USC @ Wisconsin
Sunday, 4:00 PM ET | Kohl Center | Big Ten Network
The Kohl Center hosts a fascinating Big Ten clash as Eric Musselman brings his USC Trojans to Madison to face Greg Gard's surging Wisconsin Badgers. Both teams enter at 14-5 overall, but the conference standings tell a vastly different story. Wisconsin sits at an impressive 6-2 in Big Ten play with a five-game winning streak, while USC has stumbled to 3-5 in conference action, dropping their last two games to Purdue and Northwestern. That recent form disparity explains why the Badgers have been installed as 7.5-point home favorites in a building where they've been nearly unbeatable this season.
Wisconsin is absolutely rolling right now, and their recent destruction of Iowa tells you everything you need to know about where this program is at. The Badgers set season highs in assists (25) and three-pointers (15) while establishing new benchmarks in offensive rebounds (14), points in the paint (42), and fast-break points (19). During their five-game winning streak, Wisconsin is averaging a scorching 88.6 points per game while shooting an absurd 41.0% from beyond the arc. John Tonje has emerged as one of the most dangerous scorers in the conference, and Steven Crowl provides the inside-out balance that makes this offense so difficult to guard.
USC's Struggles Away From Los Angeles
The Trojans come into Madison desperately needing a signature road win to salvage their NCAA Tournament hopes. At 3-5 in conference play, Eric Musselman's squad is teetering on the wrong side of the bubble, and consecutive losses to Purdue and Northwestern have exposed some concerning weaknesses. Chad Baker-Mazara leads USC with 18.6 points per game and has been phenomenal, but he needs help. Utah transfer Ezra Ausar has come alive recently, averaging 16.2 points and 5.9 rebounds, providing the secondary scoring option this team desperately needs.
The problem for USC is that they're walking into one of the most hostile environments in college basketball. The Kohl Center crowd is raucous when Wisconsin is rolling like this, and the Trojans haven't shown the mental toughness on the road to handle that kind of pressure. Their loss at Northwestern was particularly concerning, falling to a team that Wisconsin handled with ease earlier this season. The 7.5-point spread might seem manageable, but Wisconsin's ability to extend leads with their hot shooting makes garbage-time covers difficult for opponents.
3PT%: 41.0% (Last 5)
PPG: 88.6 (Win Streak)
Home Court: Elite
Leader: Baker-Mazara 18.6 PPG
Last 2 Games: 0-2
Road Struggles: Concerning
The Bottom Line
This is a classic case of two teams going in opposite directions. Wisconsin is playing their best basketball of the season with a five-game winning streak and shooting the lights out from three-point range. USC is reeling from consecutive conference losses and faces an uphill battle in one of the toughest road environments in the Big Ten. The 159.5 total is intriguing given Wisconsin's recent offensive explosion, but the Badgers' ability to control tempo and execute in the half-court makes this a fascinating watch. The spread suggests a comfortable Wisconsin victory, and their recent form certainly supports that projection.