Inter Host Como At San Siro In Coppa Italia Semifinal Second Leg Decider

Inter Milan walk into San Siro for the second leg of this Coppa Italia semifinal with a Serie A context that keeps shifting every week. The Nerazzurri have scored a combined 12 goals across their last three matches, an average of four per game, and that run of form has come across both domestic league and Champions League fixtures. Simone Inzaghi's in-game tactical rotations with Lautaro Martinez, Marcus Thuram, and Mehdi Taremi across the front three have been the single biggest offensive lever. Federico Dimarco's left-side width and Denzel Dumfries' right-wing overlaps are the structural advantages over Como's lower-possession build out.

The first leg at the Sinigaglia finished 0-0 in a match that Inter controlled possession but struggled to convert the final-third opportunities they generated. Cesc Fabregas' Como setup out of possession was the story of the 90 minutes. The defensive block with Alberto Moreno, Edoardo Goldaniga, and Marc-Oliver Kempf did not break even on sustained Inter attacks. Nico Paz's creative midfield performance produced the single most dangerous Como moment of the game but the finishing touch didn't land. With the tie level at zero and no away-goals rule in effect, Tuesday's 90 minutes plus potential extra time plus penalty shootout will decide who progresses to the Stadio Olimpico final.

Nico Paz's absence is the Como headline in the second leg. The Argentine midfielder's suspension removes the creative hub that produced the first leg's best chance for the visitors, and Fabregas will almost certainly shift to a more defensive midfield setup with Sergi Roberto or Maximo Perrone taking the creative responsibilities. Como arrive at San Siro without a win in any competition since March 22, when they beat Sassuolo 3-1 at home. The two most recent Serie A fixtures were losses, and the mid-table comfort of their league position has been disrupted by the cup concentration.

Inter's realistic tactical blueprint is to press Como's build-out from the opening whistle, force a turnover in the middle third within the first ten minutes, and generate an early goal that forces Como to chase the game. Once Como has to commit numbers forward, the Nerazzurri's counter-attack with Marcus Thuram's pace and Hakan Calhanoglu's transition passing becomes the most dangerous offensive weapon in Serie A. Nicolo Barella's late-arriving runs into the box are the goal-scoring dimension Inter have added across the 2025-26 season, and he's a real candidate to score in this kind of controlled-possession environment against a lower-block opponent.

Como's path to the final is the exact same one they executed at the Sinigaglia. Block the central channels, force Inter to move the ball sideways into wide areas, win the second-ball battles, and try to produce one or two transition moments where Paz-substitute creativity unlocks a chance for Alvaro Morata, Patrick Cutrone, or Tasos Douvikas at the point of the attack. Winning at San Siro is a 15-to-20 percent probability outcome given the Inter home-field advantage and the recent scoring run, but the Sinigaglia first leg proved the tactical approach works at least defensively.

The betting market has Inter as heavy favorites to win the tie with the moneyline on Tuesday's match in the -300 to -400 range for an Inter regulation win, Como in the +900 to +1200 range for an outright away victory, and the draw in the +400 to +500 range. The total sits at 2.5 goals with the over slightly favored. A 2-0 or 3-0 Inter home-leg win is the modal outcome. A 1-0 Inter win that goes through to the final on aggregate is the second-most-likely scenario. A Como goal combined with Inter clinical finishing produces a 2-1 result that still sends the Nerazzurri to Rome. Kick-off 21:00 CEST on Mediaset in Italy, Paramount+ in the US.