Twins at Brewers
Sunday, 2:10 PM ET | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Milwaukee is 73-44, the best record in baseball, and 40-22 at American Family Field. The run differential of plus 140 is tied for the largest in the sport. Minnesota is 58-60, 28-33 on the road and 4-6 across its last ten. The market has Milwaukee at -258 with the Twins at +238 and the total posted at 7, the joint-lowest number on the board.
Jacob Misiorowski is the reason for both. In 21 starts he is 11-5 with a 1.63 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP and 195 strikeouts against 29 walks in 127 innings. Opponents are hitting .145. The strikeout rate of 13.82 per nine is the highest of any pitcher taking a mound today, and the WHIP is the sort of number that usually belongs to a reliever working 60 innings, not a starter approaching 130.
Connor Prielipp counters at 3-5 with a 4.75 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP across 15 starts, and he does miss bats: 81 strikeouts in 77.2 innings. What sits behind him is the problem. Minnesota's staff carries a 4.60 ERA that ranks 26th and has allowed 584 runs. The lineup is also short. Byron Buxton, who leads the club with 25 home runs, is on the ten-day injured list, and Joe Ryan and Pablo Lopez are both out of the rotation entirely.
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