Florida State @ #12 North Carolina
Tuesday, 7:00 PM ET | Dean E. Smith Center | ESPN2
The ACC opener for North Carolina is finally here, and the Tar Heels couldn't ask for a better spot. The 12-1 Heels are a dominant 9-0 at the Smith Center, where the atmosphere is electric and opponents wilt under the pressure. Hubert Davis has this team rolling - they're 9-1 in their last 10, averaging 78.8 points while holding opponents to just 62.4. The defense has been the story, ranking 16th nationally in points allowed (63.5).
Florida State is a mess at 7-6 and 0-2 on the road. The Seminoles are shooting just 41.1% from the field and have been outclassed against quality opponents all season. They've won 5-5 in their last 10, but those wins came against overmatched opponents. The step up in competition to Chapel Hill is going to be jarring.
The Dominance Factor
UNC leads the all-time series 57-16, including a ridiculous 24-4 record in Chapel Hill and 21-4 at the Smith Center specifically. The Tar Heels have won the last six meetings overall and the last eight in Chapel Hill. Florida State hasn't won in this building since 2019, and that's not changing tonight.
The 14.5-point spread is steep, but UNC has the defensive chops to back it up. They're forcing 9.7 turnovers per game and holding opponents to 36.2% shooting - that's 4th in Division I. Wilson leads the team with 10.8 rebounds per game, and the Heels will dominate the glass. Take North Carolina to cover - Florida State doesn't have the firepower to keep this close.