St. Louis Cardinals right-hander Hunter Dobbins delivering a pitch, starting against Philadelphia at Busch Stadium
Hunter Dobbins is 2-2 with a 3.40 ERA in his first seven MLB starts, facing a Philadelphia rotation piece who has allowed a 6.08 ERA this season | Photo: MLB
Fourteen Wins, Two Losses
NESN / Sportsnet

Red Sox at Blue Jays

Monday, 7:07 PM ET | Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON

Boston is 64-53 and has won eight of its last ten. Toronto is 56-63 and has actually matched that pace at 6-4, so the standings gap is wider than the recent form suggests. Boston is -162 with Toronto at +151 and the total set at 8.

Sonny Gray is having the best season of his career: 14-2 with a 2.79 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP and 110 strikeouts in 125.2 innings. Fourteen wins is the highest total of any starter on tonight's board, and Boston's staff behind him carries a 3.50 team ERA that ranks among the best in the sport.

Jameson Taillon counters at 2-6 with a 5.68 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP and 75 strikeouts in 84 innings. Toronto scores 3.92 runs a game, one of the lower marks in the majors, which is the reason the Blue Jays have stayed competitive on volume rather than power against a rotation this thin.

Eight Wins In The Last Ten
SNY / BravesVision

Mets at Braves

Monday, 7:15 PM ET | Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Atlanta is 71-47 and has won eight of its last ten. New York is 52-67, 19 games back in the National League East. Atlanta is -136 with the Mets at +127 and the total at 8.5.

Bryce Elder starts for the Braves at 8-6 with a 4.03 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP and 108 strikeouts in 131.2 innings. Atlanta scores 4.88 runs a game, sixth best in the majors, and is 39-20 at Truist Park.

Christian Scott answers for New York at 3-3 with a 3.45 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP and 98 strikeouts in 78.1 innings, a strong rate for a pitcher without much win support behind him. The Mets score 4.22 runs a game and are 27-33 on the road, and a rotation this shallow rarely gets favorable trips into a division leader's home park.

A Coin Flip At Target Field
MASN / Twins.TV

Orioles at Twins

Monday, 7:40 PM ET | Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Baltimore is 57-61 and Minnesota is 58-61, practically the same record with the total set at 8.5 and the moneyline essentially even, Minnesota -106 and Baltimore -101. Both clubs are 5-5 or better over their last ten, Baltimore at 5-5 and Minnesota at 4-6.

Trevor Rogers starts for Baltimore at 7-7 with a 4.21 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP and 102 strikeouts in 119.2 innings. The Orioles score 4.45 runs a game and are 25-31 away from Camden Yards.

Dean Kremer takes the mound for Minnesota at 1-4 with a 5.36 ERA in a limited 47 innings, though he has missed bats at a decent clip, 46 strikeouts in that span. Minnesota's staff ERA of 4.57 sits well outside the league's better tier, which keeps this one of the more evenly priced games on the board.

A 6.08 ERA Meets A Rookie's 3.40
NBC Sports Phil / Cardinals.TV

Phillies at Cardinals

Monday, 7:45 PM ET | Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO

Philadelphia is 63-56 and St. Louis is 59-59, and the Phillies are priced at -113 with the Cardinals at +105 and the total set at 9, one of the higher numbers on tonight's board.

Andrew Painter has had a difficult first full season: 1-8 with a 6.08 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP and 69 strikeouts in 80 innings. The strikeout stuff is still present. The results have not caught up, and 30 walks in 80 innings is a big part of why.

Hunter Dobbins has been the opposite story for St. Louis, 2-2 with a 3.40 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP and 42 strikeouts in 45 innings across his first seven starts. St. Louis scores 4.33 runs a game and is 30-33 at home, a below-.500 home mark for a team that is 3.5 games out of the last wild card and needs results like this one to stay in the picture.

Strikeouts On Both Sides
Rangers Sports Network / Angels.TV

Rangers at Angels

Monday, 9:38 PM ET | Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA

Texas is 59-59 and the Angels are 45-73, the second-worst record in the American League, though the price is nearly a pick'em: Texas -106, Los Angeles -101, total 7.5. Los Angeles has lost seven of its last ten.

MacKenzie Gore has been up and down for Texas, 6-9 with a 4.55 ERA but 140 strikeouts in 128.2 innings, one of the higher strikeout totals of any pitcher working tonight. Texas scores 4.14 runs a game and is 27-32 on the road.

Reid Detmers has quietly put together the best strikeout season of his career for the Angels, 3-8 with a 4.12 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP and 150 strikeouts in 129 innings. The win-loss record is a product of a Los Angeles offense that scores just 4.10 runs a game, 20-39 on the road and the worst travelling club in the sport this season.

A Return From The Injured List
Rockies.TV / DBACKS.TV

Rockies at Diamondbacks

Monday, 9:40 PM ET | Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ

Arizona is 63-56 and has won its last game. Colorado is 46-72 and 19-40 on the road, and the Diamondbacks are priced at -204 with Colorado at +189 and the total set at 8.5. This is part of tonight's BetLegend card, with a full breakdown of the Arizona team total here.

Michael Soroka gets the ball for Arizona in his own return from the injured list, back from a left glute strain that had sidelined him since June 19th. Before the injury he was 8-3 with a 3.07 ERA across 15 starts, the best mark of any Arizona starter.

Gabriel Hughes starts for Colorado at 4.25 ERA over 29.2 innings in limited MLB time, and he was hit for five runs in his last outing. Colorado owns the worst team ERA in baseball at 5.48, though the lineup can hit, seventh in the majors at 4.82 runs a game, with most of that damage coming at altitude rather than on the road.

Marquee Matchup
Brewers.TV / Padres.TV

Brewers at Padres

Monday, 9:40 PM ET | Petco Park, San Diego, CA

Milwaukee is 74-44, the best record in baseball, and opens a three-game series at Petco Park. San Diego is 62-57 and 8.5 games behind the Dodgers in the National League West. Milwaukee is -121, San Diego +113, and the total is 7, tied for the lowest number on the board. This is today's BetLegend featured game and it gets a full breakdown here.

Logan Henderson has been outstanding in his rookie season: 6-1, a 2.70 ERA, a 0.90 WHIP and 62 strikeouts against just 10 walks in 50 innings. Behind him Jake Bauers has hit 21 home runs and William Contreras has driven in 86 runs.

Casey Mize counters for San Diego at 4-7 with a 3.40 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP and 86 strikeouts in 90 innings, rate stats that outperform his record. Manny Machado leads the Padres with 23 home runs and 70 RBI, and San Diego's staff ERA of 4.16 sits nearly three-quarters of a run behind Milwaukee's 3.47.

A Second Start After A Trade
Rays.TV / NBC Sports CA

Rays at Athletics

Monday, 9:40 PM ET | Sutter Health Park, West Sacramento, CA

Tampa Bay is 71-46, the best record in the American League, and has won six straight. Oakland is 47-71 and has lost eight of its last ten. Tampa Bay is -158 with Oakland at +147 and the total set at 10, the highest number on tonight's board. This is part of tonight's BetLegend card, with a full breakdown of the Rays moneyline here.

Freddy Peralta makes his second start for Tampa Bay after a rough debut, six days removed from a 3.2-inning, seven-run outing at Coors Field. With the Mets before the trade he carried a 4.99 ERA over 113.2 innings.

Jacob Lopez starts for Oakland at 5.64 ERA over 75 innings, though his last three outings have been solid, including nine strikeouts in five innings against Cincinnati on August 5th. Oakland's team pitching staff carries a 5.41 ERA that ranks among the worst in the majors.

Two Thin Sample Sizes
Space City Home Network / NBC Sports BA

Astros at Giants

Monday, 9:45 PM ET | Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA

Houston is 60-59 and leads the American League West. San Francisco is 49-69 and has lost seven of its last ten. Houston is -140 with the Giants at +130 and the total set at 8.

Hayden Wesneski starts for Houston with only 11.2 innings on the season, a 3.86 ERA and 8 strikeouts across two outings, too small a sample to lean on heavily either way. Houston scores 4.62 runs a game.

Blade Tidwell answers for San Francisco with 17 innings, a 3.18 ERA and 13 strikeouts, also an early-career sample. San Francisco scores 4.11 runs a game and the club's staff ERA of 4.37 ranks in the bottom half of the league, a tough combination against a Houston lineup that leads the American League West.

The Second Turn For A Two-Time Cy Young Winner
Royals.TV / SportsNet LA

Royals at Dodgers

Monday, 10:10 PM ET | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA

Los Angeles is 70-48 but 2-8 in its last ten games. Kansas City is 49-70 and 20-40 on the road. Los Angeles is priced at -282 with Kansas City at +259 and the total set at 7.5, the closing game of tonight's national board. This is part of tonight's BetLegend card, with a full breakdown of the Dodgers run line here.

Tarik Skubal makes his second start for Los Angeles after a dominant debut, six innings and two runs allowed against the Cubs on August 4th. With Detroit before the trade he was 7-5 with a 2.79 ERA over 96.2 innings.

Noah Cameron starts for Kansas City, and his last two outings have been the best of his season: 16 combined innings, one earned run allowed, both against Minnesota. Kansas City's staff ERA of 4.84 ranks near the bottom of the league, but Cameron himself is throwing the best baseball of his year at the worst possible time for a Royals club trying to avoid a sweep-type week.