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Denver Nuggets ATS and Betting Record 2025-26
The Nuggets went 54-28 in the 2025-26 regular season and 44-38 against the spread (53.7% covers, 11th of 30 NBA teams). One unit on their moneyline every game returned +12.18u. Their games went 51-31-0 against the total, leaning over.
Updated October 1, 2026. Closing lines, regular season games only, 2016-17 to 2025-26. How these numbers are calculated.
Nuggets 2025-26 betting summary
At home the Nuggets were 20-21 ATS; on the road 24-17 ATS.
Nuggets betting record by season
| Season | Record | ATS | Cover % | ML units | O/U/P | Avg total | Points/G | Allowed/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 54-28 | 44-38 | 53.7% | +12.18u | 51-31-0 | 234.7 | 122.1 | 116.9 |
| 2024-25 | 50-32 | 38-44 | 46.3% | +2.06u | 48-34-0 | 232.6 | 120.8 | 116.9 |
| 2023-24 | 57-25 | 38-44 | 46.3% | +1.23u | 35-47-0 | 225.9 | 114.9 | 109.6 |
| 2022-23 | 53-29 | 44-37-1 | 54.3% | +4.10u | 37-44-1 | 229.9 | 115.8 | 112.5 |
| 2021-22 | 48-34 | 37-45 | 45.1% | -0.27u | 45-35-2 | 221.1 | 112.7 | 110.4 |
| 2020-21 | 47-25 | 34-38 | 47.2% | +1.42u | 38-32-2 | 223.4 | 115.1 | 110.1 |
| 2019-20 | 46-27 | 34-36-3 | 48.6% | +8.64u | 37-35-1 | 216.8 | 111.3 | 109.2 |
| 2018-19 | 54-28 | 42-40 | 51.2% | +1.75u | 34-47-1 | 220.1 | 110.7 | 106.7 |
| 2017-18 | 46-36 | 37-42-3 | 46.8% | -6.04u | 41-39-2 | 216.6 | 110.0 | 108.5 |
| 2016-17 | 40-42 | 46-34-2 | 57.5% | -0.80u | 50-31-1 | 218.8 | 111.7 | 111.2 |
| All 10 seasons | 495-306 | 394-398-9 | 49.7% | +24.27u | 416-375-10 | 224.1 | 114.5 | 111.2 |
Nuggets betting splits, 2025-26
| Situation | Games | Record | ATS | Cover % | ATS units | ML units | O/U/P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 41 | 28-13 | 20-21 | 48.8% | -2.91u | -1.33u | 22-19-0 |
| Road | 41 | 26-15 | 24-17 | 58.5% | +5.23u | +13.52u | 29-12-0 |
| Favored by the spread | 57 | 41-16 | 26-31 | 45.6% | -6.80u | -2.44u | 37-20-0 |
| Underdog by the spread | 25 | 13-12 | 18-7 | 72.0% | +9.12u | +14.63u | 14-11-0 |
| Favored by 7 or more | 28 | 23-5 | 13-15 | 46.4% | -3.00u | -1.09u | 17-11-0 |
| Underdog by 7 or more | 8 | 5-3 | 7-1 | 87.5% | +5.33u | +13.90u | 3-5-0 |
| Second night of a back to back | 17 | 11-6 | 9-8 | 52.9% | +0.23u | +8.62u | 13-4-0 |
| Two or more days of rest | 17 | 13-4 | 12-5 | 70.6% | +6.06u | +1.85u | 10-7-0 |
| After a win | 53 | 33-20 | 27-26 | 50.9% | -1.38u | +4.35u | 33-20-0 |
| After a loss | 28 | 21-7 | 17-11 | 60.7% | +4.70u | +8.83u | 17-11-0 |
| After covering | 43 | 22-21 | 19-24 | 44.2% | -6.76u | -1.91u | 27-16-0 |
| After failing to cover | 38 | 32-6 | 25-13 | 65.8% | +10.08u | +15.09u | 23-15-0 |
| vs Northwest Division | 16 | 11-5 | 9-7 | 56.2% | +1.41u | +0.14u | 11-5-0 |
| vs Western Conference | 52 | 36-16 | 28-24 | 53.8% | +1.73u | +4.57u | 37-15-0 |
| vs the other conference | 30 | 18-12 | 16-14 | 53.3% | +0.60u | +7.62u | 14-16-0 |
By month
| Situation | Games | Record | ATS | Cover % | ATS units | ML units | O/U/P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October | 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 60.0% | +0.65u | -1.20u | 3-2-0 |
| November | 14 | 11-3 | 9-5 | 64.3% | +3.57u | +1.96u | 9-5-0 |
| December | 14 | 9-5 | 7-7 | 50.0% | -0.66u | +0.98u | 10-4-0 |
| January | 16 | 10-6 | 10-6 | 62.5% | +3.05u | +11.01u | 7-9-0 |
| February | 11 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 45.5% | -1.44u | -5.31u | 8-3-0 |
| March | 16 | 11-5 | 7-9 | 43.8% | -2.62u | -0.83u | 9-7-0 |
| April | 6 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 50.0% | -0.22u | +5.57u | 5-1-0 |
Nuggets record against every opponent, 2025-26
| Opponent | Games | Record | ATS | ML units | O/U/P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | 4 | 2-2 | 1-3 | -0.89u | 4-0-0 |
| Golden State Warriors | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | -1.73u | 3-1-0 |
| Houston Rockets | 4 | 3-1 | 3-1 | +1.28u | 1-3-0 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 4 | 3-1 | 1-3 | -0.46u | 2-2-0 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 4 | 3-1 | 3-1 | +1.68u | 2-2-0 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 4 | 1-3 | 3-1 | -2.30u | 4-0-0 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 4 | 3-1 | 2-2 | +0.34u | 3-1-0 |
| Sacramento Kings | 4 | 3-1 | 2-2 | -0.34u | 3-1-0 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 4 | 3-1 | 3-1 | +5.19u | 4-0-0 |
| Utah Jazz | 4 | 4-0 | 1-3 | +0.41u | 2-2-0 |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 | +0.80u | 3-0-0 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | -1.53u | 1-2-0 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 | +1.00u | 2-1-0 |
| Phoenix Suns | 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 | +1.11u | 3-0-0 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | -0.38u | 1-1-0 |
| Boston Celtics | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | +3.50u | 0-2-0 |
| Brooklyn Nets | 2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | -0.59u | 2-0-0 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | -0.79u | 0-2-0 |
| Chicago Bulls | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | -0.71u | 2-0-0 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | -2.00u | 0-2-0 |
| Detroit Pistons | 2 | 0-2 | 2-0 | -2.00u | 1-1-0 |
| Indiana Pacers | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | +0.49u | 1-1-0 |
| Miami Heat | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | -0.68u | 1-1-0 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | +4.40u | 0-2-0 |
| New York Knicks | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | -2.00u | 2-0-0 |
| Orlando Magic | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | -0.63u | 2-0-0 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | +5.83u | 1-1-0 |
| Toronto Raptors | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | +2.57u | 0-2-0 |
| Washington Wizards | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | +0.61u | 1-1-0 |
Last 15 Nuggets games with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | ATS | Close ML | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12 | at Spurs | W 128-118 | +9.5 | Covered | +340 | 235.5 | Over |
| Apr 10 | vs Thunder | W 127-107 | -2.5 | Covered | -142 | 223.5 | Over |
| Apr 8 | vs Grizzlies | W 136-119 | -23.5 | Lost | -5000 | 247.5 | Over |
| Apr 6 | vs Trail Blazers | W 137-132 | -6.5 | Lost | -290 | 235.5 | Over |
| Apr 4 | vs Spurs | W 136-134 | +1.5 | Covered | +105 | 244.5 | Over |
| Apr 1 | at Jazz | W 130-117 | -17.5 | Lost | -1800 | 249.5 | Under |
| Mar 29 | vs Warriors | W 116-93 | -11.5 | Covered | -625 | 238.5 | Under |
| Mar 27 | vs Jazz | W 135-129 | -19.5 | Lost | -2100 | 247.5 | Over |
| Mar 25 | vs Mavericks | W 142-135 | -10.5 | Lost | -650 | 246.5 | Over |
| Mar 24 | at Suns | W 125-123 | -5.5 | Lost | -225 | 233.5 | Over |
| Mar 22 | vs Trail Blazers | W 128-112 | -8.5 | Covered | -340 | 237.5 | Over |
| Mar 20 | vs Raptors | W 121-115 | -6.5 | Lost | -270 | 239.5 | Under |
| Mar 18 | at Grizzlies | L 118-125 | -12.5 | Lost | -750 | 246.5 | Under |
| Mar 17 | vs 76ers | W 124-96 | -15.5 | Covered | -1200 | 235.5 | Under |
| Mar 14 | at Lakers | L 125-127 | -1.5 | Lost | -124 | 244.5 | Over |
The spread is shown from the Nuggets' side.
Nuggets betting FAQ
What is the Nuggets ATS record in 2025-26?
44-38 against the closing spread (53.7% covers) and 54-28 straight up (the 2025-26 regular season).
How do the Nuggets do against the spread at home and on the road?
Home 20-21 ATS, road 24-17 ATS.
How do the Nuggets do on the second night of a back to back?
11-6 straight up and 9-8 ATS in 17 games.
Do the Nuggets cover more as favorites or underdogs?
Favored: 26-31 ATS. Underdog: 18-7 ATS.
Do Nuggets games go over or under?
51 overs, 31 unders, 0 pushes against the closing total in 2025-26; the average total was 234.7.
What was the Nuggets' best ATS season since 2016-17?
2016-17: 46-34-2 ATS. All 10 seasons: 394-398-9.
Methodology
Final scores and closing lines for every regular season game since 2016-17 come from the Bet Legend game database, and every game is checked against ESPN's official final score; play in, playoff and NBA Cup championship games are excluded (the Cup final does not count in the standings). A team covers when its final margin plus its closing spread is above zero, and an exact landing is a push. Moneyline units risk 1 unit at the closing price. ATS units, where shown, use the sportsbook closing spread and price that ESPN publishes (DraftKings or ESPN BET); from 2024-25 on that close is also the spread used for the ATS record. A back to back is a game played the day after the team's previous game. These are market results, not BetLegend picks; our own picks are on the NBA betting record page.