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Marlins vs Phillies Betting History
The Marlins and Phillies have met 176 times in the regular season since 2016, and the Phillies lead the series 95-81. Betting the Marlins on the closing moneyline in every meeting returned +3.47u; betting the Phillies returned -6.01u. The games went 84-86-6 against the total, leaning under.
Updated October 1, 2026. Closing lines, regular season meetings only, 2016 to 2026. How these numbers are calculated.
Marlins vs Phillies betting summary
The moneyline favorite won 95 of 173 meetings with a clear favorite (54.9%). Betting the favorite every time returned -15.03u; betting the underdog every time returned +12.64u. The Marlins were 87-89 on the run line in the series.
Marlins vs Phillies results by season
Moneyline units risk 1 unit on that team in every meeting at the closing price.
| Season | Games | Marlins record | Marlins ML units | Phillies ML units | Marlins run line | O/U/P | Avg total | Avg runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 | 5-8 | -2.32u | +0.19u | 5-8 | 8-5-0 | 8.23 | 8.77 |
| 2025 | 13 | 4-9 | -4.27u | +0.76u | 7-6 | 7-5-1 | 8.35 | 9.23 |
| 2024 | 13 | 6-7 | +4.17u | -2.52u | 7-6 | 9-4-0 | 8.12 | 10.31 |
| 2023 | 13 | 7-6 | +2.07u | -1.81u | 7-6 | 6-7-0 | 8.12 | 9.15 |
| 2022 | 19 | 7-12 | -4.22u | +2.82u | 11-8 | 7-12-0 | 7.61 | 7.58 |
| 2021 | 19 | 10-9 | +3.26u | -2.12u | 11-8 | 8-11-0 | 7.58 | 7.74 |
| 2020 | 10 | 7-3 | +6.39u | -4.79u | 6-4 | 6-4-0 | 8.20 | 10.20 |
| 2019 | 19 | 10-9 | +5.74u | -4.44u | 10-9 | 9-9-1 | 8.45 | 10.53 |
| 2018 | 19 | 8-11 | +0.37u | -1.57u | 9-10 | 9-10-0 | 8.13 | 8.53 |
| 2017 | 19 | 8-11 | -4.97u | +5.55u | 6-13 | 10-8-1 | 9.00 | 10.32 |
| 2016 | 19 | 9-10 | -2.73u | +1.93u | 8-11 | 5-11-3 | 7.84 | 7.21 |
| All | 176 | 81-95 | +3.47u | -6.01u | 87-89 | 84-86-6 | 8.14 | 8.95 |
Marlins vs Phillies by ballpark
| Venue | Games | Marlins record | Marlins ML units | Marlins run line | O/U/P | Avg total | Avg runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At Marlins home park | 92 | 47-45 | +7.24u | 45-47 | 45-45-2 | 7.86 | 8.73 |
| At Phillies home park | 84 | 34-50 | -3.77u | 42-42 | 39-41-4 | 8.44 | 9.19 |
Last 20 Marlins vs Phillies games with closing odds
| Date | Game | Score | Winner | Close ML (away / home) | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Marlins at Phillies | 1-4 | Phillies | +131 / -141 | 9 | Under |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Marlins at Phillies | 4-6 | Phillies | +195 / -211 | 8 | Over |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Marlins at Phillies | 5-6 | Phillies | +232 / -252 | 8.5 | Over |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Phillies at Marlins | 6-8 | Marlins | -180 / +148 | 7.5 | Over |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Phillies at Marlins | 0-1 | Marlins | +114 / -137 | 8 | Under |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Phillies at Marlins | 7-8 | Marlins | -205 / +167 | 7.5 | Over |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Marlins at Phillies | 12-4 | Marlins | +103 / -124 | 9.5 | Over |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Marlins at Phillies | 2-8 | Phillies | +153 / -186 | 8.5 | Over |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Marlins at Phillies | 0-7 | Phillies | +162 / -198 | 8 | Under |
| May 4, 2026 | Phillies at Marlins | 1-0 | Phillies | -105 / -115 | 8.5 | Under |
| May 3, 2026 | Phillies at Marlins | 7-2 | Phillies | -135 / +112 | 8 | Over |
| May 2, 2026 | Phillies at Marlins | 0-4 | Marlins | +108 / -130 | 8.5 | Under |
| May 1, 2026 | Phillies at Marlins | 6-5 | Phillies | -115 / -105 | 7.5 | Over |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Marlins at Phillies | 0-1 | Phillies | +140 / -160 | 9 | Under |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Marlins at Phillies | 1-11 | Phillies | +164 / -186 | 8.5 | Over |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Marlins at Phillies | 6-5 | Marlins | +120 / -220 | 8 | Over |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Phillies at Marlins | 4-5 | Marlins | -160 / +110 | 9 | Push |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Phillies at Marlins | 4-2 | Phillies | -190 / +134 | 8 | Under |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Phillies at Marlins | 9-3 | Phillies | -300 / +230 | 8 | Over |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Phillies at Marlins | 2-1 | Phillies | -180 / +150 | 8 | Under |
Marlins vs Phillies betting FAQ
Who leads the Marlins vs Phillies series since 2016?
The Phillies, 95-81 in 176 regular season meetings.
Is it profitable to bet the Marlins against the Phillies?
At closing moneylines the Marlins returned +3.47u (+2.0% ROI) over 176 games; the Phillies returned -6.01u.
Do Marlins vs Phillies games go over or under?
84 overs, 86 unders and 6 pushes against the closing total. The average total was 8.14 and the games averaged 8.95 runs.
How do the favorites do in Marlins vs Phillies games?
The moneyline favorite won 95 of 173 meetings with a clear favorite (54.9%). Betting the favorite every time returned -15.03u; betting the underdog every time returned +12.64u.
When did the Marlins and Phillies last play?
Aug 19, 2026: the Phillies won 4-1.
Methodology
Every regular season meeting since 2016 comes from the Bet Legend game database with its final score, closing moneylines, closing 1.5 run line and closing total, and each game is checked against ESPN's official final score; postseason meetings are not included. Moneyline units risk 1 unit at the close: a win at -150 pays +0.67u, a win at +130 pays +1.30u. Over and under compare total runs with the closing total, and an exact match is a push. A "clear favorite" is a game where the two closing moneylines differ. These are market results, not BetLegend picks.