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Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Record 2025-26
The Lightning went 50-32 in the 2025-26 regular season. One unit on them at the closing moneyline in every game returned +1.24u (+1.5% ROI), 12th of 32 NHL teams. They were 41-41 on the puck line and 43-39-0 against the total, leaning over (16th in over percentage).
Updated October 11, 2026. Closing lines, regular season games only, 2016-17 to 2026-27. How these numbers are calculated.
Lightning 2025-26 betting summary
At home the Lightning were 26-15 (+0.28u); on the road 24-17 (+0.96u).
Lightning betting record by season
Moneyline units assume 1 unit on the Lightning every game at the closing price. Best season in this span: 2018-19 (+18.73u); worst: 2022-23 (-8.45u).
| Season | Record | ML units | ML ROI | Puck line | O/U/P | Avg total | Goals/G | Allowed/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 4-1 | +1.21u | +24.1% | 3-2 | 2-3-0 | 5.90 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| 2025-26 | 50-32 | +1.24u | +1.5% | 41-41 | 43-39-0 | 5.98 | 3.54 | 2.82 |
| 2024-25 | 47-35 | -4.33u | -5.3% | 42-40 | 45-37-0 | 5.50 | 3.59 | 2.67 |
| 2023-24 | 45-37 | -0.83u | -1.0% | 44-38 | 54-26-2 | 5.55 | 3.55 | 3.27 |
| 2022-23 | 46-36 | -8.45u | -10.3% | 37-45 | 50-32-0 | 5.70 | 3.45 | 3.10 |
| 2021-22 | 51-31 | -1.60u | -2.0% | 37-45 | 43-37-2 | 5.96 | 3.50 | 2.84 |
| 2020-21 | 36-20 | -0.93u | -1.7% | 24-32 | 29-25-2 | 5.62 | 3.23 | 2.62 |
| 2019-20 | 43-27 | +0.77u | +1.1% | 31-39 | 37-31-2 | 6.31 | 3.50 | 2.79 |
| 2018-19 | 62-20 | +18.73u | +22.8% | 44-38 | 44-35-3 | 6.32 | 3.96 | 2.71 |
| 2017-18 | 54-28 | +7.44u | +9.1% | 37-45 | 50-31-1 | 5.77 | 3.61 | 2.88 |
| 2016-17 | 42-40 | -5.14u | -6.3% | 44-38 | 38-38-6 | 5.27 | 2.85 | 2.77 |
| All 11 seasons | 480-307 | +8.10u | +1.0% | 384-403 | 435-334-18 | 5.80 | 3.48 | 2.85 |
Lightning betting splits, 2025-26
| Situation | Games | Record | ML units | ML ROI | Puck line | PL units | O/U/P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 41 | 26-15 | +0.28u | +0.7% | 16-25 | -3.21u | 20-21-0 |
| Road | 41 | 24-17 | +0.96u | +2.3% | 25-16 | +3.36u | 23-18-0 |
| As favorite | 71 | 43-28 | -2.14u | -3.0% | 31-40 | -2.99u | 37-34-0 |
| As underdog | 11 | 7-4 | +3.38u | +30.7% | 10-1 | +3.13u | 6-5-0 |
| Favorite of -150 or shorter | 40 | 28-12 | +2.49u | +6.2% | 18-22 | +1.26u | 23-17-0 |
| Second night of a back to back | 15 | 7-8 | -2.31u | -15.4% | 7-8 | not priced | 9-6-0 |
| With at least a day of rest | 67 | 43-24 | +3.54u | +5.3% | 34-33 | +8.37u | 34-33-0 |
| After a win | 50 | 34-16 | +5.70u | +11.4% | 26-24 | +1.09u | 26-24-0 |
| After a loss | 31 | 16-15 | -3.47u | -11.2% | 15-16 | +0.05u | 16-15-0 |
| vs Atlantic Division | 26 | 16-10 | +0.51u | +2.0% | 12-14 | -3.58u | 15-11-0 |
| vs Eastern Conference | 50 | 27-23 | -4.46u | -8.9% | 24-26 | -3.12u | 28-22-0 |
| vs the other conference | 32 | 23-9 | +5.70u | +17.8% | 17-15 | +3.27u | 15-17-0 |
By month
| Situation | Games | Record | ML units | ML ROI | Puck line | PL units | O/U/P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October | 11 | 5-6 | -2.89u | -26.3% | 3-8 | -7.11u | 5-6-0 |
| November | 14 | 11-3 | +6.22u | +44.4% | 10-4 | +5.03u | 8-6-0 |
| December | 14 | 7-7 | -2.04u | -14.6% | 5-9 | not priced | 8-6-0 |
| January | 13 | 11-2 | +5.09u | +39.1% | 9-4 | +6.94u | 5-8-0 |
| February | 6 | 4-2 | -0.15u | -2.5% | 3-3 | -0.09u | 5-1-0 |
| March | 16 | 8-8 | -3.55u | -22.2% | 8-8 | +0.32u | 9-7-0 |
| April | 8 | 4-4 | -1.44u | -18.0% | 3-5 | -3.04u | 3-5-0 |
Lightning record against every opponent, 2025-26
| Opponent | Games | Record | ML units | Puck line | O/U/P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 4 | 4-0 | +2.51u | 2-2 | 2-2-0 |
| Buffalo Sabres | 4 | 1-3 | -2.51u | 1-3 | 3-1-0 |
| Detroit Red Wings | 4 | 3-1 | +0.73u | 2-2 | 2-2-0 |
| Florida Panthers | 4 | 3-1 | +1.56u | 3-1 | 3-1-0 |
| Montreal Canadiens | 4 | 2-2 | -0.42u | 1-3 | 2-2-0 |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 3 | 1-2 | -1.26u | 2-1 | 2-1-0 |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 3 | 0-3 | -3.00u | 1-2 | 2-1-0 |
| New Jersey Devils | 3 | 2-1 | +0.39u | 2-1 | 3-0-0 |
| New York Islanders | 3 | 0-3 | -3.00u | 0-3 | 0-3-0 |
| New York Rangers | 3 | 1-2 | -0.90u | 1-2 | 1-2-0 |
| Ottawa Senators | 3 | 1-2 | -1.26u | 1-2 | 2-1-0 |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 3 | 3-0 | +1.82u | 3-0 | 2-1-0 |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 3 | 2-1 | +0.29u | 1-2 | 2-1-0 |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 | 2-1 | -0.10u | 2-1 | 1-2-0 |
| Washington Capitals | 3 | 2-1 | +0.69u | 2-1 | 1-2-0 |
| Anaheim Ducks | 2 | 2-0 | +1.17u | 0-2 | 2-0-0 |
| Calgary Flames | 2 | 1-1 | -0.39u | 1-1 | 2-0-0 |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 2 | 1-1 | -0.68u | 0-2 | 0-2-0 |
| Colorado Avalanche | 2 | 1-1 | -0.02u | 2-0 | 0-2-0 |
| Dallas Stars | 2 | 2-0 | +1.49u | 1-1 | 0-2-0 |
| Edmonton Oilers | 2 | 2-0 | +1.33u | 1-1 | 1-1-0 |
| Los Angeles Kings | 2 | 1-1 | +0.05u | 1-1 | 1-1-0 |
| Minnesota Wild | 2 | 1-1 | -0.32u | 1-1 | 1-1-0 |
| Nashville Predators | 2 | 2-0 | +1.13u | 1-1 | 1-1-0 |
| San Jose Sharks | 2 | 2-0 | +0.78u | 2-0 | 1-1-0 |
| Seattle Kraken | 2 | 1-1 | -0.46u | 1-1 | 2-0-0 |
| St. Louis Blues | 2 | 1-1 | -0.60u | 1-1 | 0-2-0 |
| Utah Mammoth | 2 | 2-0 | +1.65u | 2-0 | 1-1-0 |
| Vancouver Canucks | 2 | 1-1 | -0.71u | 1-1 | 2-0-0 |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 2 | 2-0 | +1.74u | 1-1 | 1-1-0 |
| Winnipeg Jets | 2 | 1-1 | -0.46u | 1-1 | 0-2-0 |
Last 15 Lightning games with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close ML | Puck line | Total | O/U | ML units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15 | vs Rangers | L 2-4 | -142 | -1.5 | 6.5 | Under | -1.00u |
| Apr 13 | vs Red Wings | W 4-3 | -198 | -1.5 | 6.5 | Over | +0.51u |
| Apr 11 | at Bruins | W 2-1 | -115 | +1.5 | 6.5 | Under | +0.87u |
| Apr 9 | at Canadiens | L 1-2 | -122 | -1.5 | 6.5 | Under | -1.00u |
| Apr 7 | at Senators | L 2-6 | +120 | +1.5 | 6.5 | Over | -1.00u |
| Apr 6 | at Sabres | L 2-4 | -122 | -1.5 | 6.5 | Under | -1.00u |
| Apr 4 | vs Bruins | W 3-1 | -175 | -1.5 | 6.5 | Under | +0.57u |
| Apr 2 | vs Penguins | W 6-3 | -162 | -1.5 | 6.5 | Over | +0.62u |
| Mar 31 | vs Canadiens | L 1-4 | -170 | -1.5 | 6.5 | Under | -1.00u |
| Mar 29 | vs Predators | W 3-2 | -185 | -1.5 | 6.5 | Under | +0.54u |
| Mar 28 | vs Senators | W 4-2 | -135 | -1.5 | 6.5 | Under | +0.74u |
| Mar 26 | vs Kraken | L 3-4 | -290 | -1.5 | 6.5 | Over | -1.00u |
| Mar 24 | vs Wild | W 6-3 | -148 | -1.5 | 6.5 | Over | +0.68u |
| Mar 22 | at Flames | L 3-4 | -175 | -1.5 | 6.5 | Over | -1.00u |
| Mar 21 | at Oilers | W 5-2 | -135 | -1.5 | 6.5 | Over | +0.74u |
Lightning betting FAQ
What is the Lightning betting record in 2025-26?
50-32 straight up, +1.24u on the moneyline at the close, 41-41 on the puck line and 43-39-0 on totals (the 2025-26 regular season).
How do the Lightning do at home and on the road?
Home 26-15 (+0.28u); road 24-17 (+0.96u).
How do the Lightning do on the second night of a back to back?
7-8 for -2.31u on the moneyline in 15 games.
Are the Lightning better as a favorite or an underdog?
As a favorite 43-28 (-2.14u). As an underdog 7-4 (+3.38u).
What was the Lightning' best betting season since 2016-17?
2018-19: 62-20, +18.73u. Worst: 2022-23, 46-36, -8.45u. All 11 seasons: 480-307, +8.10u.
Methodology
Some past seasons are missing a game or two that has no closing line on file or did not match ESPN's final score, so those games are left out: 2020-21: 56 of 56 games; 2022-23: 82 of 82 games; 2024-25: 82 of 82 games. Final scores, closing moneylines, the closing 1.5 puck line and closing totals for every regular season game come from the Bet Legend game database; playoff games are excluded. Results include overtime and shootouts, as sportsbooks grade them, and every game is checked against ESPN's official final score. Moneyline units risk 1 unit at the close. Puck line units (where shown) use the sportsbook closing puck line and price ESPN publishes. A back to back is a game played the day after the previous one. These are market results, not BetLegend picks; our own picks are on the NHL betting record page.