Rockets @ Thunder
Saturday, 3:30 PM ET | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
The defending champion Thunder (40-12) host a Houston squad (31-19) that's been one of the West's most consistent teams all season, and this game is all about the players who won't be on the floor for OKC. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who was averaging 31.8 PPG before going down with an abdominal strain, is out through the All-Star break. Jalen Williams (hamstring) and Ajay Mitchell (abdomen) are also sidelined. That's three critical pieces of Oklahoma City's offensive engine in street clothes, and the 4.5-point spread reflects just how much that changes the calculus here.
Houston has Kevin Durant playing at an elite level this season, putting up 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 4.5 assists while shooting 50.8% from the field and 39.9% from deep. The Rockets' only notable absence is Jae'Sean Tate (wrist), which is manageable. This is the kind of game where Houston's full-strength roster should have a significant advantage over a decimated Thunder lineup, and Ime Udoka's squad has to view this as a prime opportunity to make a statement in the Western Conference standings.
The 215.5 total is one of the lowest on the board today, and it makes sense. Without SGA and Williams, Oklahoma City's offense takes a massive hit. The Thunder will lean into their defense-first identity, and Houston isn't a team that pushes pace recklessly either. Chet Holmgren, Lu Dort, and Isaiah Hartenstein will carry the load for OKC, but asking them to generate enough offense to keep pace with KD and the Rockets is a tall order. The question is whether OKC's championship-caliber home court and defensive culture can compensate for the firepower they're missing.