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Marlins vs Nationals Betting History
The Marlins and Nationals have met 175 times in the regular season since 2016, and the Nationals lead the series 93-82. Betting the Marlins on the closing moneyline in every meeting returned -11.78u; betting the Nationals returned -12.45u. The games went 83-81-11 against the total, leaning over.
Updated October 1, 2026. Closing lines, regular season meetings only, 2016 to 2026. How these numbers are calculated.
Marlins vs Nationals betting summary
The moneyline favorite won 114 of 170 meetings with a clear favorite (67.1%). Betting the favorite every time returned +14.68u; betting the underdog every time returned -38.00u. The Marlins were 74-101 on the run line in the series.
Marlins vs Nationals results by season
Moneyline units risk 1 unit on that team in every meeting at the closing price.
| Season | Games | Marlins record | Marlins ML units | Nationals ML units | Marlins run line | O/U/P | Avg total | Avg runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 | 9-4 | +3.25u | -4.56u | 7-6 | 6-6-1 | 8.35 | 8.31 |
| 2025 | 13 | 7-6 | -0.15u | -1.45u | 6-7 | 8-5-0 | 8.38 | 11.08 |
| 2024 | 13 | 2-11 | -8.19u | +7.75u | 3-10 | 4-7-2 | 8.42 | 8.23 |
| 2023 | 13 | 11-2 | +5.02u | -7.40u | 7-6 | 6-6-1 | 8.38 | 8.69 |
| 2022 | 19 | 15-4 | +6.58u | -10.22u | 12-7 | 6-10-3 | 7.95 | 7.42 |
| 2021 | 19 | 8-11 | -3.39u | +2.09u | 5-14 | 9-8-2 | 8.13 | 8.89 |
| 2020 | 9 | 5-4 | +0.92u | -0.99u | 5-4 | 6-3-0 | 7.78 | 10.56 |
| 2019 | 19 | 4-15 | -7.17u | +3.23u | 6-13 | 9-9-1 | 8.42 | 9.53 |
| 2018 | 19 | 6-13 | -3.43u | -0.25u | 7-12 | 13-6-0 | 8.29 | 11.11 |
| 2017 | 19 | 6-13 | -5.25u | +2.44u | 9-10 | 9-9-1 | 8.76 | 8.26 |
| 2016 | 19 | 9-10 | +0.03u | -3.08u | 7-12 | 7-12-0 | 7.71 | 7.47 |
| All | 175 | 82-93 | -11.78u | -12.45u | 74-101 | 83-81-11 | 8.24 | 8.96 |
Marlins vs Nationals by ballpark
| Venue | Games | Marlins record | Marlins ML units | Marlins run line | O/U/P | Avg total | Avg runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At Marlins home park | 86 | 44-42 | -2.60u | 31-55 | 39-40-7 | 7.92 | 8.81 |
| At Nationals home park | 89 | 38-51 | -9.18u | 43-46 | 44-41-4 | 8.55 | 9.10 |
Last 20 Marlins vs Nationals games with closing odds
| Date | Game | Score | Winner | Close ML (away / home) | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Marlins at Nationals | 3-6 | Nationals | -108 / +101 | 8.5 | Over |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Marlins at Nationals | 6-2 | Marlins | +108 / -116 | 9.5 | Under |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Marlins at Nationals | 4-5 | Nationals | -109 / +101 | 8 | Over |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Marlins at Nationals | 2-9 | Nationals | -134 / +125 | 8.5 | Over |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nationals at Marlins | 2-6 | Marlins | +147 / -158 | 8 | Push |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nationals at Marlins | 2-4 | Marlins | +172 / -185 | 7.5 | Under |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Nationals at Marlins | 2-3 | Marlins | +132 / -142 | 7.5 | Under |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Marlins at Nationals | 4-1 | Marlins | -117 / -103 | 8.5 | Under |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Marlins at Nationals | 7-3 | Marlins | -106 / -114 | 9 | Over |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Marlins at Nationals | 7-3 | Marlins | +115 / -138 | 8 | Over |
| May 10, 2026 | Nationals at Marlins | 2-5 | Marlins | +114 / -137 | 8.5 | Under |
| May 9, 2026 | Nationals at Marlins | 7-8 | Marlins | +135 / -163 | 8.5 | Over |
| May 8, 2026 | Nationals at Marlins | 3-2 | Nationals | +117 / -141 | 8.5 | Under |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Nationals at Marlins | 0-5 | Marlins | -170 / -186 | 8 | Under |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Nationals at Marlins | 3-8 | Marlins | -150 / -160 | 8.5 | Over |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Nationals at Marlins | 7-5 | Nationals | +100 / -130 | 9 | Over |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Nationals at Marlins | 15-7 | Nationals | +100 / -136 | 8 | Over |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Marlins at Nationals | 5-10 | Nationals | -160 / +100 | 9 | Over |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Marlins at Nationals | 2-5 | Nationals | -102 / -109 | 9 | Under |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Marlins at Nationals | 0-2 | Nationals | +106 / -123 | 8.5 | Under |
Marlins vs Nationals betting FAQ
Who leads the Marlins vs Nationals series since 2016?
The Nationals, 93-82 in 175 regular season meetings.
Is it profitable to bet the Marlins against the Nationals?
At closing moneylines the Marlins returned -11.78u (-6.7% ROI) over 175 games; the Nationals returned -12.45u.
Do Marlins vs Nationals games go over or under?
83 overs, 81 unders and 11 pushes against the closing total. The average total was 8.24 and the games averaged 8.96 runs.
How do the favorites do in Marlins vs Nationals games?
The moneyline favorite won 114 of 170 meetings with a clear favorite (67.1%). Betting the favorite every time returned +14.68u; betting the underdog every time returned -38.00u.
When did the Marlins and Nationals last play?
Aug 31, 2026: the Nationals won 6-3.
Methodology
Every regular season meeting since 2016 comes from the Bet Legend game database with its final score, closing moneylines, closing 1.5 run line and closing total, and each game is checked against ESPN's official final score; postseason meetings are not included. Moneyline units risk 1 unit at the close: a win at -150 pays +0.67u, a win at +130 pays +1.30u. Over and under compare total runs with the closing total, and an exact match is a push. A "clear favorite" is a game where the two closing moneylines differ. These are market results, not BetLegend picks.