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Hawks +2.5 at Rockets

Posted: March 20, 2026 | NBA Regular Season

Atlanta Hawks forward Jalen Johnson shooting against the Orlando Magic, the Hawks have won 11 straight games heading into tonight's matchup at Houston
Jalen Johnson and the Hawks have ripped off 11 straight wins, ranking first in the NBA in scoring during the streak at 124 a night | Photo: AP

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Eleven straight wins. That is not a hot streak. That is a full-blown transformation. The Atlanta Hawks walk into Toyota Center tonight as the most dangerous team in the NBA right now, and the market is only asking you to lay 2.5 points with them. This is a team that ranks first in the league in scoring during this run at 124 a night, first in rebounding at 49.2, and is posting a ridiculous +17.8 net rating over the last 11 contests. Houston is a good team, but getting points with a squad playing this well is the kind of number you take and do not think twice about.

Jalen Johnson Is Playing Like a Top-10 Player

Jalen Johnson has arrived. The first-time All-Star is averaging 22.9 points, 10.5 rebounds, and 8.1 assists this season, and those are not empty numbers on a bad team anymore. He is the engine of an 11-game winning streak, posting 42 double-doubles and 13 triple-doubles on the year. Johnson is not just stuffing stat sheets either. He is making winning plays, controlling pace, and carrying the Hawks through fourth quarters. Against Dallas on Wednesday, Johnson put up 17 points, 11 rebounds, and 9 assists as Atlanta rolled to a 135-120 victory. The man is a walking triple-double threat every time he steps on the floor, and Houston's defense has to account for that versatility all night long.

The Supporting Cast Is Showing Up Every Night

This is not a one-man show. Nickeil Alexander-Walker erupted for 41 points against the Magic on Monday, shooting 9-of-15 from three, and then came back with 22 more against Dallas. CJ McCollum poured in 24 against the Mavericks. The depth is real, the confidence is sky-high, and the Hawks are getting production from multiple sources every single night during this streak. When a team has that kind of balance, it becomes incredibly hard to game plan against. You can load up on Johnson and someone else beats you. You spread the defense out and Johnson goes to work. Atlanta has options right now, and that flexibility is what makes them so dangerous.

Houston Has Shown Cracks

The Rockets are 41-27, but this is not a team that has been untouchable lately. They got demolished 145-120 by San Antonio on March 8, and their recent wins have come against the Raptors and Pelicans, two of the weakest teams in the league. Amen Thompson has been solid since the All-Star break, averaging 18.4 points, 8.0 rebounds, and 4.9 assists, but Houston has not faced anything close to the kind of firepower Atlanta is bringing into this building tonight. A team averaging 124 a night over 11 straight wins is a completely different animal than Toronto or New Orleans.

The Bottom Line

The Hawks are 38-31 and surging. The win streak is their longest since 2014-15 and only their third 10-plus game streak since 2000. Atlanta's defensive rating during this stretch sits at 104.2, proving this is not just an offensive explosion but a team that has locked in on both ends. You are getting points with the hottest team in basketball, led by an All-Star playing the best ball of his career, with a supporting cast that is firing from every angle. Houston is home, but the number is too thin against a team playing at this level. Take the Hawks and the 2.5.

Final Pick

Hawks +2.5

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