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Golden State Warriors ATS and Betting Record 2025-26
The Warriors went 37-45 in the 2025-26 regular season and 35-47 against the spread (42.7% covers, 28th of 30 NBA teams). One unit on their moneyline every game returned -21.07u. Their games went 48-34-0 against the total, leaning over.
Updated October 1, 2026. Closing lines, regular season games only, 2016-17 to 2025-26. How these numbers are calculated.
Warriors 2025-26 betting summary
At home the Warriors were 18-23 ATS; on the road 17-24 ATS.
Warriors betting record by season
| Season | Record | ATS | Cover % | ML units | O/U/P | Avg total | Points/G | Allowed/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 37-45 | 35-47 | 42.7% | -21.07u | 48-34-0 | 228.2 | 114.6 | 115.2 |
| 2024-25 | 48-34 | 43-38 | 53.1% | -0.06u | 41-41-0 | 226.6 | 113.8 | 110.5 |
| 2023-24 | 46-36 | 42-40 | 51.2% | -7.91u | 42-40-0 | 231.2 | 117.8 | 115.2 |
| 2022-23 | 44-38 | 39-42-1 | 48.1% | -9.27u | 45-36-1 | 233.7 | 118.9 | 117.1 |
| 2021-22 | 53-29 | 41-37-4 | 52.6% | +2.35u | 35-45-2 | 220.4 | 111.0 | 105.5 |
| 2020-21 | 39-33 | 37-35 | 51.4% | +4.33u | 30-41-1 | 228.3 | 113.7 | 112.7 |
| 2019-20 | 15-50 | 31-33-1 | 48.4% | -6.28u | 31-34-0 | 220.6 | 106.3 | 115.0 |
| 2018-19 | 57-25 | 35-46-1 | 43.2% | -9.67u | 38-44-0 | 228.3 | 117.7 | 111.2 |
| 2017-18 | 58-24 | 34-47-1 | 42.0% | -11.04u | 40-42-0 | 221.2 | 113.5 | 107.5 |
| 2016-17 | 67-15 | 42-38-2 | 52.5% | -2.36u | 32-49-1 | 222.3 | 115.9 | 104.3 |
| All 10 seasons | 464-329 | 379-403-10 | 48.5% | -60.99u | 382-406-5 | 226.2 | 114.5 | 111.3 |
Warriors betting splits, 2025-26
| Situation | Games | Record | ATS | Cover % | ATS units | ML units | O/U/P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 41 | 22-19 | 18-23 | 43.9% | -6.54u | -11.44u | 25-16-0 |
| Road | 41 | 15-26 | 17-24 | 41.5% | -8.15u | -9.64u | 23-18-0 |
| Favored by the spread | 50 | 29-21 | 21-29 | 42.0% | -9.51u | -10.91u | 33-17-0 |
| Underdog by the spread | 32 | 8-24 | 14-18 | 43.8% | -5.18u | -10.16u | 15-17-0 |
| Favored by 7 or more | 24 | 19-5 | 12-12 | 50.0% | -1.01u | -0.50u | 15-9-0 |
| Underdog by 7 or more | 16 | 2-14 | 6-10 | 37.5% | -4.35u | -8.40u | 8-8-0 |
| Second night of a back to back | 16 | 7-9 | 7-9 | 43.8% | -2.59u | -4.58u | 10-6-0 |
| Two or more days of rest | 18 | 8-10 | 9-9 | 50.0% | -0.87u | -2.63u | 13-5-0 |
| After a win | 37 | 14-23 | 12-25 | 32.4% | -13.82u | -17.47u | 22-15-0 |
| After a loss | 44 | 22-22 | 22-22 | 50.0% | -1.79u | -4.54u | 25-19-0 |
| After covering | 35 | 15-20 | 15-20 | 42.9% | -6.01u | -11.68u | 22-13-0 |
| After failing to cover | 46 | 21-25 | 19-27 | 41.3% | -9.59u | -10.34u | 25-21-0 |
| vs Pacific Division | 16 | 7-9 | 5-11 | 31.2% | -6.36u | -4.92u | 6-10-0 |
| vs Western Conference | 52 | 24-28 | 22-30 | 42.3% | -9.83u | -11.49u | 31-21-0 |
| vs the other conference | 30 | 13-17 | 13-17 | 43.3% | -4.86u | -9.58u | 17-13-0 |
By month
| Situation | Games | Record | ATS | Cover % | ATS units | ML units | O/U/P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October | 6 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 66.7% | +1.64u | -0.02u | 5-1-0 |
| November | 15 | 7-8 | 6-9 | 40.0% | -3.37u | -4.49u | 8-7-0 |
| December | 13 | 7-6 | 6-7 | 46.2% | -1.37u | -0.18u | 8-5-0 |
| January | 16 | 9-7 | 8-8 | 50.0% | -0.71u | -2.93u | 9-7-0 |
| February | 10 | 4-6 | 3-7 | 30.0% | -4.36u | -1.55u | 6-4-0 |
| March | 15 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 33.3% | -5.26u | -5.99u | 9-6-0 |
| April | 7 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 42.9% | -1.26u | -5.91u | 3-4-0 |
Warriors record against every opponent, 2025-26
| Opponent | Games | Record | ATS | ML units | O/U/P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | +0.03u | 3-1-0 |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | -2.50u | 0-4-0 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | -2.06u | 2-2-0 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | -1.36u | 2-2-0 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 4 | 0-4 | 1-3 | -4.00u | 2-2-0 |
| Phoenix Suns | 4 | 3-1 | 2-2 | +1.42u | 1-3-0 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | -2.79u | 3-1-0 |
| Sacramento Kings | 4 | 2-2 | 1-3 | -1.78u | 3-1-0 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 4 | 2-2 | 3-1 | +0.50u | 3-1-0 |
| Utah Jazz | 4 | 3-1 | 2-2 | -0.27u | 3-1-0 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 | +0.06u | 3-0-0 |
| Houston Rockets | 3 | 1-2 | 2-1 | +0.65u | 2-1-0 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 | +1.16u | 3-0-0 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | -0.56u | 1-2-0 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | -2.00u | 1-1-0 |
| Boston Celtics | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | -2.00u | 2-0-0 |
| Brooklyn Nets | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | +0.62u | 1-1-0 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | +0.69u | 2-0-0 |
| Chicago Bulls | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | -0.13u | 1-1-0 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 2 | 1-1 | 2-0 | +1.95u | 0-2-0 |
| Detroit Pistons | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | -2.00u | 1-1-0 |
| Indiana Pacers | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | -0.85u | 0-2-0 |
| Miami Heat | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | -0.51u | 1-1-0 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | -0.61u | 2-0-0 |
| New York Knicks | 2 | 1-1 | 2-0 | -0.62u | 1-1-0 |
| Orlando Magic | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | -0.57u | 1-1-0 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | -2.00u | 0-2-0 |
| Toronto Raptors | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | -2.00u | 2-0-0 |
| Washington Wizards | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | +0.46u | 2-0-0 |
Last 15 Warriors games with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | ATS | Close ML | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12 | at Clippers | L 110-115 | +3.5 | Lost | +136 | 229.5 | Under |
| Apr 10 | at Kings | L 118-124 | -10.5 | Lost | -500 | 228.5 | Over |
| Apr 9 | vs Lakers | L 103-119 | -1.5 | Lost | -118 | 222.5 | Under |
| Apr 7 | vs Kings | W 110-105 | -14.5 | Lost | -1100 | 233.5 | Under |
| Apr 5 | vs Rockets | L 116-117 | +3.5 | Covered | +150 | 227.5 | Over |
| Apr 2 | vs Cavaliers | L 111-118 | +10.5 | Covered | +370 | 230.5 | Under |
| Apr 1 | vs Spurs | L 113-127 | +14.5 | Covered | +700 | 228.5 | Over |
| Mar 29 | at Nuggets | L 93-116 | +11.5 | Lost | +455 | 238.5 | Under |
| Mar 27 | vs Wizards | W 131-126 | -12.5 | Lost | -750 | 230.5 | Over |
| Mar 25 | vs Nets | W 109-106 | -12.5 | Lost | -625 | 217.5 | Under |
| Mar 23 | at Mavericks | W 137-131 | -3.5 | Covered | -135 | 230.5 | Over |
| Mar 21 | at Hawks | L 110-126 | +7.5 | Lost | +250 | 228.5 | Over |
| Mar 20 | at Pistons | L 101-115 | +6.5 | Lost | +195 | 219.5 | Under |
| Mar 18 | at Celtics | L 99-120 | +11.5 | Lost | +455 | 216.5 | Over |
| Mar 16 | at Wizards | W 125-117 | -7.5 | Covered | -310 | 234.5 | Over |
The spread is shown from the Warriors' side.
Warriors betting FAQ
What is the Warriors ATS record in 2025-26?
35-47 against the closing spread (42.7% covers) and 37-45 straight up (the 2025-26 regular season).
How do the Warriors do against the spread at home and on the road?
Home 18-23 ATS, road 17-24 ATS.
How do the Warriors do on the second night of a back to back?
7-9 straight up and 7-9 ATS in 16 games.
Do the Warriors cover more as favorites or underdogs?
Favored: 21-29 ATS. Underdog: 14-18 ATS.
Do Warriors games go over or under?
48 overs, 34 unders, 0 pushes against the closing total in 2025-26; the average total was 228.2.
What was the Warriors' best ATS season since 2016-17?
2024-25: 43-38 ATS. All 10 seasons: 379-403-10.
Methodology
Final scores and closing lines for every regular season game since 2016-17 come from the Bet Legend game database, and every game is checked against ESPN's official final score; play in, playoff and NBA Cup championship games are excluded (the Cup final does not count in the standings). A team covers when its final margin plus its closing spread is above zero, and an exact landing is a push. Moneyline units risk 1 unit at the closing price. ATS units, where shown, use the sportsbook closing spread and price that ESPN publishes (DraftKings or ESPN BET); from 2024-25 on that close is also the spread used for the ATS record. A back to back is a game played the day after the team's previous game. These are market results, not BetLegend picks; our own picks are on the NBA betting record page.