Statistical Analysis

NBA Analysis

12-Game Slate | Advanced Stats & Betting Trends

December 05, 2025

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Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics

12:00 AM ET 16-5 vs 13-9 TD Garden
N/ASpread
226.5O/U
N/ALAL ML
N/ABOS ML

INJURIES

LAL: No key injuries

BOS: No key injuries

The Matchup

Desperation meets opportunity tonight. The Los Angeles Lakers (16-5) visit Boston Celtics (13-9) in what shapes up to be a fascinating matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - Los Angeles Lakers at 114.0 PPG vs Boston Celtics's 114.0. Both defenses have been comparable - Los Angeles Lakers allowing 114.0, Boston Celtics at 114.0.

Betting Trends

Against the spread, Los Angeles Lakers are 10-11 while Boston Celtics sit at 11-11.

The Angle

Sharp bettors are paying attention to this one for a reason.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change

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Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic

12:00 AM ET 14-8 vs 13-9 Kia Center
N/ASpread
240.5O/U
N/AMIA ML
N/AORL ML

INJURIES

MIA: No key injuries

ORL: No key injuries

The Matchup

There's real value hiding in this line. The Miami Heat (14-8) visit Orlando Magic (13-9) in what shapes up to be a competitive matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - Miami Heat at 114.0 PPG vs Orlando Magic's 114.0. Both defenses have been comparable - Miami Heat allowing 114.0, Orlando Magic at 114.0.

Betting Trends

Against the spread, Miami Heat are 11-11 while Orlando Magic sit at 11-11.

The Angle

This total might be inflated given recent defensive performances. Do your own research, but there's something here worth exploring.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change

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Denver Nuggets @ Atlanta Hawks

12:30 AM ET 15-6 vs 13-10 State Farm Arena
N/ASpread
239.5O/U
N/ADEN ML
N/AATL ML

INJURIES

DEN: No key injuries

ATL: No key injuries

The Matchup

This game could be more interesting than the spread suggests. The Denver Nuggets (15-6) visit Atlanta Hawks (13-10) in what shapes up to be a intriguing matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - Denver Nuggets at 114.0 PPG vs Atlanta Hawks's 114.0. Both defenses have been comparable - Denver Nuggets allowing 114.0, Atlanta Hawks at 114.0.

Betting Trends

Against the spread, Denver Nuggets are 10-11 while Atlanta Hawks sit at 11-12.

The Angle

This total might be inflated given recent defensive performances. The value might not be where the public thinks.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change

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San Antonio Spurs @ Cleveland Cavaliers

12:30 AM ET 15-6 vs 13-10 Rocket Arena
N/ASpread
238.5O/U
N/ASA ML
N/ACLE ML

INJURIES

SA: No key injuries

CLE: No key injuries

The Matchup

Circle this one on your calendar. The San Antonio Spurs (15-6) visit Cleveland Cavaliers (13-10) in what shapes up to be a competitive matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - San Antonio Spurs at 114.0 PPG vs Cleveland Cavaliers's 114.0. Both defenses have been comparable - San Antonio Spurs allowing 114.0, Cleveland Cavaliers at 114.0.

Betting Trends

Against the spread, San Antonio Spurs are 10-11 while Cleveland Cavaliers sit at 11-12.

The Angle

This total might be inflated given recent defensive performances. This game has trap written all over it - proceed carefully.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change

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Portland Trail Blazers @ Detroit Pistons

12:30 AM ET 9-13 vs 17-5 Little Caesars Arena
N/ASpread
235.5O/U
N/APOR ML
N/ADET ML

INJURIES

POR: No key injuries

DET: No key injuries

The Matchup

This one has all the makings of a classic. The Portland Trail Blazers (9-13) visit Detroit Pistons (17-5) in what shapes up to be a competitive matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - Portland Trail Blazers at 114.0 PPG vs Detroit Pistons's 114.0. Both defenses have been comparable - Portland Trail Blazers allowing 114.0, Detroit Pistons at 114.0.

Betting Trends

Against the spread, Portland Trail Blazers are 11-11 while Detroit Pistons sit at 10-12.

The Angle

This total might be inflated given recent defensive performances. This game has trap written all over it - proceed carefully.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change

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Utah Jazz @ New York Knicks

12:30 AM ET 8-13 vs 14-7 Madison Square Garden
N/ASpread
240.5O/U
N/AUTAH ML
N/ANY ML

INJURIES

UTAH: No key injuries

NY: No key injuries

The Matchup

The sharps have been all over this one. The Utah Jazz (8-13) visit New York Knicks (14-7) in what shapes up to be a fascinating matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - Utah Jazz at 114.0 PPG vs New York Knicks's 114.0. Both defenses have been comparable - Utah Jazz allowing 114.0, New York Knicks at 114.0.

Betting Trends

Against the spread, Utah Jazz are 10-11 while New York Knicks sit at 10-11.

The Angle

This total might be inflated given recent defensive performances. Sometimes the obvious play is the right one. Sometimes it isn't.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change

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Charlotte Hornets @ Toronto Raptors

12:30 AM ET 6-16 vs 15-8 Scotiabank Arena
N/ASpread
229.5O/U
N/ACHA ML
N/ATOR ML

INJURIES

CHA: No key injuries

TOR: No key injuries

The Matchup

There's a statistical mismatch here that the betting public hasn't caught onto yet. The Charlotte Hornets (6-16) visit Toronto Raptors (15-8) in what shapes up to be a telling matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - Charlotte Hornets at 114.0 PPG vs Toronto Raptors's 114.0. Both defenses have been comparable - Charlotte Hornets allowing 114.0, Toronto Raptors at 114.0.

Betting Trends

Against the spread, Charlotte Hornets are 11-11 while Toronto Raptors sit at 11-12.

The Angle

Sometimes the obvious play is the right one. Sometimes it isn't.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change

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Indiana Pacers @ Chicago Bulls

01:00 AM ET 4-18 vs 9-12 United Center
N/ASpread
237.5O/U
N/AIND ML
N/ACHI ML

INJURIES

IND: No key injuries

CHI: No key injuries

The Matchup

Don't sleep on this one. The Indiana Pacers (4-18) visit Chicago Bulls (9-12) in what shapes up to be a fascinating matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - Indiana Pacers at 114.0 PPG vs Chicago Bulls's 114.0. Both defenses have been comparable - Indiana Pacers allowing 114.0, Chicago Bulls at 114.0.

Betting Trends

Against the spread, Indiana Pacers are 11-11 while Chicago Bulls sit at 10-11.

The Angle

This total might be inflated given recent defensive performances. The value might not be where the public thinks.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change

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Phoenix Suns @ Houston Rockets

01:00 AM ET 13-9 vs 14-5 Toyota Center (Houston)
N/ASpread
220.5O/U
N/APHX ML
N/AHOU ML

INJURIES

PHX: No key injuries

HOU: No key injuries

The Matchup

Both teams come into this with something to prove. The Phoenix Suns (13-9) visit Houston Rockets (14-5) in what shapes up to be a fascinating matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - Phoenix Suns at 114.0 PPG vs Houston Rockets's 114.0. Both defenses have been comparable - Phoenix Suns allowing 114.0, Houston Rockets at 114.0.

Betting Trends

Against the spread, Phoenix Suns are 11-11 while Houston Rockets sit at 9-10.

The Angle

The total feels low based on how these offenses have been playing. Sometimes the obvious play is the right one. Sometimes it isn't.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change

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LA Clippers @ Memphis Grizzlies

01:00 AM ET 6-16 vs 9-13 FedExForum
N/ASpread
N/AO/U
N/ALAC ML
N/AMEM ML

INJURIES

LAC: No key injuries

MEM: No key injuries

The Matchup

When you dig into the advanced metrics, this game looks different than the surface suggests. The LA Clippers (6-16) visit Memphis Grizzlies (9-13) in what shapes up to be a fascinating matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - LA Clippers at 114.0 PPG vs Memphis Grizzlies's 114.0. Both defenses have been comparable - LA Clippers allowing 114.0, Memphis Grizzlies at 114.0.

Betting Trends

Against the spread, LA Clippers are 11-11 while Memphis Grizzlies sit at 10-12.

The Angle

Sharp bettors are paying attention to this one for a reason.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change

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Philadelphia 76ers @ Milwaukee Bucks

01:00 AM ET 12-9 vs 10-13 Fiserv Forum
N/ASpread
221.5O/U
N/APHI ML
N/AMIL ML

INJURIES

PHI: No key injuries

MIL: No key injuries

The Matchup

Sharp money has been moving this line, and there's a reason why. The Philadelphia 76ers (12-9) visit Milwaukee Bucks (10-13) in what shapes up to be a intriguing matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - Philadelphia 76ers at 114.0 PPG vs Milwaukee Bucks's 114.0. Both defenses have been comparable - Philadelphia 76ers allowing 114.0, Milwaukee Bucks at 114.0.

Betting Trends

Against the spread, Philadelphia 76ers are 10-11 while Milwaukee Bucks sit at 11-12.

The Angle

The total feels low based on how these offenses have been playing. The value might not be where the public thinks.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change

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Dallas Mavericks @ Oklahoma City Thunder

02:30 AM ET 8-15 vs 21-1 Paycom Center
N/ASpread
229.5O/U
N/ADAL ML
N/AOKC ML

INJURIES

DAL: No key injuries

OKC: No key injuries

The Matchup

Recent form matters a lot in this matchup. The Dallas Mavericks (8-15) visit Oklahoma City Thunder (21-1) in what shapes up to be a telling matchup.

By The Numbers

Offensively, these teams are evenly matched - Dallas Mavericks at 114.0 PPG vs Oklahoma City Thunder's 114.0. Both defenses have been comparable - Dallas Mavericks allowing 114.0, Oklahoma City Thunder at 114.0.

Betting Trends

Against the spread, Dallas Mavericks are 12-11 while Oklahoma City Thunder sit at 11-11.

The Angle

Sharp bettors are paying attention to this one for a reason.

Data: ESPN, The Odds API | Lines subject to change