No. 12 Arizona State vs No. 13 Baylor
Tuesday, 12:30 PM ET | T-Mobile Center, Kansas City | ESPN+
This is what conference tournament basketball is all about. Two teams seeded near the bottom of the Big 12, fighting tooth and nail in Kansas City with their seasons hanging in the balance. Arizona State and Baylor are staring down the same reality: neither program is getting an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament. The Big 12 Tournament is their only lifeline, and the loser goes home for good. That desperation makes these first-round games some of the most entertaining basketball you'll watch all year.
Arizona State as the No. 12 seed reflects a season that never quite found consistent footing in the loaded Big 12. The Sun Devils have the athleticism to compete with anybody in the conference on a given night, but putting together 40 minutes of complete basketball has been the challenge all year. Bobby Hurley's team plays an aggressive, uptempo style that can overwhelm opponents when it's clicking, but it can also lead to stretches of sloppy turnovers and defensive lapses that better teams exploit.
Baylor at the 13 seed has had its own share of struggles, but the Bears are a program with championship DNA and a coaching staff that knows how to prepare for March. Scott Drew has been to the mountaintop before, and his teams always seem to find an extra gear in the conference tournament. The neutral site in Kansas City should suit both teams fine, and whoever executes better in the halfcourt and takes care of the basketball will advance to face the No. 5 seed tomorrow.
Conference tournament openers between lower seeds are coin-flip games by nature, and the atmosphere at T-Mobile Center during the Big 12 Tournament is always electric regardless of who's playing. This one comes down to which team handles the pressure of a do-or-die game better, and in March, that's often the team with the more experienced backcourt and the cooler heads when the game gets tight in the final five minutes.