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Miami Heat ATS and Betting Record 2025-26
The Heat went 43-39 in the 2025-26 regular season and 46-36 against the spread (56.1% covers, 5th of 30 NBA teams). One unit on their moneyline every game returned -2.05u. Their games went 47-35-0 against the total, leaning over.
Updated October 1, 2026. Closing lines, regular season games only, 2016-17 to 2025-26. How these numbers are calculated.
Heat 2025-26 betting summary
At home the Heat were 23-18 ATS; on the road 23-18 ATS.
Heat betting record by season
| Season | Record | ATS | Cover % | ML units | O/U/P | Avg total | Points/G | Allowed/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 43-39 | 46-36 | 56.1% | -2.05u | 47-35-0 | 236.5 | 120.9 | 118.5 |
| 2024-25 | 37-45 | 38-42 | 47.5% | -13.25u | 44-38-0 | 218.9 | 110.6 | 110.0 |
| 2023-24 | 46-36 | 40-42 | 48.8% | -0.38u | 37-45-0 | 220.6 | 110.1 | 108.4 |
| 2022-23 | 44-38 | 31-49-2 | 38.8% | -6.59u | 40-42-0 | 219.7 | 109.5 | 109.8 |
| 2021-22 | 53-29 | 46-35-1 | 56.8% | +12.10u | 47-33-2 | 214.3 | 110.0 | 105.6 |
| 2020-21 | 40-32 | 34-36-2 | 48.6% | -4.37u | 38-34-0 | 217.7 | 108.1 | 108.0 |
| 2019-20 | 44-29 | 36-36-1 | 50.0% | +5.92u | 43-29-1 | 218.6 | 112.0 | 109.1 |
| 2018-19 | 39-43 | 42-39-1 | 51.9% | -0.34u | 42-38-2 | 214.2 | 105.7 | 105.9 |
| 2017-18 | 44-38 | 41-36-5 | 53.2% | -0.31u | 37-43-2 | 206.4 | 103.4 | 102.9 |
| 2016-17 | 41-41 | 49-33 | 59.8% | +10.76u | 38-44-0 | 205.3 | 103.2 | 102.1 |
| All 10 seasons | 431-370 | 403-384-12 | 51.2% | +1.49u | 413-381-7 | 217.2 | 109.3 | 108.0 |
Heat betting splits, 2025-26
| Situation | Games | Record | ATS | Cover % | ATS units | ML units | O/U/P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 41 | 26-15 | 23-18 | 56.1% | +2.92u | +4.45u | 24-17-0 |
| Road | 41 | 17-24 | 23-18 | 56.1% | +3.17u | -6.50u | 23-18-0 |
| Favored by the spread | 40 | 25-15 | 22-18 | 55.0% | +2.21u | -5.63u | 21-19-0 |
| Underdog by the spread | 42 | 18-24 | 24-18 | 57.1% | +3.88u | +3.58u | 26-16-0 |
| Favored by 7 or more | 16 | 14-2 | 11-5 | 68.8% | +4.94u | +1.27u | 7-9-0 |
| Underdog by 7 or more | 9 | 4-5 | 7-2 | 77.8% | +4.34u | +5.55u | 8-1-0 |
| Second night of a back to back | 17 | 13-4 | 13-4 | 76.5% | +7.81u | +7.65u | 9-8-0 |
| Two or more days of rest | 17 | 7-10 | 7-10 | 41.2% | -3.38u | -5.16u | 6-11-0 |
| After a win | 42 | 22-20 | 20-22 | 47.6% | -3.92u | -2.67u | 25-17-0 |
| After a loss | 39 | 21-18 | 25-14 | 64.1% | +9.10u | +1.62u | 21-18-0 |
| After covering | 45 | 24-21 | 23-22 | 51.1% | -1.16u | -1.48u | 27-18-0 |
| After failing to cover | 36 | 19-17 | 22-14 | 61.1% | +6.34u | +0.43u | 19-17-0 |
| vs Southeast Division | 17 | 10-7 | 11-6 | 64.7% | +4.10u | -1.77u | 11-6-0 |
| vs Eastern Conference | 52 | 27-25 | 29-23 | 55.8% | +3.50u | -5.67u | 28-24-0 |
| vs the other conference | 30 | 16-14 | 17-13 | 56.7% | +2.59u | +3.63u | 19-11-0 |
By month
| Situation | Games | Record | ATS | Cover % | ATS units | ML units | O/U/P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October | 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | 80.0% | +2.72u | +0.94u | 3-2-0 |
| November | 15 | 10-5 | 8-7 | 53.3% | +0.29u | +5.47u | 8-7-0 |
| December | 13 | 5-8 | 7-6 | 53.8% | +0.56u | -4.58u | 5-8-0 |
| January | 17 | 8-9 | 9-8 | 52.9% | +0.19u | +0.81u | 10-7-0 |
| February | 11 | 6-5 | 7-4 | 63.6% | +2.48u | -1.18u | 5-6-0 |
| March | 15 | 8-7 | 9-6 | 60.0% | +2.09u | -0.82u | 11-4-0 |
| April | 6 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 33.3% | -2.24u | -2.68u | 5-1-0 |
Heat record against every opponent, 2025-26
| Opponent | Games | Record | ATS | ML units | O/U/P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic | 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 | -5.00u | 3-2-0 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 4 | 3-1 | 3-1 | +1.10u | 2-2-0 |
| Boston Celtics | 4 | 0-4 | 1-3 | -4.00u | 2-2-0 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 4 | 3-1 | 3-1 | +1.75u | 3-1-0 |
| Chicago Bulls | 4 | 3-1 | 3-1 | +1.43u | 1-3-0 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | +1.39u | 3-1-0 |
| New York Knicks | 4 | 2-2 | 3-1 | +0.00u | 2-2-0 |
| Toronto Raptors | 4 | 0-4 | 0-4 | -4.00u | 1-3-0 |
| Washington Wizards | 4 | 4-0 | 3-1 | +0.38u | 3-1-0 |
| Brooklyn Nets | 3 | 3-0 | 3-0 | +0.59u | 1-2-0 |
| Detroit Pistons | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 | +1.63u | 2-1-0 |
| Indiana Pacers | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | -1.63u | 2-1-0 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | -0.38u | 1-2-0 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 | +1.06u | 2-1-0 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | -0.63u | 0-2-0 |
| Denver Nuggets | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | +0.05u | 1-1-0 |
| Golden State Warriors | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | -0.56u | 1-1-0 |
| Houston Rockets | 2 | 1-1 | 2-0 | +0.25u | 1-1-0 |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | +3.01u | 2-0-0 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | -2.00u | 2-0-0 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | +1.69u | 2-0-0 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | -2.00u | 1-1-0 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | +1.39u | 1-1-0 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 2 | 1-1 | 2-0 | +2.90u | 2-0-0 |
| Phoenix Suns | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | +2.32u | 1-1-0 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | +0.27u | 2-0-0 |
| Sacramento Kings | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | -0.44u | 1-1-0 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | -2.00u | 1-1-0 |
| Utah Jazz | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | -0.61u | 1-1-0 |
Last 15 Heat games with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | ATS | Close ML | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12 | vs Hawks | W 143-117 | -10.5 | Covered | -470 | 239.5 | Over |
| Apr 10 | at Wizards | W 140-117 | -15.5 | Covered | -1600 | 243.5 | Over |
| Apr 9 | at Raptors | L 114-128 | +4.5 | Lost | +142 | 236.5 | Over |
| Apr 7 | at Raptors | L 95-121 | +2.5 | Lost | +120 | 240.5 | Under |
| Apr 4 | vs Wizards | W 152-136 | -18.5 | Lost | -2400 | 245.5 | Over |
| Apr 1 | vs Celtics | L 129-147 | +4.5 | Lost | +164 | 229.5 | Over |
| Mar 30 | vs 76ers | W 119-109 | +2.5 | Covered | +120 | 242.5 | Under |
| Mar 29 | at Pacers | L 118-135 | -8.5 | Lost | -355 | 245.5 | Over |
| Mar 27 | at Cavaliers | L 128-149 | +5.5 | Lost | +180 | 240.5 | Over |
| Mar 25 | at Cavaliers | W 120-103 | +2.5 | Covered | +124 | 243.5 | Under |
| Mar 23 | vs Spurs | L 111-136 | +3.5 | Lost | +130 | 244.5 | Over |
| Mar 21 | at Rockets | L 122-123 | +2.5 | Covered | +120 | 228.5 | Over |
| Mar 19 | vs Lakers | L 126-134 | -3.5 | Lost | -148 | 242.5 | Over |
| Mar 17 | at Hornets | L 106-136 | +5.5 | Lost | +170 | 236.5 | Over |
| Mar 14 | vs Magic | L 117-121 | -4.5 | Lost | -153 | 236.5 | Over |
The spread is shown from the Heat' side.
Heat betting FAQ
What is the Heat ATS record in 2025-26?
46-36 against the closing spread (56.1% covers) and 43-39 straight up (the 2025-26 regular season).
How do the Heat do against the spread at home and on the road?
Home 23-18 ATS, road 23-18 ATS.
How do the Heat do on the second night of a back to back?
13-4 straight up and 13-4 ATS in 17 games.
Do the Heat cover more as favorites or underdogs?
Favored: 22-18 ATS. Underdog: 24-18 ATS.
Do Heat games go over or under?
47 overs, 35 unders, 0 pushes against the closing total in 2025-26; the average total was 236.5.
What was the Heat' best ATS season since 2016-17?
2016-17: 49-33 ATS. All 10 seasons: 403-384-12.
Methodology
Final scores and closing lines for every regular season game since 2016-17 come from the Bet Legend game database, and every game is checked against ESPN's official final score; play in, playoff and NBA Cup championship games are excluded (the Cup final does not count in the standings). A team covers when its final margin plus its closing spread is above zero, and an exact landing is a push. Moneyline units risk 1 unit at the closing price. ATS units, where shown, use the sportsbook closing spread and price that ESPN publishes (DraftKings or ESPN BET); from 2024-25 on that close is also the spread used for the ATS record. A back to back is a game played the day after the team's previous game. These are market results, not BetLegend picks; our own picks are on the NBA betting record page.