The back-to-back World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers visit Busch Stadium for the NL marquee on Friday night. Emmet Sheehan draws the road start for the Dodgers with a 2-0 record, a 4.78 ERA, and 28 strikeouts on the season. Matthew Liberatore counters for the Cardinals with an 0-1 mark, a 4.75 ERA, and 19 strikeouts across six starts. Sheehan's stuff profile has produced the kind of swing-and-miss percentage that has held a top spot in the rotation since returning from the Tommy John recovery, and his command profile against a Cardinals lineup built around Nolan Arenado and Willson Contreras will define the early innings.
The Dodgers' lineup against right-handed starting pitching has been the cleanest in baseball. Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, Shohei Ohtani, and Will Smith all sit in the run-scoring profile that has driven LA's offensive net rating across the spring. Liberatore's path to a quality start runs through getting the early outs against the top of that order, and his stuff profile has produced enough ground-ball rate to keep the home-run variance environment manageable. The Busch Stadium environment is one of the more pitcher-friendly venues in the National League, and the early-season weather has produced totals in the 7.5-8.5 range that the Friday market is reflecting. The Cardinals' bullpen has been the late-game answer that has held the team's net rating positive even on starts where the rotation arm produces fewer innings than projected.