#23 Iowa vs #14 Vanderbilt

ReliaQuest Bowl | Wednesday 12:00 PM ET | Raymond James Stadium | ESPN
Line: VANDY -3.5 | O/U: 44.5 | IOWA: 8-4 | VANDY: 10-2

This is one of the more intriguing bowl matchups on the entire schedule. Vanderbilt's had a season for the ages - their first 10-win campaign in decades, fueled by the arrival of Diego Pavia, the polarizing quarterback who transferred from New Mexico State. Pavia's mobility and improvisational skills have completely transformed Vandy's offense, and he's playing his final college game.

Iowa's going to Iowa - they'll make you earn every yard, control the tempo, and rely on their defense to keep it close. The Hawkeyes have allowed just 17.2 points per game this season, and they've got the secondary to frustrate Vanderbilt's passing attack. The question is whether Iowa's offense can generate enough points to win.

The 44.5 total is one of the lowest on the bowl schedule, and it's absolutely appropriate. Iowa's offense has been anemic at times, and they're not going to suddenly open it up in a bowl game. Vanderbilt's defensive front has been opportunistic, creating turnovers that flip field position. Expect a physical, grinding game where every possession matters.

Arizona State vs Duke

Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl | Wednesday 2:00 PM ET | Sun Bowl Stadium | CBS
Line: ASU -4.5 | O/U: 52.5 | ASU: 9-3 | DUKE: 9-3

Arizona State's resurgence under Kenny Dillingham has been one of the best stories in college football this season. The Sun Devils play with tempo and aggression, and their quarterback has developed into a legitimate Big 12 star. They've got playmakers at every level and an offensive line that can sustain drives. This program is officially back.

Duke had a quietly excellent season in the ACC, winning nine games and establishing themselves as a consistent program under Mike Elko. The Blue Devils play disciplined football, don't beat themselves, and have enough talent to compete with most teams. Their defense has been particularly stout against the run.

The El Paso weather can be tricky - it's usually cold and sometimes windy at Sun Bowl Stadium. Arizona State's speed advantage might be mitigated if conditions are poor. Duke's physical style could travel well in that environment. The 4.5-point spread feels about right - ASU's the better team on paper, but Duke won't go away quietly.

#18 Michigan vs #13 Texas

Cheez-It Citrus Bowl | Wednesday 3:00 PM ET | Camping World Stadium | ABC
Line: TEX -7.5 | O/U: 47.5 | MICH: 9-3 | TEX: 10-2

This is a classic blue-blood matchup between two programs with championship aspirations. Texas had a fantastic first season in the SEC, going 10-2 and proving they belong among the sport's elite. The Longhorns have the quarterback play, the skill position talent, and the defense to beat anyone on a given Saturday.

Michigan's post-championship season hasn't quite matched last year's magic, but the Wolverines are still a tough out. They play physical, run the ball effectively, and have a defense that can slow down high-powered offenses. The question is whether their passing game can keep up with Texas's firepower.

Orlando should provide perfect conditions for football, and this game could be a preview of future SEC matchups between these programs. Texas's depth and offensive explosiveness give them the edge, but Michigan's physical style could keep this closer than the spread suggests. The Wolverines have been excellent as underdogs under Sherrone Moore - don't count them out.

Nebraska vs #15 Utah

SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl | Wednesday 3:30 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium | ESPN
Line: UTAH -6.5 | O/U: 45.5 | NEB: 7-5 | UTAH: 10-2

Nebraska's back in a bowl game, and while this isn't where the Husker faithful wanted to end up, it's progress after years of futility. Matt Rhule has this program moving in the right direction, and they've competed against quality opponents all season. The question is whether they have the firepower to hang with a ranked Utah team.

Utah's been one of the most consistent programs in college football over the past decade, and this year's no different. The Utes play smashmouth football behind one of the best offensive lines in the sport, and their defense is physical and assignment-sound. They don't make mistakes, and they force opponents to play a style that favors Utah.

Allegiant Stadium is essentially a neutral site for both teams, though Utah's proximity to Vegas gives them a slight fan advantage. The 6.5-point spread reflects the gap in talent - Utah's simply a more complete team right now. Nebraska will compete and keep it interesting, but the Utes should control the clock and grind out a victory.

CFP Quarterfinal

#10 Miami vs #2 Ohio State

Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic | Wednesday 7:30 PM ET | AT&T Stadium | ESPN
Line: OSU -7.5 | O/U: 58.5 | MIAMI: 11-2 | OSU: 12-1

This is the marquee game of New Year's Eve, and it's absolutely loaded with star power. Ohio State bounced back from that shocking loss to Michigan to earn the #2 seed, and they've got the best collection of talent in college football. Their quarterback has been electric, their running game is physical, and their defense is loaded with future NFL players.

Miami's had a magical season under Mario Cristobal, finally living up to the potential that's always existed in Coral Gables. Cam Ward has been the Heisman-caliber quarterback they've been searching for, and their offense can score with anyone in the country. The question is whether their defense can slow down Ohio State's machine.

AT&T Stadium will be rocking for this one, and the atmosphere should be incredible. Ohio State's the more complete team, but Miami has the explosiveness to flip the script if they can hit some big plays early. The Hurricanes will need to win the turnover battle and hit on some 50/50 balls to pull the upset. This one could be a classic - expect points, momentum swings, and a game that comes down to who makes plays in the fourth quarter.

The 7.5-point spread respects Miami's offensive firepower, but Ohio State's depth and talent give them the edge. The Buckeyes have been in these moments before and know how to close. If Ward can keep pace with Ohio State's offense, this could come down to the final possession.