Game 1
League Pass

Hornets @ Magic

Thursday, 7:00 PM ET | Kia Center
Spread
ORL -6.5
Moneyline
ORL -260
Total
O/U 228.5

The Magic have quietly assembled one of the best defenses in basketball, and tonight they get a Charlotte team that's struggled to find any consistency all season. Orlando's defensive identity starts with Paolo Banchero, who has evolved into a two-way force in his fourth NBA season, combining elite rim protection awareness with switchable perimeter skills. The Magic allow just 106.8 points per 100 possessions at home, third-best in the league, and Charlotte's offense isn't equipped to crack that code.

Charlotte (16-27) enters this one losers of four straight, and their offensive metrics paint a dire picture. The Hornets rank 26th in offensive rating at 108.4, with LaMelo Ball's inconsistent availability continuing to plague their ability to string together quality performances. When Ball plays, Charlotte scores at a league-average clip. When he doesn't, they look like a lottery team, which is exactly what they are. Miles Bridges has shouldered the scoring load admirably, but he's not a primary creator, and the supporting cast lacks punch.

Orlando (26-17) sits firmly in the East's top four and has legitimate championship aspirations if their young core continues developing. Franz Wagner's emergence as a closer has been the story of their season, averaging 25.3 points with clutch shot after clutch shot. The Magic's size advantage in this matchup is significant, as they rank 6th in rebounding while Charlotte sits at 24th. Expect Orlando to dominate the glass, limit Charlotte's second chances, and control tempo throughout. The 6.5-point spread feels right given the stark talent disparity between these two rosters. Orlando's defense travels, and their home floor amplifies an already significant edge.

Game 2
ESPN

Rockets @ 76ers

Thursday, 7:30 PM ET | Xfinity Mobile Arena | ESPN
Spread
HOU -1.5
Moneyline
HOU -125
Total
O/U 220.5

Kevin Durant has made Houston believers. The Rockets (25-15) acquired the future Hall of Famer from the franchise in that massive summer trade, and he's delivered exactly what they paid for, averaging 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 4.6 assists while shooting with his trademark efficiency. Durant gives Houston something they haven't had since the Harden era: a truly elite closer who can get a bucket in any situation against any defense. The Rockets' championship odds have skyrocketed, and they enter this one having won three straight.

Philadelphia (22-18) counters with Tyrese Maxey, who is flat-out balling. The All-Star guard is averaging a ridiculous 30.0 points per game, third in the entire NBA, while adding 6.7 assists and 2.1 steals. Maxey has become the engine that makes this Sixers offense functional, especially with Joel Embiid's availability always in question. When healthy, Philly has the firepower to match anyone. The question is whether they can sustain it for 48 minutes against Houston's suffocating defense.

The Rockets rank 4th in defensive rating at 108.9, a remarkable achievement given their offensive explosiveness. Alperen Sengun has evolved into one of basketball's most unique players, a 6'10" passing savant who averages 6.4 assists while controlling the paint. Houston leads the entire NBA in rebounding (49.2 RPG), and their ability to dominate the glass could neutralize Philadelphia's size advantage. The 1.5-point spread with Houston as road favorites tells you everything about the market's respect for what Ime Udoka has built. Durant in primetime against Maxey? This is appointment viewing. The total of 220.5 suggests a defensive slugfest despite both teams' offensive talent, and the under has real appeal given both defenses' elite metrics.

Game 3
League Pass

Nuggets @ Wizards

Thursday, 7:00 PM ET | Capital One Arena
Spread
DEN -5.5
Moneyline
DEN -220
Total
O/U 231.5

Nikola Jokic's return timeline remains murky after his left knee hyperextension, but the Nuggets have somehow kept winning without the three-time MVP. Denver (29-14) ranks third in the Western Conference and leads the entire NBA in scoring at 122.6 points per game, a testament to Michael Malone's system and the depth on this roster. Jamal Murray has stepped into the primary creator role magnificently, while Michael Porter Jr. provides the spacing that makes Denver's motion offense deadly.

Washington (8-34) is in full tank mode, holding the worst record in the Eastern Conference and the second-worst in the entire league. The Wizards' -12.4 net rating is historically bad, and their 123.7 defensive rating allows opponents to score at will. This is a developmental year, with Bilal Coulibaly showing flashes as a two-way wing and Jordan Poole gunning for his numbers regardless of efficiency. Kyle Kuzma trade rumors persist, and this team's focus is squarely on the lottery.

The total of 231.5 reflects Denver's pace and Washington's defensive incompetence. The Nuggets average 100.5 possessions per game, fourth-fastest in the league, and Washington's inability to defend creates the perfect storm for a track meet. Even without Jokic, Denver should cruise here. The 5.5-point spread seems light given the talent disparity, but the Nuggets have occasionally sleepwalked through games against inferior opponents. Aaron Gordon's defensive versatility and second-unit playmaking from Christian Braun provide insurance even if the starters check out early. This profiles as a stress-free Denver victory by double digits.

Game 4
TNT

Warriors @ Mavericks

Thursday, 8:30 PM ET | American Airlines Center | TNT
Spread
GS -4.5
Moneyline
GS -185
Total
O/U 232.5

Cooper Flagg's NBA coming-out party continues tonight against the Warriors. The first overall pick out of Duke has exceeded even the loftiest expectations, averaging 18.8 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 4.1 assists while showing the two-way impact that made him the consensus top prospect. Dallas's roster (post-trade) to the Lakers last summer, and despite the growing pains, the future looks bright in Big D. Flagg's ability to create for himself and others while defending multiple positions suggests franchise cornerstone potential.

Golden State (24-19) is surging behind vintage Steph Curry. The 37-year-old earned his 11th All-Star start and leads the league in three-pointers made at 4.5 per game while averaging 27.6 points. Jimmy Butler's arrival from Golden State in February 2025 gave the Warriors a second star who can close games, and their 12-4 record over the last 16 games has vaulted them into the playoff picture. the former star's knee injury from Sunday's win over Miami looms large, though; if he's out, the Warriors' depth gets tested against a young, athletic Dallas squad.

The total of 232.5 accounts for Dallas's pace (4th in the league at 101.2 possessions per game) and Golden State's lethal three-point shooting. This game has shootout potential if both teams run. The 4.5-point spread feels heavy for a road favorite against a team with nothing to lose, but Curry's track record in nationally televised games is immaculate. Flagg vs. Curry is the generational clash everyone wanted, with the GOAT shooter facing the kid who might eventually challenge for that title. Dallas keeps it competitive through three quarters before Golden State's experience and shot-making pulls away.

Game 5
League Pass

Bulls @ Timberwolves

Thursday, 8:00 PM ET | Target Center
Spread
MIN -9.5
Moneyline
MIN -450
Total
O/U 239.5

Anthony Edwards is playing the best basketball of his life, and the numbers are absolutely staggering. In January alone, Ant has scored at least 23 points in every appearance while averaging 29.9 points on ridiculous efficiency. Last Monday, he dropped a career-high 55 points on San Antonio, including 39 in the second half, nearly engineering an impossible comeback from 25 down at halftime. At 24 years old, Edwards has already eclipsed 10,000 career points, becoming just the seventh player in NBA history to reach that milestone before turning 25. He's a legitimate MVP candidate.

Minnesota (27-17) ranks 7th in the Western Conference but has championship aspirations built around Edwards, Rudy Gobert, and their elite defense. The Timberwolves allow just 114.5 points per 100 possessions (11th), and their length creates problems for opposing offenses. Karl-Anthony Towns provides offensive punch from the five, while Jaden McDaniels has emerged as one of basketball's best wing defenders. This is a team built to win in the playoffs, with versatility and shot-making at every position.

Chicago (21-22) is the definition of mediocre. The Bulls' 9th-place Eastern Conference standing tells you everything about their ceiling, and their -3.4 net rating confirms they're closer to the lottery than the playoffs. since their February roster changes, Coby White has had an inconsistent season as the primary ball-handler. Chicago's 118.1 defensive rating (25th) creates mismatch problems against Edwards, who torches mediocre defenses routinely. The 9.5-point spread is significant, but Minnesota at home is a different animal. Target Center's atmosphere amplifies Edwards' energy, and the Bulls don't have the defensive personnel to slow him down. Expect a vintage Ant performance in a comfortable Wolves victory.

Game 6
League Pass

Spurs @ Jazz

Thursday, 9:00 PM ET | Delta Center
Spread
SA -12.5
Moneyline
SA -700
Total
O/U 238.5

Victor Wembanyama is putting on a clinic this season, and the 12.5-point spread tells you everything about the disparity between these two franchises. The 7'4" phenomenon earned his first NBA All-Star start selection and celebrated with back-to-back dominant performances, including a 33-point, seven-three-pointer explosion against Utah's division rivals. Wemby is averaging 24.5 points, 10.9 rebounds, 3.0 assists, and a league-leading 2.6 blocks while shooting 52% from the field and 39% from deep. He's a unicorn in the truest sense, a generational talent redefining what's possible for a 7-footer.

San Antonio (27-12) sits second in the Western Conference, a remarkable turnaround from last year's lottery finish. The Spurs rank 2nd in rebounding (46.7 RPG) and 7th in opponent points allowed (112.8), establishing themselves as a legitimate contender when Wembanyama is on the floor. Despite missing 12 games with injuries this season, the alien from France has pushed this franchise to heights nobody anticipated. His efficiency improvements have been remarkable, shooting career-bests across the board while expanding his three-point volume.

Utah (14-28) is in full tank mode, holding the third-worst record in the Western Conference. The Jazz allow 126.9 points per game, dead last in the NBA, a defensive sieve that elite offenses exploit ruthlessly. Lauri Markkanen (27.9 PPG) continues putting up empty calories on a losing team, while rookie Ace Bailey shows flashes. This is a development year focused on lottery positioning, not wins. The 12.5-point spread is massive, but Wembanyama against Utah's non-existent rim protection is almost unfair. Expect the Spurs to push tempo, dominate the glass, and coast to a comfortable road victory. The only question is whether San Antonio pulls the starters early enough to let Utah backdoor cover.

Game 7
ESPN

Lakers @ Clippers

Thursday, 10:00 PM ET | Intuit Dome | ESPN
Spread
LAC -1.5
Moneyline
LAC -120
Total
O/U 224.5

The Battle of LA takes on new meaning this season with Luka Doncic in purple and gold. The Lakers (25-16) acquired the Slovenian superstar from the Lakers last summer in a blockbuster that sent Cooper Flagg's draft rights and a treasure chest of picks to the the Lakers. Luka has been everything LA hoped for, averaging a ridiculous 33.5 points, 7.7 rebounds, and 8.7 assists while forming a devastating duo with LeBron James. At 40 years old, LeBron has embraced a secondary playmaking role, averaging 22.7 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 7.0 assists over his last 10 games.

The Clippers (18-23) are trying to find their identity in the post-Kawhi-Jimmy era. LA shipped both stars out over the past two seasons and is rebuilding around James Harden and a collection of complementary pieces. Their 5-16 start was the worst month in franchise history, but a recent surge has provided hope. The Clippers have won 12 of their last 16 games, climbing back into the play-in picture with improved defense and Harden's playmaking driving the bus. Their 36.8% three-point shooting (10th) keeps them competitive when shots are falling.

This rivalry game at Intuit Dome, the Clippers' sparkling new arena, provides the atmosphere for drama. The 1.5-point spread is essentially a pick'em, suggesting the market views these teams as evenly matched despite the Lakers' superior record. Luka vs. Harden is the backcourt battle that will define this game, a chess match between two of basketball's craftiest creators. The total of 224.5 accounts for both teams' defensive improvements, as LA ranks 22nd while the Clippers have climbed to 11th over their recent surge. Expect a tight, physical contest decided in the final minutes. The Lakers have the star power edge, but the Clippers' home court and defensive intensity keep this one close throughout.

Game 8
League Pass

Heat @ Trail Blazers

Thursday, 10:00 PM ET | Moda Center
Spread
POR -1.5
Moneyline
POR -120
Total
O/U 239.5

Miami's post-their roster rebuild centers around Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo, and the results have been mixed. The Heat (21-19) sit 7th in the Eastern Conference, a far cry from the Finals runs of recent years but respectable given the roster turnover. Herro earned All-Star honors last season and has continued his development as a primary creator, showcasing the scoring prowess that made him a three-point contest champion. Andrew Wiggins, acquired in the Butler trade, provides wing scoring and defensive versatility.

Portland (19-23) is in a fascinating spot, neither tanking nor contending. The Trail Blazers' young core of Scoot Henderson, Shaedon Sharpe, and Anfernee Simons has shown flashes, but consistency remains elusive. Henderson's playmaking has improved dramatically in his second season, and Sharpe's athletic scoring brings highlight plays nightly. This is a team figuring out its identity, with flashes of brilliance mixed with frustrating losses. Their 117.9 offensive rating (14th) shows the talent exists; the 118.5 defensive rating (27th) explains the losing record.

The total of 239.5 is the highest on tonight's slate, reflecting both teams' inability to get stops. This profiles as a track meet where whoever gets the last possession wins. Miami's culture and playoff experience should matter, but Portland's home court and rest advantage (Miami on the second night of a back-to-back after traveling cross-country) flip the script. The 1.5-point spread with Portland as home favorites is fascinating given Miami's pedigree. Expect a high-scoring affair with minimal defense from either side. Herro and Simons trading buckets down the stretch is the most likely scenario, with Portland's fresh legs providing just enough edge to escape with a narrow victory.