NFL Week 11 Complete Breakdown: Sunday Through Monday Night Action
Posted: November 16, 2025
Week 11 brings fourteen matchups from Sunday morning's early kickoff through Monday Night Football. The slate features division rivalries, playoff positioning battles, and several games drawing massive consensus action. Let's break down every matchup with the verified betting data and key trends.
Washington at Miami 
(Sunday, 9:30 AM ET)
Line: WAS +2.5 / MIA -2.5 | Total: 47.0 | Public: 29% WAS / 71% MIA | Consensus Picks: 18
Two 3-7 teams meet in the early window with Miami drawing a massive 18 consensus picks - the most on the entire slate. Washington is 1-4 on the road with a 1-4 road ATS mark, while Miami sits at 2-3 at home with a 3-2 home ATS record. Both teams are 3-7 ATS overall and 3-7 in their last 10 games. The heavy public backing (71%) and consensus support for Miami as just 2.5-point favorites suggests sharp money sees value in the home team.
Green Bay at N.Y. Giants 
(Sunday, 1:00 PM ET)
Line: GB -7.5 / NYG +7.5 | Total: 42.5 | Public: 58% GB / 42% NYG | Consensus Picks: 11
Green Bay is 5-3 overall with a 2-1 road record, while the Giants are struggling at 2-8 with a 2-2 home mark. The Packers are 3-6 ATS overall including 1-3 on the road, which is worth noting when laying a touchdown. New York is 5-5 ATS overall and 2-2 at home ATS. Both teams are 5-3 and 2-8 in their last 10 respectively. The total of 42.5 is the lowest on the slate.
Chicago at Minnesota 
(Sunday, 1:00 PM ET)
Line: CHI +3 / MIN -3 | Total: 48.0 | Public: 38% CHI / 62% MIN | Consensus Picks: 15
NFC North division battle featuring Chicago at 6-3 overall with a 3-2 road record against Minnesota at 4-5 with a 1-3 home mark. The Bears are 5-4 ATS overall including 3-2 on the road, while Minnesota is 4-5 ATS overall but just 1-3 at home ATS. Chicago is 6-3 in their last 10 while Minnesota is 4-5. The Bears getting 3 points with their superior form is noteworthy.
Houston at Tennessee 
(Sunday, 1:00 PM ET)
Line: HOU -6 / TEN +6 | Total: 37.0 | Public: 65% HOU / 35% TEN | Consensus Picks: 12
Houston (4-5) travels to face Tennessee (1-8) in an AFC South clash. The Texans are 4-5 ATS overall including 1-3 on the road. Tennessee is winless at home at 0-4 this season with a 3-6 ATS overall mark and 1-3 home ATS. Both teams are 4-5 and 1-8 respectively in their last 10. The total of 37.0 is the lowest on the slate.
Tampa Bay at Buffalo 
(Sunday, 1:00 PM ET)
Line: TB +5.5 / BUF -5.5 | Total: 47.0 | Public: 46% TB / 54% BUF | Consensus Picks: 15
Tampa Bay enters at 6-3 overall with an impressive 4-1 road record, while Buffalo is 6-3 with a 4-1 home mark. The Bucs are 5-4 ATS overall with a stellar 4-1 road ATS record. Buffalo is 4-5 ATS overall but just 2-3 at home ATS. Both teams are 6-3 in their last 10. Tampa getting 5.5 points with their elite road ATS metrics looks interesting.
Carolina at Atlanta 
(Sunday, 1:00 PM ET)
Line: CAR +3.5 / ATL -3.5 | Total: 42.5 | Public: 42% CAR / 58% ATL | Consensus Picks: 17
This NFC South rivalry has drawn 17 consensus picks - second-most on the slate. Carolina is 5-5 overall with a 2-3 road record, while Atlanta sits at 3-6 with a 2-2 home mark. The Panthers are 6-4 ATS overall including 3-2 on the road. Atlanta is 4-4-1 ATS overall and 2-2 at home. Carolina is 5-5 in their last 10 while Atlanta is 3-6. The total of 42.5 ties for the lowest.
L.A. Chargers at Jacksonville 
(Sunday, 1:00 PM ET)
Line: LAC -3 / JAC +3 | Total: 43.5 | Public: 70% LAC / 30% JAC | Consensus Picks: 11
The Chargers bring a 7-3 record and 3-1 road mark to Jacksonville (5-4, 3-2 home). LA is 4-5-1 ATS overall but just 1-3 on the road ATS. Jacksonville is 4-4-1 ATS overall including 3-2 at home ATS. Both teams are 7-3 and 5-4 in their last 10. The Chargers' poor road ATS record (1-3) is concerning when laying points.
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh 
(Sunday, 1:00 PM ET)
Line: CIN +5.5 / PIT -5.5 | Total: 49.0 | Public: 47% CIN / 53% PIT | Consensus Picks: 13
AFC North clash with Cincinnati at 3-6 overall and 1-3 on the road against Pittsburgh at 5-4 with a 3-2 home mark. The Bengals are 3-6 ATS overall including 1-3 on the road. Pittsburgh is 4-5 ATS overall including 3-2 at home. Both teams are 3-6 and 5-4 respectively in their last 10. The total of 49.0 is the highest on the slate.
Seattle at L.A. Rams 
(Sunday, 4:05 PM ET)
Line: SEA +3 / LA -3 | Total: 48.5 | Public: 38% SEA / 62% LA | Consensus Picks: 14
Massive NFC West showdown between two 7-2 teams. Seattle is perfect 4-0 on the road with a 7-2 ATS overall record including 4-0 road ATS. The Rams are 7-2 overall with a 3-1 home record and 7-2 ATS overall including 3-1 at home. Both teams are 7-2 in their last 10. Seattle's perfect road ATS record is remarkable.
San Francisco at Arizona 
(Sunday, 4:05 PM ET)
Line: SF -3 / ARI +3 | Total: 48.5 | Public: 69% SF / 31% ARI | Consensus Picks: 13
San Francisco (6-4, 4-2 road) travels to Arizona (3-6, 1-3 home). The 49ers are 5-5 ATS overall including 4-2 on the road ATS. Arizona is 5-4 ATS overall but just 1-3 at home ATS. San Francisco is 6-4 in their last 10 while Arizona is 3-6. The 49ers' strong road ATS record stands out.
Baltimore at Cleveland 
(Sunday, 4:25 PM ET)
Line: BAL -8.5 / CLE +8.5 | Total: 39.0 | Public: 63% BAL / 37% CLE | Consensus Picks: 12
Baltimore (4-5, 2-2 road) visits Cleveland (2-7, 2-2 home) in an AFC North matchup. The Ravens are 4-5 ATS overall including 2-2 on the road. Cleveland is 3-6 ATS overall but 3-1 at home ATS - showing they compete well at home despite their record. Both teams are 4-5 and 2-7 respectively in their last 10. The total of 39.0 is among the lowest.
Kansas City at Denver 
(Sunday, 4:25 PM ET)
Line: KC -4 / DEN +4 | Total: 45.0 | Public: 50% KC / 50% DEN | Consensus Picks: 16
Massive AFC West battle with a perfect 50-50 public split. Kansas City is 5-4 overall with a 1-3 road record, while Denver is 8-2 with a perfect 5-0 home record. The Chiefs are 5-4 ATS overall including just 1-3 on the road ATS. Denver is 4-5-1 ATS overall and 2-3 at home ATS. Both teams are 5-4 and 8-2 in their last 10. Denver's undefeated home record getting 4 points is notable.
Detroit at Philadelphia 
(Sunday, 8:20 PM ET)
Line: DET +2.5 / PHI -2.5 | Total: 46.5 | Public: 50% DET / 50% PHI | Consensus Picks: 13
Sunday Night Football features another 50-50 public split. Detroit is 6-3 overall with a 3-2 road record, while Philadelphia is 7-2 with a 3-1 home mark. The Lions are 6-3 ATS overall including 3-2 on the road. Philadelphia is 6-3 ATS overall including 2-2 at home. Both teams are 6-3 and 7-2 respectively in their last 10. True toss-up game.
Dallas at Las Vegas 
(Monday, 8:15 PM ET)
Line: DAL -3.5 / LV +3.5 | Total: 50.0 | Public: 66% DAL / 34% LV | Consensus Picks: 12
Monday Night Football closes the week with Dallas (3-5, 1-4 road) at Las Vegas (2-7, 1-3 home). The Cowboys are 4-5 ATS overall including 2-3 on the road. Las Vegas is 3-5-1 ATS overall and 1-2-1 at home. Dallas is 3-5 in their last 10 while Vegas is 2-7. The total of 50.0 is the highest on the slate.
Week 11 Betting Summary
The Washington-Miami game drew the most consensus picks (18) with 71% public backing for Miami. Carolina-Atlanta drew 17 consensus picks with the Panthers' 6-4 ATS record attracting sharp action despite getting 3.5 points. Kansas City-Denver drew 16 picks with a perfect 50-50 public split and Denver's undefeated 5-0 home record.
Seattle stands out with a perfect 4-0 road ATS record getting 3 points at the Rams. Tampa Bay's 4-1 road ATS record getting 5.5 at Buffalo is notable given the Bills' 2-3 home ATS mark. Cleveland is 3-1 home ATS getting 8.5 points from Baltimore. Two games feature perfect 50-50 public splits: Kansas City-Denver and Detroit-Philadelphia.
Totals range from 37.0 (Houston-Tennessee) to 50.0 (Dallas-Las Vegas). Tennessee is winless at home (0-4) hosting Houston. The Chargers are just 1-3 road ATS despite laying 3 at Jacksonville.
