Kraken @ Devils
Wednesday, 7:00 PM ET | Prudential Center
Here's a matchup that looks straightforward on paper but gets interesting when you dig into the numbers. The Devils (23-21-2) are home favorites after knocking off Minnesota 5-2 in their last outing, but they've been one of the league's most frustrating teams to back this season. New Jersey ranks dead last in the NHL in offense at just 2.6 goals per game - that's brutal for a team with the talent they have. Jesper Bratt has been doing everything he can with 11 goals and 26 assists for 37 points, but he needs more help from a supporting cast that's been inconsistent at best.
Seattle rolls into Newark riding a wave of confidence after their 4-2 victory over the Rangers, and here's the number that should make you sit up: the Kraken are 7-1-2 in their last 10 games. That's not a fluke - this team has figured something out. They rank 4th in the league in goals against at 2.8 per game, and Joey Daccord has been solid between the pipes with a 12-10-5 record, .901 save percentage, and 2.8 GAA. Jordan Eberle leads the offense with 16 goals and 29 points, but it's the team defense that's carrying them right now.
The injury situation favors Seattle slightly here. The Devils are missing Stefan Noesen (knee), Marc McLaughlin (undisclosed), and Zack MacEwen (ACL), while the Kraken are without Matt Murray (lower body) and Brandon Montour (hand). Neither team is at full strength, but Seattle's depth has allowed them to weather their injuries better. The low total at 5.5 makes sense given both teams' defensive capabilities - Seattle's 4th-ranked defense against New Jersey's league-worst offense sets up for a tight, grinding affair.
Getting Seattle at +140 on the road against a struggling Devils team feels like value. The Kraken have been one of the league's best road teams lately, and New Jersey's offensive woes at home are well-documented. This isn't a spot to lay big money on the favorite - the Devils' inability to score makes the puck line at -192 especially unappealing. Look for a 3-2 type game where the Kraken's defensive structure frustrates the home crowd.