Canucks @ Avalanche
Wednesday, 8:30 PM ET | Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Nathan MacKinnon is on a mission. With 120 points on the season (49 goals, 71 assists) and sitting just four points behind Connor McDavid in the Art Ross race, every single game from here on out carries enormous individual significance for Colorado's superstar center. The Avalanche (49-14-10, 108 points) have already clinched a playoff berth and sit comfortably atop the Central Division, but don't mistake that security for complacency. MacKinnon has been playing with an intensity that suggests the Art Ross Trophy is very much his primary objective down the stretch, and tonight's matchup against the league's worst team is exactly the kind of game where he can close the gap in a hurry. He's been on a tear lately, with Colorado winning five of their last six and coming off a 9-2 demolition of Calgary that felt like a statement of intent.
Vancouver (21-44-8, 50 points) is living through the worst season in franchise history, and there's no sugarcoating how bad things have gotten on the West Coast. The Canucks have lost six straight, their 50 points through 73 games is a historically awful pace, and the vibes around this organization have cratered to a level that makes next season's rebuild feel like a welcome relief. Kevin Lankinen has been hung out to dry behind a porous defense all year, posting an 8-23-5 record with a 3.62 GAA and an .876 save percentage that tells you everything about what the poor guy has been dealing with. Vancouver isn't coming into Ball Arena with any realistic expectation of winning this game, and the -435 moneyline confirms the market feels the same way.
Colorado will be without Cale Makar, who's dealing with an upper-body injury, and that's the one wrinkle that keeps this game from being a total afterthought. Makar is one of the best defensemen on the planet, and his absence from the lineup changes the complexion of the Avalanche's transition game and power play significantly. The good news for Colorado is that Scott Wedgewood has been absolutely magnificent this season, posting a 16-1-4 record with a 2.01 GAA and a .924 save percentage that makes him one of the most efficient goalies in the league. Wedgewood, or potentially Mackenzie Blackwood, will be between the pipes tonight, and either option gives the Avs a massive advantage in net over whatever Vancouver throws out there.
The 6.5 total is worth watching closely. Colorado has the offensive firepower to push this game well over by themselves, especially with MacKinnon hunting points and the supporting cast riding a wave of confidence after that Calgary blowout. Vancouver's defense has been a sieve all season, allowing goals at a rate that would make most coaches lose sleep, and the altitude factor at Ball Arena only compounds the problem for visiting teams. The Canucks' legs tend to get heavy in the third period in Denver, and that's when the Avalanche's depth really takes over. The puck line at COL -1.5 (-177) is the most interesting number here, because Colorado hasn't just been winning games lately, they've been winning them emphatically. Against the league's worst team, a multi-goal victory feels more like an expectation than a stretch.