Statistical Analysis

NCAAF Analysis

4-Game Slate | Advanced Stats & Betting Trends

December 05, 2025

@

Troy Trojans @ James Madison Dukes

12:00 AM ET 8-4 vs 11-1 Bridgeforth Stadium
N/ASpread
46.5O/U
N/ATROY ML
N/AJMU ML

The Matchup

This game could serve as a measuring stick for both sides. The Troy Trojans (8-4) visit James Madison Dukes (11-1) in what shapes up to be a competitive matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - Troy Trojans at 28.0 PPG vs James Madison Dukes's 28.0. Both defenses have been comparable - Troy Trojans allowing 28.0, James Madison Dukes at 28.0.

Health Report

Both teams come in relatively healthy, which is rare.

Betting Trends

Against the spread, Troy Trojans are 6-6 while James Madison Dukes sit at 6-6.

The Angle

The total feels low based on how these offenses have been playing. Do your own research, but there's something here worth exploring.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change

@

Kennesaw State Owls @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks

12:00 AM ET 9-3 vs 8-4 AmFirst Stadium
N/ASpread
60.5O/U
N/AKENN ML
N/AJVST ML

The Matchup

The market seems to be overreacting to recent results. The Kennesaw State Owls (9-3) visit Jacksonville State Gamecocks (8-4) in what shapes up to be a telling matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - Kennesaw State Owls at 28.0 PPG vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks's 28.0. Both defenses have been comparable - Kennesaw State Owls allowing 28.0, Jacksonville State Gamecocks at 28.0.

Health Report

Health advantage goes to neither team here.

The Angle

This game has trap written all over it - proceed carefully.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change

@

North Texas Mean Green @ Tulane Green Wave

01:00 AM ET 11-1 vs 10-2 Yulman Stadium
N/ASpread
66.5O/U
N/AUNT ML
N/ATULN ML

The Matchup

Both teams come into this with something to prove. The North Texas Mean Green (11-1) visit Tulane Green Wave (10-2) in what shapes up to be a fascinating matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - North Texas Mean Green at 28.0 PPG vs Tulane Green Wave's 28.0. Both defenses have been comparable - North Texas Mean Green allowing 28.0, Tulane Green Wave at 28.0.

Health Report

Both teams come in relatively healthy, which is rare.

Betting Trends

Against the spread, North Texas Mean Green are 0-1 while Tulane Green Wave sit at 0-1.

The Angle

This total might be inflated given recent defensive performances. This game has trap written all over it - proceed carefully.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change

@

UNLV Rebels @ Boise State Broncos

01:00 AM ET 10-2 vs 8-4 Albertsons Stadium
N/ASpread
58.5O/U
N/AUNLV ML
N/ABOIS ML

The Matchup

Two teams heading in opposite directions meet tonight. The UNLV Rebels (10-2) visit Boise State Broncos (8-4) in what shapes up to be a fascinating matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - UNLV Rebels at 28.0 PPG vs Boise State Broncos's 28.0. Both defenses have been comparable - UNLV Rebels allowing 28.0, Boise State Broncos at 28.0.

Health Report

Health advantage goes to neither team here.

The Angle

Do your own research, but there's something here worth exploring.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change