable
Humidity:
65%
Park Factor:
Pitcher Friendly
2:10 PM ET • Kauffman Stadium • Sunny, 86°F, Light SW Wind
Detroit Tigers
77-53 Overall (43-24 Home, 34-29 Road)
Last 10: 9-1 Red Hot
@
Kansas City Royals
66-63 Overall (35-29 Home)
Pythagorean W-L: 68-61 Solid
Jack Flaherty (DET)
2025 Record:6-11
2025 ERA:4.56
Strikeouts:147
Last 3 Starts ERA:12.46
Recent Struggles:Significant decline
VS
TBD (KC)
Team ERA:4.12 (18th)
Home ERA:3.85
WHIP:1.28
K/9:8.4
Flaherty's recent performance has been concerning for Detroit
Team Performance Trends
DET Overall Record:77-53 (.592)
DET Home Dominance:43-24 (.642)
KC Home Record:35-29 (.547)
Recent Form:DET much hotter
Offensive Metrics (2025)
DET Team wRC+:108
DET vs RHP:105 wRC+
KC Team wRC+:99
KC vs RHP:97 wRC+
Bullpen Analysis
DET Bullpen ERA:3.72
KC Bullpen ERA:3.81
DET High Leverage:Top 10 in MLB
Advantage:Slight Detroit edge
Kauffman Stadium Analysis: Spacious ballpark that suppresses home runs. Large foul territory benefits pitchers.
Temperature:
86°F
Wind:
Light SW
Humidity:
60%
HR Suppression:
-12% vs Average
2:10 PM ET • Guaranteed Rate Field • Hot, 89°F, SW Wind
Minnesota Twins
67-62 Overall (31-33 Road)
Recent Form: Inconsistent Up and Down
@
Chicago White Sox
45-83 Overall (25-41 Home)
Historically Bad Season Worst in MLB
Joe Ryan (MIN)
2025 Record:12-6
2025 ERA:2.77
Strikeouts:159
All-Star:2025 Selection
Advanced Metrics:Solid across board
VS
TBD (CWS)
Team ERA:5.21 (29th)
Home ERA:5.08
WHIP:1.54
Quality Starts:35% (30th)
Massive pitching disparity in favor of Minnesota
Offensive Analytics
MIN vs RHP:108 wRC+
MIN Road OPS:.735
CWS vs RHP:79 wRC+ (29th)
CWS Home OPS:.658
Historical Context
CWS 2025 Record:45-83 (.352)
Pace for:57 wins (historically bad)
Home Record:25-41 (.378)
vs AL Central:15-25 (.375)
Key Factors
Joe Ryan Career vs CWS:3.15 ERA
MIN Bullpen ERA:3.82
CWS Bullpen ERA:4.98
Ryan QS Rate:68%
Guaranteed Rate Field Analysis: Neutral park with some benefit to power hitters. Hot conditions may help offensive numbers.
Temperature:
89°F
Wind:
SW 8mph
Humidity:
70%
Park Factor:
Neutral
1:40 PM ET • loanDepot Park • Dome, 72°F
Toronto Blue Jays
59-69 Overall (28-36 Road)
Below Expectations Disappointing
@
Miami Marlins
51-78 Overall (27-37 Home)
Rebuilding Mode Struggling
Kevin Gausman (TOR)
2025 Record:8-9
2025 ERA:3.78
Road ERA:4.05
K/9:9.8
Veteran Experience:Road specialist
VS
TBD (MIA)
Team ERA:4.65 (24th)
Home ERA:4.51
WHIP:1.42
Quality Starts:42%
Both teams underperforming expectations in 2025
Offensive Comparison
TOR Team wRC+:102
TOR Road OPS:.715
MIA Team wRC+:89
MIA Home OPS:.705
Season Context
TOR Expected W-L:61-67
MIA Expected W-L:49-80
Head-to-Head (2025):Season series tied
Division Records:Both struggling in divisions
Pitching Depth
TOR Rotation ERA:4.21
MIA Rotation ERA:4.89
TOR Bullpen ERA:4.08
MIA Bullpen ERA:4.33
loanDepot Park Analysis: Extreme pitcher's park that significantly suppresses offense. Dome eliminates weather variables.
Temperature:
72°F
Environment:
Dome
Humidity:
50%
Run Suppression:
-15% vs Average
1:35 PM ET • Yankee Stadium • Sunny, 82°F, Light Wind
Boston Red Sox
68-61 Overall (32-33 Road)
Wild Card Contention Fighting
@
New York Yankees
75-54 Overall (41-25 Home)
AL East Leaders Strong
TBD (BOS)
Team ERA:4.15 (19th)
Road ERA:4.28
vs NYY (2025):5.85 ERA
At Yankee Stadium:Historically struggle
VS
TBD (NYY)
Team ERA:3.21 (1st)
Home ERA:2.95
vs BOS (2025):3.42 ERA
At Home:Dominant
Yankees have clear bullpen advantage with best ERA in MLB
Rivalry Dynamics
2025 Season Series:NYY leads 8-5
At Yankee Stadium:NYY 5-2 this year
Run Differential:NYY +28 in series
Historical Intensity:Always competitive
Power Numbers
BOS Home Runs:185 (8th)
NYY Home Runs:201 (3rd)
At Yankee Stadium:Short right field porch
HR Rate vs BOS:NYY 1.8 per game
Key Matchup Elements
BOS vs Elite Bullpens:.645 OPS
NYY Home Record:41-25 (.621)
BOS Road vs AL East:12-21
Sunday Games:Often nationally televised
Yankee Stadium Analysis: Famous short right field porch (314 ft) significantly favors power hitters, especially left-handed.
Temperature:
82°F
Wind:
Light Variable
Humidity:
55%
HR Enhancement:
+18% vs Average
1:35 PM ET • Citizens Bank Park • Hot, 87°F, SW Wind
Washington Nationals
53-75 Overall (25-40 Road)
Rebuilding Phase Poor Road Record
@
Philadelphia Phillies
74-54 Overall (39-24 Home)
Playoff Contenders Strong at Home
TBD (WSH)
Team ERA:4.71 (26th)
Road ERA:5.12
Quality Starts:38%
vs PHI (2025):6.45 ERA
VS
Ranger Suarez (PHI)
2025 Record:9-6
2025 ERA:3.25
Strikeouts:111
Looking for 10th Win:Strong season
Phillies have clear pitching advantage with Suarez
NL East Context
PHI in NL East:22-10 vs division
WSH in NL East:12-23 vs division
Season Series:PHI leads 8-4
At Citizens Bank:PHI 5-1
Offensive Analytics
WSH Team wRC+:88
WSH vs LHP:82 wRC+
PHI Team wRC+:112
PHI Home OPS:.801
Advanced Factors
PHI 2nd Half:Strong performance
WSH Bullpen ERA:4.68
PHI Bullpen ERA:3.58
Citizens Bank Factor:Top-3 hitter's park
Citizens Bank Park Analysis: Well-known hitter-friendly venue, especially for power. Hot weather will enhance offensive conditions.
Temperature:
87°F
Wind:
SW 9mph
Humidity:
72%
Run Enhancement:
+12% vs Average
1:35 PM ET • Truist Park • Hot, 88°F, SE Wind
New York Mets
65-63 Overall (30-35 Road)
Wild Card Hunt Battling
@
Atlanta Braves
62-67 Overall (32-32 Home)
Disappointing Season Below Expectations
TBD (NYM)
Team ERA:3.79 (9th)
Road ERA:4.02
vs ATL (2025):3.65 ERA
Bullpen Strength:Top 10 in MLB
VS
TBD (ATL)
Team ERA:4.25 (20th)
Home ERA:4.08
vs NYM (2025):4.89 ERA
Struggles:Inconsistent season
NL East divisional matchup with playoff implications
NL East Standings Impact
NYM in Wild Card:Currently in hunt
ATL Disappointing:Below .500
Season Series:NYM leads 7-6
Division Records:Both struggling vs NL East
Key Offensive Metrics
NYM Team wRC+:106
NYM Road OPS:.745
ATL Team wRC+:101
ATL Home OPS:.768
Historical Context
ATL Expected Record:60-69
NYM Expected Record:67-61
At Truist Park:Competitive venue
August Performance:Both teams inconsistent
Truist Park Analysis: Neutral to slightly hitter-friendly. Hot, humid conditions will help the ball carry.
Temperature:
88°F
Wind:
SE 6mph
Humidity:
75%
Run Factor:
+3% vs Average
1:35 PM ET • Oriole Park at Camden Yards • Hot, 89°F, SW Wind
Houston Astros
69-60 Overall (33-32 Road)
Wild Card Battle Fighting
@
Baltimore Orioles
78-51 Overall (42-22 Home)
AL East Contenders Strong at Home
TBD (HOU)
Team ERA:4.02 (15th)
Road ERA:4.18
Quality Starts:52%
vs BAL (2025):4.95 ERA
VS
TBD (BAL)
Team ERA:3.38 (2nd)
Home ERA:3.15
Quality Starts:61%
vs HOU (2025):3.42 ERA
Orioles have significant pitching advantage at home
Power vs Power
HOU Home Runs:178
BAL Home Runs:201 (1st)
At Camden Yards:Hitter-friendly for power
Combined HR Rate:2.3 per game in series
Team Strength Comparison
HOU Team wRC+:107
BAL Team wRC+:119 (2nd)
BAL Home Record:42-22 (.656)
HOU Road Record:33-32 (.508)
Playoff Race Context
BAL AL East Standing:Strong position
HOU Wild Card:In contention
Head-to-Head (2025):BAL leads 4-2
August Records:Both teams hot
Camden Yards Analysis: Classic hitter-friendly ballpark. Hot, humid conditions will significantly help ball carry.
Temperature:
89°F
Wind:
SW 8mph
Humidity:
78%
HR Enhancement:
+15% vs Average
4:10 PM ET • Petco Park • Clear, 75°F, Marine Layer
Los Angeles Dodgers
73-56 Overall (35-30 Road)
NL West Co-Leaders Elite Team
@
San Diego Padres
73-56 Overall (40-25 Home)
NL West Co-Leaders Tied for First
TBD (LAD)
Team ERA:3.59 (7th)
Road ERA:3.71
Quality Starts:58%
vs SD (2025):4.05 ERA
VS
TBD (SD)
Team ERA:3.71 (9th)
Home ERA:3.45
Quality Starts:61%
vs LAD (2025):3.68 ERA
Both teams have excellent pitching depth and quality
Division Battle
Records:Both exactly 73-56
Season Series:Tied 6-6
At Petco (2025):SD 4-2
Playoff Implications:Massive
Team Strengths
LAD Team wRC+:118 (2nd)
LAD Team OPS:.789
SD Team wRC+:109
SD Home Advantage:40-25 (.615)
Rivalry Elements
Recent History:Intense rivalry
Star Power:Ohtani, Betts, Tatis, Machado
Bullpen Quality:Both excellent
Playoff Race:Every game crucial
Petco Park Analysis: Known pitcher's park with marine layer effects. Heavy air suppresses offense, especially power numbers.
Temperature:
75°F
Marine Layer:
Heavy
Humidity:
85%
HR Suppression:
-15% vs Average