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Marlins vs Mets Betting History
The Marlins and Mets have met 175 times in the regular season since 2016, and the Mets lead the series 102-73. Betting the Marlins on the closing moneyline in every meeting returned -10.83u; betting the Mets returned -2.38u. The games went 84-80-11 against the total, leaning over.
Updated October 1, 2026. Closing lines, regular season meetings only, 2016 to 2026. How these numbers are calculated.
Marlins vs Mets betting summary
The moneyline favorite won 102 of 172 meetings with a clear favorite (59.3%). Betting the favorite every time returned -6.00u; betting the underdog every time returned -7.07u. The Marlins were 88-86 on the run line in the series.
Marlins vs Mets results by season
Moneyline units risk 1 unit on that team in every meeting at the closing price.
| Season | Games | Marlins record | Marlins ML units | Mets ML units | Marlins run line | O/U/P | Avg total | Avg runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 | 6-7 | -1.58u | +0.22u | 5-8 | 5-7-1 | 8.00 | 9.46 |
| 2025 | 13 | 7-6 | +1.99u | -3.78u | 8-5 | 6-7-0 | 7.88 | 10.31 |
| 2024 | 13 | 6-7 | +0.40u | -2.05u | 8-5 | 7-6-0 | 8.19 | 8.31 |
| 2023 | 13 | 4-9 | -5.45u | +4.41u | 3-9 | 5-8-0 | 7.88 | 7.23 |
| 2022 | 19 | 6-13 | -4.93u | +2.74u | 9-10 | 13-5-1 | 7.45 | 8.53 |
| 2021 | 19 | 9-10 | +2.27u | -2.59u | 12-7 | 8-10-1 | 7.29 | 7.05 |
| 2020 | 9 | 3-6 | -0.10u | +0.15u | 4-5 | 6-3-0 | 8.28 | 8.89 |
| 2019 | 19 | 6-13 | -2.31u | +0.59u | 9-10 | 10-7-2 | 7.76 | 8.68 |
| 2018 | 19 | 7-12 | -2.06u | +0.47u | 11-8 | 6-11-2 | 7.61 | 6.74 |
| 2017 | 19 | 12-7 | +4.80u | -5.48u | 12-7 | 9-7-3 | 8.58 | 9.53 |
| 2016 | 19 | 7-12 | -3.85u | +2.94u | 7-12 | 9-9-1 | 7.63 | 7.68 |
| All | 175 | 73-102 | -10.83u | -2.38u | 88-86 | 84-80-11 | 7.83 | 8.31 |
Marlins vs Mets by ballpark
| Venue | Games | Marlins record | Marlins ML units | Marlins run line | O/U/P | Avg total | Avg runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At Marlins home park | 85 | 38-47 | -6.56u | 37-48 | 45-35-5 | 7.88 | 8.55 |
| At Mets home park | 90 | 35-55 | -4.27u | 51-38 | 39-45-6 | 7.78 | 8.09 |
Last 20 Marlins vs Mets games with closing odds
| Date | Game | Score | Winner | Close ML (away / home) | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Mets at Marlins | 15-14 | Mets | +108 / -131 | 8.5 | Over |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Mets at Marlins | 7-5 | Mets | -105 / -115 | 8 | Over |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Mets at Marlins | 9-4 | Mets | +117 / -141 | 8 | Over |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Marlins at Mets | 2-0 | Marlins | -122 / +101 | 8.5 | Under |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marlins at Mets | 6-2 | Marlins | +112 / -135 | 9 | Under |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Marlins at Mets | 5-2 | Marlins | -101 / -120 | 8.5 | Under |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Marlins at Mets | 2-4 | Mets | +114 / -137 | 7 | Under |
| May 31, 2026 | Marlins at Mets | 1-10 | Mets | +133 / -161 | 7.5 | Over |
| May 30, 2026 | Marlins at Mets | 1-6 | Mets | +105 / -126 | 7 | Push |
| May 29, 2026 | Marlins at Mets | 7-9 | Mets | -105 / -115 | 7.5 | Over |
| May 24, 2026 | Mets at Marlins | 0-4 | Marlins | +108 / -131 | 8.5 | Under |
| May 23, 2026 | Mets at Marlins | 1-4 | Marlins | -108 / -112 | 8 | Under |
| May 22, 2026 | Mets at Marlins | 1-2 | Marlins | -101 / -120 | 8 | Under |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Mets at Marlins | 0-4 | Marlins | -121 / +113 | 8 | Under |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Mets at Marlins | 5-0 | Mets | -130 / +112 | 8.5 | Under |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Mets at Marlins | 2-6 | Marlins | -129 / +101 | 8.5 | Under |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Marlins at Mets | 5-1 | Marlins | -140 / -174 | 7.5 | Under |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Marlins at Mets | 11-8 | Marlins | -140 / -200 | 8 | Over |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Marlins at Mets | 9-19 | Mets | -140 / -164 | 8 | Over |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Marlins at Mets | 7-4 | Marlins | +110 / -225 | 8.5 | Over |
Marlins vs Mets betting FAQ
Who leads the Marlins vs Mets series since 2016?
The Mets, 102-73 in 175 regular season meetings.
Is it profitable to bet the Marlins against the Mets?
At closing moneylines the Marlins returned -10.83u (-6.2% ROI) over 175 games; the Mets returned -2.38u.
Do Marlins vs Mets games go over or under?
84 overs, 80 unders and 11 pushes against the closing total. The average total was 7.83 and the games averaged 8.31 runs.
How do the favorites do in Marlins vs Mets games?
The moneyline favorite won 102 of 172 meetings with a clear favorite (59.3%). Betting the favorite every time returned -6.00u; betting the underdog every time returned -7.07u.
When did the Marlins and Mets last play?
Sep 9, 2026: the Mets won 15-14.
Methodology
Every regular season meeting since 2016 comes from the Bet Legend game database with its final score, closing moneylines, closing 1.5 run line and closing total, and each game is checked against ESPN's official final score; postseason meetings are not included. Moneyline units risk 1 unit at the close: a win at -150 pays +0.67u, a win at +130 pays +1.30u. Over and under compare total runs with the closing total, and an exact match is a push. A "clear favorite" is a game where the two closing moneylines differ. These are market results, not BetLegend picks.