The Mets put twelve runs on the Yankees on Saturday with Gerrit Cole starting for New York. It was their fourth double digit night in eleven days. So the biggest play on this card, at 2 units, is the Mets scoring three runs or fewer on Sunday. That only makes sense once you look at who's pitching. Cam Schlittler has a 2.01 ERA, and he hasn't given up more than one run in any of his last six starts.
5.5 units to win, 7.72 at risk. All four prices are laying juice, so the unit figures are what gets won. Four plays across three afternoon games, and two of them live in the same ballpark in West Sacramento.
ON THIS CARD
All Four Plays And The Math
| Play | Price | To Win | Risk | Break Even | First Pitch ET |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets team total under 3.5 | -140 | 2 | 2.80 | 58.33% | 1:35 |
| Toronto Blue Jays ML | -146 | 1 | 1.46 | 59.35% | 1:37 |
| Seattle Mariners ML | -128 | 1 | 1.28 | 56.14% | 4:05 |
| Athletics team total under 4.5 | -145 | 1.5 | 2.18 | 59.18% | 4:05 |
The Mets under is the biggest risk on the card at 2.80 units, which is 36 percent of everything at stake. The Seattle moneyline and the Athletics under come from the same game and want the same thing, so treat them as one 3.46 unit position. Across all four, the card needs 58.38 percent.
Mets Under 3.5: Twelve Runs On Saturday Doesn't Carry Over To Schlittler
This is Schlittler's 2026 so far, straight from MLB's own stat feed this morning.
| Cam Schlittler, 2026 | Figure |
|---|---|
| Starts and record | 30 starts, 13-6 |
| ERA and WHIP | 2.01 and 0.92 |
| Strikeouts | 220 in 178.2 innings, 11.08 per nine |
| Opponent batting average | .189 |
| Starts allowing 3 runs or fewer | 26 of 30 |
| Last six starts | 5 runs in 39 innings, never more than 1 in a game |
The number that matters for this ticket isn't his ERA, though. It's the full game, bullpen included. In Schlittler's 30 starts, opponents have scored three runs or fewer 21 times. That's 70.0 percent against a price that needs 58.33. The Yankees are 19-11 in those games.
He's already seen this lineup once. On May 15 he threw 6.2 innings against the Mets, allowed one run and struck out nine, and New York lost that game 5-2.
The Mets come in at 69-79 and have scored 4.34 runs a game with a .706 OPS, .716 against right handers. Over a full season they've been held to three or fewer in 76 of 148 games, 51.4 percent. That's roughly a coin flip against everybody. The case here is that Schlittler isn't everybody. Christian Scott starts for the Mets with a 3.81 ERA, and he's gone 5.1 innings or fewer in five of his last six starts, so this game's run environment rests mostly on one side.
Blue Jays -146: Cease At Home With The Roof Closed
| 2026 | Dylan Cease, TOR | Trevor Rogers, BAL |
|---|---|---|
| ERA and WHIP | 2.40 and 1.04 | 4.15 and 1.21 |
| Strikeouts and innings | 227 in 161.1 | 138 in 151.2 |
| Opponent batting average | .177 | .252 |
| His team's record in his starts | 17-10 | 14-13 |
Toronto is 17-10 when Cease starts, 63.0 percent against a moneyline that needs 59.35. He strikes out 12.66 men per nine innings, and he's allowed three runs or fewer in 21 of his 27 starts. Opponents have scored three or fewer in 17 of the games he started.
Toronto sits at 74-75 and 38-36 at Rogers Centre, where the roof is closed for this one. The teams split the first two games of the series, Baltimore 7-4 on Friday and Toronto 7-3 on Saturday, and the Jays lead the season series 5-4. Baltimore is 72-77 and was shut out twice in Boston earlier this month.
Mariners -128 And Athletics Under 4.5: One Position In West Sacramento
The Athletics are 60-89, and they're 28-46 at Sutter Health Park, which is the worst part of the record. They've allowed 5.72 runs a game this season. On Saturday they lost 19-1 to Seattle.
Jacob Lopez starts for them. His season line reads 4.78 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 53 walks in 111 innings, and the Athletics are 10-11 when he takes the ball. In the games he's started, opponents have scored 5.90 runs a game once the bullpen gets involved. That is the case for the Seattle moneyline: it's a bet against the Athletics pitching staff as a whole, not against Lopez's last month.
Bryce Miller goes for Seattle, and the Athletics under is a bet on him. Across his 19 outings this season he's allowed four runs or fewer 14 times. He's walked just 29 hitters in 102.1 innings, a 1.14 WHIP, and the last time he saw the Athletics, on May 25, he went five innings, allowed two runs and Seattle won 9-2. The Athletics have scored 4.35 runs a game this season, and in two of their last six games against Seattle they scored 0 and 1.
The Argument Against These Four
Seattle is 5-13 in Bryce Miller's starts, and opponents have scored 6.72 runs a game in them. That's the single worst number on this card, and it cuts against both West Sacramento plays at once. His last six starts went 4, 5, 6, 6, 1 and 4 runs allowed, and he hasn't finished the sixth inning since August 12. Lopez has also been far better lately than his season line suggests: 12 earned runs in his last 36 innings, a 3.00 ERA.
At home, the Athletics have scored four or fewer in 37 of 74 games. That's 50.0 percent against a price that needs 59.18, and they scored 7, 7, 6 and 6 in four of their last six games against Seattle. Seattle is also 30-44 on the road and has a .637 OPS against left handed pitching.
The Mets are hot, and it isn't close. They've averaged 5.60 runs over their last 20 games and scored 10, 10, 9, 15 and 12 in five of their last nine. The forecast at Yankee Stadium is 76 degrees with the wind blowing out to right field at 6 mph.
Toronto has a .651 OPS against left handers, and Rogers is a lefty whose last two starts were 6.2 innings with 2 runs and 11 strikeouts against Colorado, then 7.1 innings with 1 run against Cleveland.
All four plays went on the verified record with their prices before first pitch, and all four get graded there, win or lose.
Card FAQ
What are the BetLegend MLB plays for Sunday September 13?
Four plays. New York Mets team total under 3.5 at -140 for 2 units, Athletics team total under 4.5 at -145 for 1.5 units, Toronto Blue Jays moneyline at -146 for 1 unit and Seattle Mariners moneyline at -128 for 1 unit.
How much is the card risking?
All four prices are laying juice, so the unit figures are the amount being won. The card is 5.5 units to win and 7.72 units at risk, a 58.38 percent break even across the whole thing.
Why the Mets team total under after they scored 12 on Saturday?
Because Saturday's starter was Gerrit Cole and Sunday's is Cam Schlittler. Schlittler has a 2.01 ERA, a 0.92 WHIP and 220 strikeouts in 178.2 innings, and he has allowed three runs or fewer in 26 of his 30 starts. He faced the Mets on May 15 and gave up one run in 6.2 innings with nine strikeouts.
Why Toronto at -146?
Dylan Cease has a 2.40 ERA and 227 strikeouts in 161.1 innings, and Toronto is 17-10 in his starts, 63.0 percent against a price that needs 59.35.
Why two plays in the Mariners and Athletics game?
Both lean on the same thing, an Athletics offense held down on Sunday. They are one position of 3.46 units at risk, and they need to be read that way.
Where can these plays be verified?
All four were posted with their prices and unit sizes before first pitch on the verified BetLegend record at trustmyrecord.com, and they are graded there afterwards whether they win or lose.