Premier League
Sky Sports

Sunderland vs Burnley

Monday, 3:00 PM ET | Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Sunderland
-139
Draw
+265
Burnley
+390

A battle between two promoted sides with vastly different trajectories in their first Premier League season. Sunderland have been the surprise package of the campaign, remaining unbeaten at the Stadium of Light with 6 wins and 5 draws from their 11 home matches. Their home form has been exceptional, and the passionate Wearside faithful have created a fortress atmosphere that visiting teams have struggled to penetrate.

Burnley, on the other hand, find themselves in a relegation dogfight. Languishing in 19th place with just 3 wins and a 13% win percentage, the Clarets have been particularly poor on the road, winning just once in 11 away games. Their defensive record is alarming, having conceded 44 goals, the second-worst in the division. Without a drastic improvement, Burnley are heading straight back to the Championship.

The bookmakers have Sunderland as -139 favorites, giving them an implied 58% probability of victory. That line seems fair given Sunderland's dominant home record and Burnley's woeful away form. The Under 3 goals at -154 is worth considering, as both teams have shown a tendency toward lower-scoring affairs in recent weeks. Sunderland have the quality to win this comfortably, and a 2-0 scoreline at +575 offers decent value for those looking for a correct score play.

Serie A
Paramount+

Udinese vs Roma

Monday, 2:45 PM ET | Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
Udinese
+335
Draw
+270
Roma
-111

AS Roma travel to Udine looking to continue their impressive run under Gian Piero Gasperini. The Giallorossi sit third in Serie A with 14 wins, and their defensive solidity has been particularly impressive, conceding just 13 goals all season. Gasperini's tactical acumen has transformed Roma into genuine title contenders, and they've won their last 6 matches against Udinese in all competitions.

Udinese have shown mixed form under Kosta Runjaic, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches. The Friulani struggle to create consistent attacking play, and facing a Roma side that excels at shutting down opponents will be a significant challenge. Their home form has been decent, but they've rarely faced a team of Roma's current quality this season.

The Under 2.5 goals at -154 looks attractive here. Roma have seen under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 Serie A matches, reflecting their defensive approach and controlled style of play. Both Teams to Score "No" at -127 is another angle worth considering, as Roma's defense has been miserly and Udinese struggle to find the net consistently. Roma should grind out a low-scoring victory, likely by a 1-0 or 2-0 margin.

La Liga
ESPN+

Mallorca vs Sevilla

Monday, 3:00 PM ET | Estadi de Son Moix, Palma
Mallorca
+145
Draw
+220
Sevilla
+180

An intriguing La Liga clash between two mid-table sides with European aspirations. Mallorca have been solid at home this season, making the Estadi de Son Moix a difficult place for visitors. Their pragmatic approach under Javier Aguirre has yielded consistent results, and they're well-positioned to push for a Europa League spot if they can maintain their home form.

Sevilla, the perennial Europa League specialists, are having a transitional season under their new management. The Nervionenses have struggled for consistency, though they remain dangerous on their day. Their away record has been particularly inconsistent, making this trip to Mallorca a challenging fixture.

This looks like a cagey affair between two evenly-matched sides. Mallorca's home advantage should see them through, but the +145 price suggests the market views this as a genuine toss-up. The draw at +220 offers value for those expecting a tight, tactical battle. Under 2.5 goals is the play here, as both teams prioritize defensive structure and rarely engage in high-scoring shootouts.