Big Ten Rivalry
CBS

#2 Michigan @ Ohio State

Sunday, 1:00 PM ET | Value City Arena, Columbus, OH
Spread
MICH -9.5
Moneyline
MICH Heavy Fav
Total
O/U 159.5

This is the game of the day in college basketball, and it doesn't take much convincing to understand why. The No. 2 Michigan Wolverines, at a staggering 21-1 overall and 11-1 in Big Ten play, travel down I-71 to Columbus for a rivalry rematch that has major implications for the conference title race and NCAA Tournament seeding. Michigan has been an absolute buzzsaw this season, running through the Big Ten with a level of consistency that very few teams in the country can match. Their 21-1 record puts them firmly in the conversation for a No. 1 seed in March, and a convincing road win at Ohio State would only strengthen that case. The Wolverines don't just beat teams, they beat them convincingly, and the 9.5-point spread on the road tells you exactly how much respect the market has for this group.

The first meeting between these two was a fascinating chess match that offered a glimpse into what makes this rivalry so special. Michigan won 74-62 on January 23rd, but the game was far more competitive than the final score suggests. There were 12 lead changes before the Wolverines finally pulled away in the final five minutes, which tells you Ohio State wasn't just hanging around. The Buckeyes were right there, trading punches with the No. 2 team in the country for 35 minutes before Michigan's depth and talent eventually overwhelmed them. That first meeting is both encouraging and concerning for Ohio State. Encouraging because they proved they can compete possession-for-possession with one of the best teams in America. Concerning because the final five minutes showed the gap that still exists when the intensity ramps up and every play matters.

Ohio State comes in at 15-7 overall and 7-5 in Big Ten play, a record that puts them squarely on the NCAA Tournament bubble. For the Buckeyes, this isn't just a rivalry game, it's a resume-building opportunity that could define their March Madness hopes. A win over the No. 2 team in the country at home would be one of the best wins on any team's resume this season, and the Value City Arena crowd knows it. Expect the building to be absolutely electric from the opening tip, with every Ohio State student section chant designed to rattle Michigan's composure. Home court advantage in Big Ten rivalries is real and measurable, and the Buckeyes will feed off that energy to try and keep this game tight into the closing minutes.

The 159.5 total is one of the higher marks you'll see in college basketball, suggesting both offenses should be clicking. Michigan's offensive machine has been relentless all season, and they have the kind of versatility that makes them nearly impossible to game-plan against. Ohio State, for their part, needs to push tempo and create chaos, because playing a controlled half-court game against a disciplined Michigan team is a recipe for a double-digit loss. If the Buckeyes can force turnovers, get out in transition, and get the crowd involved early, they have a legitimate shot at making this uncomfortable for Michigan. But if the Wolverines weather the early storm and impose their will in the half-court, that 9.5-point spread could be right on the money.

Big 12 Conference
FOX

#13 Texas Tech @ West Virginia

Sunday, 1:00 PM ET | Hope Coliseum, Morgantown, WV
Spread
TTU -4.5
Moneyline
TTU Fav
Total
O/U 136.5

Don't sleep on this one. The No. 13 Texas Tech Red Raiders (16-6, 6-3 Big 12) head to Morgantown for one of the trickiest road trips on the Big 12 calendar, and the 4.5-point spread doesn't fully capture just how difficult the Hope Coliseum can be for visiting teams. West Virginia has been dominant at home this season, riding a long home winning streak, and that's not a coincidence. The Coliseum is one of the loudest, most intimidating environments in all of college basketball, a concrete cauldron where the fans sit right on top of the court and opposing teams struggle to hear their own play calls. Texas Tech has the superior roster on paper, but paper doesn't play basketball in Morgantown. The atmosphere does, and the Mountaineers know exactly how to use it.

JT Toppin has been the engine that drives Texas Tech this season, and his numbers are absolutely ridiculous. At 21.8 points and 10.9 rebounds per game, Toppin is one of the most dominant two-way players in the country, a physical force who can take over a game on both ends of the floor. When Toppin is rolling, Texas Tech becomes incredibly difficult to beat because he creates mismatches that cascade through the entire defense. Pair that with Christian Anderson's playmaking, at 19.6 points and 7.5 assists per game, and the Red Raiders have a one-two punch that can beat you from anywhere on the court. Anderson's ability to run the offense and create for others takes pressure off Toppin, and when both guys are cooking, Texas Tech's ceiling is as high as anyone's in the Big 12.

West Virginia (15-8, 6-4 Big 12) has been a completely different team inside the Hope Coliseum compared to their road persona. That dominant home record is the kind of number that makes road favorites sweat, and it's built on defensive intensity, physicality, and a crowd that refuses to let their team lose at home. The Mountaineers play a grinding, physical style that's perfectly suited for their environment, and they won't back down from Texas Tech's star power. The Big 12 is a league where home court advantage still matters enormously, and West Virginia has proven all season that the Coliseum gives them an edge that transcends raw talent. Texas Tech begins the second half of Big 12 play with this trip, and it's the kind of road test that separates pretenders from contenders.

The 136.5 total tells you everything you need to know about the pace this game will be played at. This is going to be a rock fight, a grind-it-out, half-court battle where every possession feels like it matters. Neither team is going to give up easy baskets, and the game will likely be decided by which team executes better in the clutch moments. Texas Tech's talent advantage is real, but West Virginia's home court advantage is equally real. Something has to give, and it's going to make for compelling television on FOX. If the Mountaineers can keep this in the low 60s, they have a real shot at pulling the upset. If Texas Tech can push the pace even slightly and get Toppin going early, they'll be tough to stop regardless of the environment.

Big Ten Conference
BTN

USC @ Penn State

Sunday, 12:00 PM ET | Bryce Jordan Center, University Park, PA
Spread
USC -3.5
Moneyline
USC Fav
Total
O/U 155.5

The Big Ten's expansion continues to produce intriguing matchups that would have felt like fantasy just a few years ago. USC making the cross-country trip to Happy Valley is still a novelty for college basketball fans, and this game has the feel of two programs still figuring out their identity in a new conference landscape. The Trojans are installed as 3.5-point road favorites, which tells you the market believes USC has a meaningful talent edge despite playing in one of the tougher environments on the Big Ten circuit. The Bryce Jordan Center is no joke when Penn State has something to play for, and this matchup could be tighter than the spread suggests.

The 155.5 total indicates the market expects an up-tempo game with both teams capable of putting the ball in the basket. USC's offensive versatility has been a strength this season, with the Trojans able to score from multiple levels and create advantages through ball movement and driving lanes. Penn State will need to match that offensive output while simultaneously finding ways to disrupt USC's rhythm on the defensive end. Big Ten home courts have been nightmares for visiting teams all season, and Penn State will try to use that energy to keep this game competitive into the final minutes. This is a solid early-afternoon appetizer before the marquee games tip off later in the day.

Big Ten Conference
FS1

Northwestern @ Iowa

Sunday, 3:00 PM ET | Carver-Hawkeye Arena, Iowa City, IA
Spread
IOWA -13.5
Moneyline
IOWA Heavy Fav
Total
O/U 140.5

This is one of the biggest spreads you'll see in a Big Ten conference game, and Iowa's dominance at Carver-Hawkeye Arena is a major reason why. The Hawkeyes are laying 12.5 points against a Northwestern team that has struggled mightily on the road in conference play, and the market is essentially saying this one won't be close. Iowa plays a physical, aggressive style at home that suffocates opponents who don't have the firepower to keep pace, and Northwestern has shown all season that they lack the consistent scoring punch needed to hang with the upper tier of the Big Ten. The Wildcats will need a near-perfect shooting performance to stay within striking distance, and that's a tough ask in a hostile road environment.

Iowa's home court advantage at Carver-Hawkeye has been well-documented this season. The Hawkeyes' fans bring energy that directly impacts the game, and opponents routinely shoot worse from the field in Iowa City than they do at home. Northwestern's struggles on the road make this a particularly difficult spot, and the Wildcats will need to find ways to generate offense against an Iowa defense that tightens the screws in the second half. The 140.5 total suggests a grind-it-out affair where Iowa controls pace and tempo, which plays directly into the Hawkeyes' strengths. For Northwestern, this is about competing, staying engaged, and trying to keep the deficit manageable. For Iowa, it's about putting the foot on the gas early and never letting up.

Big 12 Conference
CBSSN

UCF @ Cincinnati

Sunday, 2:00 PM ET | Fifth Third Arena, Cincinnati, OH
Spread
CIN -4.5
Moneyline
CIN Fav
Total
O/U 145.5

Two Big 12 newcomers continue to find their footing in one of the deepest conferences in college basketball. Cincinnati is a 3.5-point home favorite at Fifth Third Arena, and the Bearcats have the defensive identity and home court advantage to justify that line. UCF has shown flashes of competitiveness in Big 12 play, but road games in this conference are a different animal entirely, and the Knights will need to bring their best effort to compete in Cincinnati. This is a game that both teams need for bubble positioning, and the urgency should produce a competitive, intense atmosphere from start to finish.

The 145.5 total suggests a moderately paced game where both offenses should find some rhythm, but neither team is going to light up the scoreboard. Cincinnati's defensive toughness at home has been a calling card this season, and they'll look to impose their will on the defensive end and make UCF uncomfortable in the half-court. The Knights, for their part, will need to be efficient with their possessions and avoid the kind of extended scoring droughts that kill road teams in conference play. This is a classic Big 12 mid-tier battle where the team that executes better in the little moments, the box-outs, the loose balls, the 50-50 plays, will come out on top.