Capitals @ Hurricanes

Tuesday | 7:00 PM ET | PNC Arena
Line: CAR -157 | O/U: 6.0 | WSH: 7-7-1 | CAR: 11-4-0

This Metropolitan Division showdown carries massive playoff implications. The Capitals enter at 7-7-1, looking mediocre on paper with an absolutely brutal road record of 3-3-1. Alex Ovechkin continues inching toward Wayne Gretzky's all-time goals record, but this isn't the dominant Washington team of years past. They're averaging 2.87 goals per game while allowing 3.00 against. Their power play sits at 20.5% (11th in NHL), but the penalty kill at 77.8% (18th) is concerning. When you can't defend five-on-five and your PK is average, road games against elite teams become problematic.

Carolina has been absolutely dominant at PNC Arena with a 5-1-0 home record. The Hurricanes average 3.47 goals per game (6th in NHL) while allowing just 2.60 against (7th). Sebastian Aho leads the offense with 16 points through 15 games, and Andrei Svechnikov has been contributing consistently. Their power play clicks at 25.0% (5th) while the penalty kill sits at 84.2% (9th). Frederik Andersen and Pyotr Kochetkov have both been excellent, giving Carolina reliable goaltending regardless of who starts.

Here's where Carolina has a massive advantage: their 25.0% power play against Washington's 77.8% penalty kill is a significant mismatch. The Capitals average 10.3 penalty minutes per game, ranking in the upper third for PIMs. If this Metro division game gets chippy, Carolina has the better special teams units to exploit man advantages. The Hurricanes' speed and forecheck create chaos for Washington's defensemen. Carolina should control this game, limit transition opportunities, and capitalize on special teams situations.

Kings @ Canadiens

Tuesday | 7:00 PM ET | Bell Centre
Line: MTL -120 | O/U: 6.0 | LA: 7-5-4 | MTL: 10-3-2

Los Angeles enters at 7-5-4 with an impressive 6-1-2 road record and 6-3-0 ATS away from home. They're averaging 3.06 goals per game with balanced scoring from Anze Kopitar, Adrian Kempe, and Kevin Fiala. The Kings play disciplined defensive hockey and have proven they can win in hostile road environments. Their veteran leadership shows in tight games, and they rarely beat themselves with undisciplined penalties or turnovers in the neutral zone.

Montreal has been lights out at home at 5-1-1 and the young core is exceeding expectations. Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield are both producing offensively, creating one of the league's most exciting young duos. The Canadiens at 10-3-2 have been a pleasant surprise, though there's a case to be made they've been slightly over-performing their underlying metrics. Their home record suggests a team feeding off Bell Centre energy.

The public at 68% on Montreal makes sense given their home record, but LA's road success and experience make this a competitive matchup. The Kings have the defensive structure to slow down Montreal's transition game, and Kopitar's two-way excellence will be critical in neutralizing Suzuki. This projects as an evenly matched contest where the Kings' road poise could steal a result in a building where opponents rarely leave with points.

Stars @ Senators

Tuesday | 7:00 PM ET | Canadian Tire Centre
Line: DAL -130 | O/U: 6.0 | DAL: 9-4-3 | OTT: 8-5-3

Dallas is 9-4-3 and rolling with a 6-1-3 record in their last 10 games. Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz, and Wyatt Johnston are all producing consistently, giving the Stars multiple lines that can hurt opponents. They're 4-1-2 on the road with 4-3-0 ATS away, showing they can win in different buildings with different styles. The Stars' underlying metrics are superior to most opponents they face, with better possession numbers, shot quality, and special teams efficiency.

Ottawa sits at 8-5-3 but has been inconsistent at 6-1-3 in their last 10. The Senators are 5-2-1 at home but only 5-5-0 ATS at home, meaning they've been winning but not covering spreads. Tim Stutzle and Brady Tkachuk provide offensive punch, but the defensive structure remains a work in progress. Ottawa can put up goals but they give up too many quality chances against, especially when facing teams with Dallas's offensive depth.

The public is split at 49%, showing no clear consensus, but the Stars have been the more consistent team recently. Dallas brings better process metrics in possession, shot quality, and special teams. Jake Oettinger has been outstanding in net and could steal this game even if Dallas doesn't bring their best. The Stars' road discipline and Ottawa's defensive lapses create value on the road favorite here.

Maple Leafs @ Bruins

Tuesday | 7:30 PM ET | TD Garden
Line: BOS -145 | O/U: 6.0 | TOR: 8-7-1 | BOS: 10-7-0

Few rivalries carry as much playoff baggage as Toronto-Boston. The Maple Leafs enter at 8-7-1 and have been struggling on the road at just 1-3-0 with a brutal 1-3-0 ATS road record. Auston Matthews and William Nylander provide firepower, but the Leafs have significant defensive issues away from home. When Toronto can't control possession in hostile environments, they become vulnerable to transition goals, which is exactly what Boston excels at creating.

Boston sits at 10-7-0 and has been dominant at TD Garden at 7-3-0 with an impressive 8-2-0 ATS home record. David Pastrnak and Brad Marchand continue to produce at elite levels, and Jeremy Swayman has been solid between the pipes. The Bruins' home ice advantage in this rivalry is significant; they feed off the energy against Toronto like few other opponents. The crowd at TD Garden shows up differently for Leafs games.

This Atlantic Division rivalry always brings intensity regardless of standings. Boston's home dominance against Toronto's road struggles creates a clear edge for the Bruins. The Leafs' tendency toward high-scoring games combined with Boston's ability to capitalize on defensive mistakes suggests goals in this one. Expect a physical, emotional affair where the Bruins' experience and home ice prove decisive.

Sharks @ Wild

Tuesday | 8:00 PM ET | Xcel Energy Center
Line: MIN -155 | O/U: 5.5 | SJ: 7-6-3 | MIN: 7-7-3

San Jose at 7-6-3 has been competitive on the road at 3-3-0 with a strong 4-2-0 ATS road record. The story here is Macklin Celebrini, who continues to impress as the rookie phenom. The first overall pick has provided offensive spark and energy that San Jose desperately needed. Despite being a young team in rebuild mode, the Sharks have shown they can compete on any given night, especially when Celebrini is rolling.

Minnesota is 7-7-3 and struggling at home at 4-3-2 with a terrible 2-7-0 ATS home record at Xcel Energy Center. That ATS number is alarming, suggesting the Wild are consistently failing to meet expectations in their own building. The defense has allowed too many goals per game this season, and goaltending hasn't bailed them out. Minnesota has talent with Kirill Kaprizov leading the way, but the supporting cast hasn't been consistent enough.

The public is evenly split at 50%, showing no clear market consensus on this matchup between two similarly-positioned teams. San Jose's offensive talent with Celebrini gives them scoring ability despite their rebuild status. Minnesota's home struggles against the spread make them a dangerous fade. This could be a tighter game than the market expects, with San Jose's young legs and Celebrini's star potential keeping it competitive throughout.

Flames @ Blues

Tuesday | 8:00 PM ET | Enterprise Center
Line: STL -140 | O/U: 5.5 | CGY: 4-11-2 | STL: 5-8-3

Calgary is struggling at 4-11-2, dead last in the Pacific Division. They're 2-7-1 on the road and 4-6-0 ATS away from home. The Flames are averaging just 2.33 goals per game and their power play ranks 29th in the NHL. This is a team in full rebuild mode after losing key pieces over the past few years. The offensive talent simply isn't there to compete with most opponents, and the defensive structure has suffered as young players learn on the fly.

St. Louis is also having difficulties at 5-8-3 but is slightly better at home at 2-4-3, though their 2-7-0 ATS home record is equally concerning. Both teams are dealing with offensive challenges this season. The Blues have veteran leadership and championship experience from their 2019 Cup run, but the roster is clearly in transition. Robert Thomas and Jordan Kyrou need more support to shoulder the scoring burden.

The public is backing St. Louis at 70%, viewing the Blues as the better team despite both franchises underperforming expectations. The total of 5.5 is the lowest on tonight's board, reflecting both teams' offensive struggles. This is a game between two disappointing teams where neither inspires confidence. Someone has to win, but it's unlikely to be entertaining hockey. St. Louis has the slight edge playing at home with more experienced goaltending.

Ducks @ Avalanche

Tuesday | 9:00 PM ET | Ball Arena
Line: COL -200 | O/U: 6.5 | ANA: 11-3-1 | COL: 10-1-5

Anaheim at 11-3-1 has surprisingly been one of the NHL's best teams early this season. They're 6-2-1 on the road with a 6-3-0 ATS record away from home. Trevor Zegras and Troy Terry are producing offensively for the Ducks, and the goaltending has been excellent. The rebuild in Anaheim has progressed faster than anyone expected, with young players maturing ahead of schedule. Their road success suggests this isn't a fluke; they're legitimately competitive.

Colorado at 10-1-5 has been elite at home at 4-0-2, though their 2-4-0 ATS home record indicates they've been winning but not always covering the spread. Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar, and Mikko Rantanen form one of the NHL's most dangerous top lines. The Avalanche's altitude advantage at Ball Arena is well-documented, especially against California teams who struggle with the thin air and fast pace Colorado plays.

The public is backing Colorado at 60% as the heavy favorite, which makes sense given the talent disparity on paper. Anaheim's impressive road success will face its toughest test against this elite opponent. The high total of 6.5 suggests both teams will find the back of the net. Colorado should have too much firepower at home, but Anaheim has earned respect and could keep this closer than the line suggests if their goaltending stays hot.

Blue Jackets @ Kraken

Tuesday | 10:00 PM ET | Climate Pledge Arena
Line: SEA -145 | O/U: 5.5 | CBJ: 7-7-1 | SEA: 7-4-4

Columbus is 7-7-1 and solid on the road at 4-4-1 with an impressive 8-1-0 ATS road record. That ATS number is remarkable; the Blue Jackets have been covering spreads consistently away from home regardless of outcomes. They're scrappy, competitive, and refuse to get blown out. Young talent like Adam Fantilli has given Columbus hope for the future, and the team plays with energy that belies their record.

Seattle sits at 7-4-4 and has been performing well at home at 4-1-2 with a strong 6-1-0 ATS home record. Climate Pledge Arena has become a tough building for visitors, and the Kraken feed off their passionate fanbase. Seattle has built a solid roster with good depth and reliable goaltending. Their defensive structure is sound, and they don't beat themselves with undisciplined play.

Both teams have strong ATS records, which suggests consistently competitive games. This late-night Pacific Northwest matchup should be tight throughout. Columbus's ATS road record indicates they'll keep it close, while Seattle's home success suggests they should prevail. The public backs Seattle at 67% as the home favorite. Expect a hard-fought, low-event game that comes down to goaltending and special teams.

Jets @ Canucks

Tuesday | 10:00 PM ET | Rogers Arena
Line: WPG -125 | O/U: 6.0 | WPG: 9-6-0 | VAN: 8-8-1

Winnipeg at 9-6-0 has been solid but is 3-4-0 on the road with a matching 3-4-0 ATS road record. Mark Scheifele and Kyle Connor continue to produce elite offense for the Jets, forming one of the league's most dangerous top lines when clicking. The Jets have the offensive firepower to score on anyone, but their road inconsistency has held them back from being a true Western Conference contender so far.

Vancouver sits at 8-8-1 and has been struggling at home at 3-4-1 with a 3-5-0 ATS home record. The Canucks haven't found consistency at Rogers Arena this season, which is concerning for a team with playoff aspirations. Goaltending has been inconsistent, and the defense has allowed too many quality chances. Elias Pettersson and J.T. Miller can produce, but the supporting cast hasn't been reliable.

Winnipeg brings superior offensive firepower while Vancouver has dealt with goaltending questions all season. The public is backing the Jets at 58% as the road favorite, which makes sense given the talent gap up front. This Western Conference matchup closes out Tuesday's nine-game slate. The Jets should have enough offense to overcome their road struggles against a Canucks team that can't seem to protect home ice.