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MLB Run Line Records 2026
Every MLB team's run line record for the 2026 regular season at the closing 1.5 run line. The Washington Nationals covered most often (92-70), the Seattle Mariners least (62-99). League wide, -1.5 favorites covered 42.5% of the time.
Updated October 1, 2026. Closing run lines, regular season games only. Units are shown only for seasons where at least 95% of games have a published closing run line price.
MLB run line records by team, 2026
Sorted by cover percentage. "As -1.5 fav" is the team laying 1.5 runs; "As +1.5 dog" is the team getting 1.5 runs.
| # | Team | Run line | Cover % | RL units | As -1.5 fav | Fav units | As +1.5 dog | Dog units | Home | Road |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Nationals | 92-70 | 56.8% | not priced | 19-17 | not priced | 73-53 | not priced | 39-42 | 53-28 |
| 2 | Chicago White Sox | 91-71 | 56.2% | not priced | 22-30 | not priced | 69-41 | not priced | 44-37 | 47-34 |
| 3 | San Diego Padres | 89-73 | 54.9% | not priced | 33-45 | not priced | 56-28 | not priced | 41-40 | 48-33 |
| 4 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 87-75 | 53.7% | not priced | 31-43 | not priced | 56-32 | not priced | 41-40 | 46-35 |
| 5 | St. Louis Cardinals | 87-75 | 53.7% | not priced | 16-37 | not priced | 71-38 | not priced | 39-42 | 48-33 |
| 6 | Baltimore Orioles | 85-76 | 52.8% | not priced | 35-42 | not priced | 50-34 | not priced | 41-40 | 44-36 |
| 7 | New York Yankees | 84-76 | 52.5% | not priced | 64-66 | not priced | 20-10 | not priced | 40-39 | 44-37 |
| 8 | Milwaukee Brewers | 85-77 | 52.5% | not priced | 64-65 | not priced | 21-12 | not priced | 43-38 | 42-39 |
| 9 | Tampa Bay Rays | 85-77 | 52.5% | not priced | 59-55 | not priced | 26-22 | not priced | 41-40 | 44-37 |
| 10 | Cincinnati Reds | 84-77 | 52.2% | not priced | 16-26 | not priced | 68-51 | not priced | 38-42 | 46-35 |
| 11 | Atlanta Braves | 84-78 | 51.9% | not priced | 57-62 | not priced | 27-16 | not priced | 37-44 | 47-34 |
| 12 | Houston Astros | 84-78 | 51.9% | not priced | 34-41 | not priced | 50-37 | not priced | 39-42 | 45-36 |
| 13 | Minnesota Twins | 84-78 | 51.9% | not priced | 18-33 | not priced | 66-45 | not priced | 39-42 | 45-36 |
| 14 | Colorado Rockies | 83-79 | 51.2% | not priced | 3-2 | not priced | 80-77 | not priced | 42-39 | 41-40 |
| 15 | San Francisco Giants | 83-79 | 51.2% | not priced | 17-29 | not priced | 66-50 | not priced | 40-41 | 43-38 |
| 16 | Detroit Tigers | 81-81 | 50.0% | not priced | 37-54 | not priced | 44-27 | not priced | 38-43 | 43-38 |
| 17 | Miami Marlins | 81-81 | 50.0% | not priced | 34-40 | not priced | 47-41 | not priced | 38-43 | 43-38 |
| 18 | Toronto Blue Jays | 81-81 | 50.0% | not priced | 39-51 | not priced | 42-30 | not priced | 37-44 | 44-37 |
| 19 | Chicago Cubs | 79-83 | 48.8% | not priced | 48-68 | not priced | 31-15 | not priced | 33-48 | 46-35 |
| 20 | Los Angeles Angels | 79-83 | 48.8% | not priced | 8-21 | not priced | 71-62 | not priced | 35-46 | 44-37 |
| 21 | Kansas City Royals | 78-84 | 48.1% | not priced | 17-30 | not priced | 61-54 | not priced | 39-42 | 39-42 |
| 22 | New York Mets | 77-85 | 47.5% | not priced | 38-48 | not priced | 39-37 | not priced | 33-48 | 44-37 |
| 23 | Athletics | 77-85 | 47.5% | not priced | 11-26 | not priced | 66-59 | not priced | 31-50 | 46-35 |
| 24 | Boston Red Sox | 76-86 | 46.9% | not priced | 46-65 | not priced | 30-21 | not priced | 32-49 | 44-37 |
| 25 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 76-86 | 46.9% | not priced | 33-52 | not priced | 43-34 | not priced | 35-46 | 41-40 |
| 26 | Texas Rangers | 76-86 | 46.9% | not priced | 30-56 | not priced | 46-30 | not priced | 38-43 | 38-43 |
| 27 | Cleveland Guardians | 75-87 | 46.3% | not priced | 34-64 | not priced | 41-23 | not priced | 30-51 | 45-36 |
| 28 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 71-90 | 44.1% | not priced | 67-87 | not priced | 4-3 | not priced | 31-50 | 40-40 |
| 29 | Philadelphia Phillies | 71-91 | 43.8% | not priced | 56-65 | not priced | 15-26 | not priced | 32-49 | 39-42 |
| 30 | Seattle Mariners | 62-99 | 38.5% | not priced | 41-80 | not priced | 21-19 | not priced | 30-51 | 32-48 |
How -1.5 favorites cover by moneyline price, 2026
A favorite has to win by two or more runs to cover. This shows how often each price band wins outright and how often it wins by two.
| Favorite price | Games | Won outright | Covered -1.5 | Cover % | -1.5 units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favorites of -110 to -149 | 1449 | 789-660 | 592-857 | 40.9% | not priced |
| Favorites of -150 to -199 | 606 | 370-236 | 269-337 | 44.4% | not priced |
| Favorites of -200 or more | 202 | 142-60 | 99-103 | 49.0% | not priced |
Run line results by season
| Season | Games | -1.5 favorites | Cover % | Home -1.5 favorites | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2427 | 1027-1400 | 42.3% | 631-915 | 40.8% |
| 2025 | 2328 | 909-1419 | 39.0% | 558-885 | 38.7% |
| 2024 | 2408 | 1014-1394 | 42.1% | 617-920 | 40.1% |
| 2023 | 2427 | 1054-1373 | 43.4% | 628-866 | 42.0% |
| 2022 | 2426 | 1052-1374 | 43.4% | 634-892 | 41.5% |
| 2021 | 2428 | 1050-1378 | 43.2% | 644-894 | 41.9% |
| 2020 | 870 | 384-486 | 44.1% | 233-290 | 44.6% |
| 2019 | 2428 | 1085-1343 | 44.7% | 651-891 | 42.2% |
| 2018 | 2431 | 1050-1381 | 43.2% | 659-892 | 42.5% |
| 2017 | 2427 | 1042-1385 | 42.9% | 695-943 | 42.4% |
| 2016 | 2427 | 1023-1404 | 42.2% | 654-940 | 41.0% |
Team run line cover % by season
| Team | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 48.8% | 51.1% | 48.6% | 45.7% | 45.0% | 46.6% |
| Houston Astros | 51.9% | 49.7% | 52.2% | 50.0% | 53.1% | 47.5% |
| Athletics | 47.5% | 52.5% | 52.4% | 47.5% | 50.0% | 51.9% |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 50.0% | 54.3% | 48.4% | 46.9% | 46.9% | 53.4% |
| Atlanta Braves | 51.9% | 46.6% | 47.5% | 51.2% | 51.2% | 49.1% |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 52.5% | 56.1% | 51.2% | 50.0% | 41.4% | 53.1% |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 53.7% | 51.3% | 50.9% | 48.1% | 53.7% | 51.9% |
| Chicago Cubs | 48.8% | 48.7% | 47.5% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 50.0% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 53.7% | 51.3% | 51.9% | 54.3% | 56.8% | 48.1% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 44.1% | 43.9% | 50.0% | 56.5% | 59.3% | 50.6% |
| San Francisco Giants | 51.2% | 43.1% | 50.9% | 43.8% | 46.3% | 59.9% |
| Cleveland Guardians | 46.3% | 52.5% | 50.3% | 48.8% | 52.5% | 54.9% |
| Seattle Mariners | 38.5% | 44.8% | 45.1% | 46.9% | 52.5% | 57.4% |
| Miami Marlins | 50.0% | 58.8% | 48.1% | 45.6% | 50.6% | 48.1% |
| New York Mets | 47.5% | 46.6% | 51.2% | 43.5% | 53.7% | 46.3% |
| Washington Nationals | 56.8% | 46.6% | 55.6% | 53.1% | 43.2% | 45.7% |
| Baltimore Orioles | 52.8% | 49.1% | 53.7% | 59.3% | 59.3% | 43.2% |
| San Diego Padres | 54.9% | 54.5% | 51.9% | 50.0% | 46.9% | 46.9% |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 43.8% | 50.6% | 48.1% | 43.5% | 50.0% | 46.3% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 46.9% | 52.8% | 51.9% | 51.9% | 50.0% | 47.5% |
| Texas Rangers | 46.9% | 56.0% | 42.5% | 55.6% | 53.1% | 44.4% |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 52.5% | 47.8% | 52.5% | 54.3% | 47.5% | 59.3% |
| Boston Red Sox | 46.9% | 51.6% | 47.8% | 49.4% | 50.6% | 53.1% |
| Cincinnati Reds | 52.2% | 51.7% | 53.7% | 59.3% | 46.3% | 45.1% |
| Colorado Rockies | 51.2% | 39.8% | 48.1% | 49.4% | 54.3% | 53.4% |
| Kansas City Royals | 48.1% | 47.5% | 55.9% | 43.2% | 48.8% | 50.0% |
| Detroit Tigers | 50.0% | 47.8% | 53.7% | 54.3% | 47.5% | 58.6% |
| Minnesota Twins | 51.9% | 50.3% | 44.4% | 50.6% | 48.1% | 40.1% |
| Chicago White Sox | 56.2% | 56.5% | 41.4% | 50.3% | 44.4% | 50.6% |
| New York Yankees | 52.5% | 47.2% | 52.5% | 46.9% | 45.1% | 46.9% |
MLB run line FAQ
Which MLB team has the best run line record in 2026?
The Washington Nationals: 92-70 (56.8%).
How often do MLB favorites cover -1.5?
In 2026, -1.5 favorites covered 994 of 2341 games (42.5%). Bigger favorites cover more often, but the run line price gets shorter too; see the price table above.
Can an MLB run line push?
No. MLB run lines are 1.5 runs, so every game is a cover or a loss.
Methodology
Final scores and the closing 1.5 run line for every regular season game since 2016 come from the Bet Legend game database. A side covers when its final margin plus its run line is above zero. Units are shown only for seasons where at least 95% of games have a published closing run line price. Units use the sportsbook closing run line and price that ESPN publishes for each game, and only when that close puts the 1.5 runs on the same side as its own moneyline favorite. These are market results, not BetLegend picks.