Milwaukee Brewers first baseman Jake Bauers swinging at American Family Field, where the Brewers host Minnesota on Sunday afternoon
Jake Bauers leads Milwaukee with 20 home runs while hitting .268 for a club that is 73-44 and 40-22 at American Family Field | Photo: MLB
Marquee Matchup
Brewers.TV / Twins.TV

Twins at Brewers

Sunday, 2:10 PM ET | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Milwaukee is 73-44, the best record in baseball, and 40-22 at American Family Field. The run differential of plus 140 is tied for the largest in the sport. Minnesota is 58-60, 28-33 on the road and 4-6 across its last ten. The market has Milwaukee at -258 with the Twins at +238 and the total posted at 7, the joint-lowest number on the board.

Jacob Misiorowski is the reason for both. In 21 starts he is 11-5 with a 1.63 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP and 195 strikeouts against 29 walks in 127 innings. Opponents are hitting .145. The strikeout rate of 13.82 per nine is the highest of any pitcher taking a mound today, and the WHIP is the sort of number that usually belongs to a reliever working 60 innings, not a starter approaching 130.

Connor Prielipp counters at 3-5 with a 4.75 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP across 15 starts, and he does miss bats: 81 strikeouts in 77.2 innings. What sits behind him is the problem. Minnesota's staff carries a 4.60 ERA that ranks 26th and has allowed 584 runs. The lineup is also short. Byron Buxton, who leads the club with 25 home runs, is on the ten-day injured list, and Joe Ryan and Pablo Lopez are both out of the rotation entirely.

Best Staff In Baseball
YES / BravesVision

Braves at Yankees

Sunday, 1:35 PM ET | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Atlanta is 70-47 and leads the National League East. New York is 66-51 and 4.5 games behind Tampa Bay in the American League East. The Braves are 8-2 in their last ten but have dropped the last two of this series. New York is priced at -141 with Atlanta at +131 and the total at 8.5.

Cam Schlittler has been the story of the New York season. He is 10-6 with a 2.26 ERA, a 0.95 WHIP and 171 strikeouts in 139.2 innings across 24 starts, and opponents hit .199 against him. The staff around him is the best in the majors: a 3.33 ERA and 447 runs allowed, both league-leading figures.

Grant Holmes goes for Atlanta at 7-4 with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP, and the number that stands out is 18 home runs allowed in 108 innings. Yankee Stadium is an unforgiving place to carry that trend. The counterweight is the New York lineup, which is hitting .231 as a team while playing without Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger and Giancarlo Stanton. Atlanta scores 4.91 runs a game, sixth best in baseball.

Nine Of Ten Against One Of Ten
NESN / NBCSCA

Athletics at Red Sox

Sunday, 1:35 PM ET | Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Boston is 64-52 and has won nine of its last ten. The Athletics are 46-71 and have won one of their last ten. Boston sits -223 with the visitors at +207 and a total of 9.5, the second-highest number on the board.

The listed Boston starter is Erik Miller, and he has made zero starts in 2026. His season is 35 innings of relief with a 2.57 ERA, 49 strikeouts and a rate of 12.60 per nine. This is an opener in front of a bullpen day, which Boston can afford because the staff as a whole owns a 3.51 ERA that ranks third in baseball.

J.T. Ginn is the more conventional arm here, 8-6 with a 3.51 ERA, 105 strikeouts in 115.1 innings and a .212 opponent average. What he cannot fix is the roster behind him. Brent Rooker is on the sixty-day list, and Nick Kurtz, Shea Langeliers and Zack Gelof are all on the ten-day, which removes most of the middle of the Oakland order. The staff ERA of 5.45 is second worst in the majors and the club has allowed 671 runs in 117 games.

Bieber's Eighth Start Back
Sportsnet / NBCSP

Blue Jays at Phillies

Sunday, 1:35 PM ET | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Philadelphia is 62-56 and second in the National League East. Toronto is 56-62 and fifteen games behind Tampa Bay. The Phillies are -223 with Toronto at +207 and the total at 8.5. This is today's BetLegend featured game and it gets a full breakdown here.

Jesus Luzardo has been Philadelphia's most reliable starter: 10-5, a 3.36 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP and 164 strikeouts in 136.2 innings, a rate of 10.80 per nine. Behind him Kyle Schwarber has hit 33 home runs and Bryce Harper has driven in 71.

Shane Bieber is eight starts into a comeback season and the numbers say the arm is still finding itself: 3-2 with a 5.11 ERA, a 1.68 WHIP and 28 strikeouts in 37 innings, with opponents hitting .284. Toronto also brings the second-lowest scoring offense in baseball at 3.92 runs a game. Kazuma Okamoto has carried what production there is with 24 home runs and 70 RBI.

Best Road Record In Baseball
SportsNet LA / DBACKS.TV

Dodgers at Diamondbacks

Sunday, 4:10 PM ET | Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ

Los Angeles is 70-47 and 37-24 away from Dodger Stadium, the best road record in the majors. Arizona is 62-56 and 34-25 at Chase Field. The Dodgers are -141 with Arizona at +131 and the total at 9.

Justin Wrobleski has been the quiet arm in the Los Angeles rotation at 11-3 with a 3.31 ERA, a 1.07 WHIP and 91 strikeouts against just 24 walks in 117 innings. Eighteen starts, twenty-four walks. That control profile travels well into a park that punishes anybody who puts free runners on.

Eduardo Rodriguez has the better ERA of the two at 2.71 over 136.1 innings, though his 45 walks are nearly double Wrobleski's figure. Arizona's larger problem is attrition: Corbin Burnes, Zac Gallen, Ryne Nelson, A.J. Puk and Justin Martinez are all on the sixty-day injured list, with Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Jordan Lawlar on the ten-day. Los Angeles has its own gaps, having lost seven of its last ten while playing without Blake Snell, Tyler Glasnow and Will Smith.

Two Low ERAs By The Bay
NBCS BA / Detroit SportsNet

Tigers at Giants

Sunday, 4:05 PM ET | Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA

Detroit is 57-60 but carries a plus 85 run differential, the sixth largest in baseball, because the pitching has been excellent while the offense has not. San Francisco is 49-68 and 21 games out in the National League West. Detroit is -119, the Giants +111, and the total is 7.5.

Troy Melton has 12 starts and a 1.58 ERA, a 0.91 WHIP and a .170 opponent batting average across 74 innings. Detroit's staff ranks fourth in the majors at 3.52. What the club does not have is bats. Kerry Carpenter and Matt Vierling are on the ten-day list and Parker Meadows is on the sixty-day.

Logan Webb is 7-7 with a 3.74 ERA, and the number that defines his season is nine home runs allowed in 125 innings. He has a 1.11 WHIP and a .230 opponent average, and he is pitching in the park least likely to let a mistake leave. San Francisco scores 4.14 runs a game, 25th in the sport, and the injured list currently holds Matt Chapman, Harrison Bader, Casey Schmitt, Marcelo Mayer, Victor Bericoto and Jesus Rodriguez.

A Pick'em At T-Mobile
Mariners.TV / Rays.TV

Rays at Mariners

Sunday, 4:10 PM ET | T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Tampa Bay is 70-46, leads the American League East and has won five straight. Seattle is 56-62 and has lost seven of ten. The market still calls it even: both sides sit at -104 with the total at 7, the joint-lowest on the board.

The reason is the ballpark and the Rays' road split. Tampa Bay is 41-18 at home and 29-28 away from it, and Seattle is 33-28 at T-Mobile Park. Ian Seymour brings an 8-3 record with a 4.27 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP and 99 strikeouts in 84.1 innings across eight starts, so the strikeouts are there even when the run prevention has wobbled.

Emerson Hancock has been steadier: 6-6 with a 3.33 ERA, a 1.07 WHIP and 108 strikeouts in 116.1 innings. Seattle's problem has never been the pitching, which ranks eighth at 3.78. It is a lineup that scores 3.91 runs a game, the lowest figure in the majors, and hits .229 as a team.

Highest Total On The Board
Marquee Sports Network / Royals.TV

Cubs at Royals

Sunday, 2:10 PM ET | Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO

The total here is 10.5, two full runs above the next-highest number on the board, and the reason is Kansas City's pitching. The Royals carry a 4.79 staff ERA that ranks 28th and have allowed 592 runs, a run differential of minus 102. Chicago is -158 with Kansas City at +142.

The Cubs are 68-50 and score 5.12 runs a game, second most in baseball, with 604 runs in 118 games. Matthew Boyd takes the ball at 7-1 with a 3.59 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP across 13 starts, a tidy line for a club that needs its rotation to hold while the offense does the heavy work.

Kansas City lists Randy Dobnak, who has made four starts and 31 innings this season with a 1.16 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. The strikeout rate is the caveat: 15 strikeouts in 31 innings works out to 4.35 per nine, which is the lowest figure of any starter working today. Against a lineup that has scored 604 runs, contact tends to find grass.

Baseball's Best Offense
Peacock / NBCSN

Reds at Nationals

Sunday, 12:15 PM ET | Nationals Park, Washington, DC

Washington leads all of baseball at 5.34 runs a game with 636 runs in 119 games, and the club is still only 58-61, because the staff has given back 618 of them behind a 4.74 ERA that ranks 27th. This is the first national television window of the day and the market is essentially even, Washington -105 and Cincinnati -103 with a total of 9.

Brady Singer starts for Cincinnati at 5-10 with a 4.67 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP, and he has allowed 21 home runs in 113.2 innings, the highest total of any starter on today's board. Nationals Park is not the venue to correct that.

Brad Lord answers for Washington with a 3.81 ERA over 59 innings, though only one of his appearances has been a start, so this profiles as another short-outing day for a bullpen that has already absorbed a heavy load. Cincinnati counters with the 23rd-ranked offense at 4.15 runs a game and a .229 team average that ties for the lowest in the majors.

First Place In The Central
Chicago Sports Network / Guardians.TV

Guardians at White Sox

Sunday, 2:10 PM ET | Rate Field, Chicago, IL

Chicago is 60-56 and leads the American League Central, which is the sentence nobody wrote in March. The home record is the engine: 35-22 at Rate Field against 25-34 on the road. Cleveland is 58-60, three games back, and priced at -125 with the White Sox at +116 and a total of 8.5.

Joey Cantillo has made 24 starts for Cleveland with a 3.87 ERA and 129 strikeouts in 118.2 innings, but the 1.47 WHIP and 56 walks tell you how he gets there. He has been an inning-eater who works from behind more often than the ERA suggests.

Davis Martin counters at 9-6 with a 4.13 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP and 107 strikeouts across 122 innings, and only 10 home runs allowed. Cleveland's difficulty is the bat rack: 3.98 runs a game ranks 28th, the team average is .233, and the Guardians have lost seven of ten.

A .336 Opponent Average
Cardinals.TV / Rockies.TV

Rockies at Cardinals

Sunday, 2:15 PM ET | Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO

St. Louis is 58-59 and 3.5 games out of the last National League wild card, which makes every home game against a 46-71 club matter more than the standings gap suggests. The Cardinals are -158, Colorado +147, and the total sits at 9.

Michael Lorenzen brings the most difficult line on the board: 3-10 with a 6.94 ERA, a 1.85 WHIP and a .336 opponent batting average across 107.2 innings and 23 starts, with 17 home runs allowed and 43 walks. Behind him is a Colorado staff whose 5.48 ERA is the worst in baseball and whose 671 runs allowed is tied for the most.

Michael McGreevy has been the opposite kind of pitcher for St. Louis, 4-9 despite a 3.59 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 120.1 innings, the record a product of a lineup that scores 4.34 runs a game. He has given up 16 home runs. Colorado can hit even when it cannot pitch, ranking seventh in the majors at 4.82 runs a game, though the road record of 19-39 says most of that damage happens a mile above sea level.

Third-Best Offense In Baseball
SNY / SportsNet Pittsburgh

Mets at Pirates

Sunday, 1:35 PM ET | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA

Pittsburgh scores 5.05 runs a game, third most in baseball, and is still 58-61, because the staff has allowed 570. That is the whole 2026 Pirates season in two numbers. They are -140 here with the Mets at +131 and a total of 8.

Jared Jones starts for Pittsburgh with a 4.02 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP and 62 strikeouts in 56 innings across 12 outings. The rate stats are strong and the innings are not, which is why the Pittsburgh bullpen has been asked to cover so much ground this summer.

Sean Manaea goes for New York at 3-5 with a 4.33 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 97.2 innings, only 10 of which came as starts. The Mets are 51-67 and 19.5 games out in the National League East, scoring 4.14 runs a game with a .234 team average.

35-24 At Home
Marlins.TV / ABTV

Angels at Marlins

Sunday, 1:40 PM ET | loanDepot park, Miami, FL

Miami is 59-59 and exactly .500, but the home and road split is dramatic: 35-24 at loanDepot park against 24-35 away from it. The Angels are 45-72 and 20-39 on the road, the worst travelling record in baseball. Miami is -142 with Los Angeles at +132 and a total of 8.5.

Grayson Rodriguez starts for the Angels carrying a 7.24 ERA, a 1.59 WHIP and a .292 opponent average across 51 innings in 11 outings. Los Angeles has allowed 563 runs behind a 4.48 staff ERA that ranks 24th.

Ryan Gusto answers for Miami at 0-3 with a 4.80 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP in 45 innings, so neither side is sending a settled arm. The difference is behind them: Miami's staff ERA of 3.97 ranks tenth and the club has allowed 506 runs, 57 fewer than the Angels in the same number of games.

Half A Game Out
Rangers Sports Network / MASN

Orioles at Rangers

Sunday, 2:35 PM ET | Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX

Texas is 59-58 and has won four in a row, which leaves the Rangers half a game behind Houston in the American League West. Baltimore is 56-61 and has lost three straight. Texas is -124 with the Orioles at +116 and the total at 8.

Kumar Rocker starts for Texas at 4-8 with a 4.08 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP and 98 strikeouts in 108 innings across 19 starts. The record undersells him. Texas scores 4.14 runs a game, 24th in baseball, which is how a pitcher with a league-average ERA ends up eight games under.

Cade Povich has been used sparingly for Baltimore, four starts and 25.1 innings with a 3.91 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. The Orioles are 24-31 on the road and their staff has allowed 556 runs, a minus 38 differential that has kept them three games out of the last wild card without ever quite dropping out of it.

Sunday Night Baseball
NBC / Peacock

Astros at Padres

Sunday, 8:20 PM ET | Petco Park, San Diego, CA

The national night game closes the board. San Diego is 61-57 and one game out of the final National League wild card. Houston is 60-58 and leads the American League West by half a game over Texas. The Padres are -119 with Houston at +111 and the total at 9.

Cristian Javier starts for Houston, five outings into his season with a 6.59 ERA, a 1.68 WHIP and a .290 opponent average over 27.1 innings. Houston's staff as a whole has struggled at 4.57, 25th in the majors, with 571 runs allowed against an offense that has produced 548.

San Diego's case is the ballpark and the bullpen. The Padres are 33-26 at Petco Park and their staff ERA of 4.18 ranks 17th while the lineup scores only 4.21 runs a game. Both clubs are within a game of a playoff spot in different leagues, which is why a mid-August Sunday night draws the national window.