Avalanche @ Maple Leafs
Sunday, 1:30 PM ET | Scotiabank Arena
The Colorado Avalanche are playing hockey at a level we haven't seen since their 2022 Cup run, and arguably, this year's edition is even more dominant. At 34-6, they hold an absurd 20-2 record on the road, terrorizing opponents from coast to coast. Nathan MacKinnon is in the midst of another Hart Trophy campaign, posting 72 points in 40 games while quarterbacking the NHL's most lethal power play at 32.4%.
The Avalanche's depth is what separates them from the pack. Mikko Rantanen continues to devastate defenses with his net-front presence, while Cale Makar is redefining what it means to be an offensive defenseman with 58 points already. Alexandar Georgiev has been rock-solid in net, posting a .921 save percentage that ranks 5th among qualified goaltenders. Colorado's expected goals share of 58.7% leads the league by a wide margin.
Toronto, meanwhile, has been maddeningly inconsistent. At 24-18, they're firmly in the playoff mix but lack the killer instinct of true contenders. Auston Matthews has been limited by a nagging hip injury, though he's still managing nearly a point per game. The Leafs are 7-2 straight up in their last 9 home games, but that stretch came against mostly inferior competition. The over has hit in five of Toronto's last six games, as their defensive structure continues to leak goals.
The 6.5 total feels spot-on for a game featuring two offensively-minded teams. Colorado averages 4.12 goals per game on the road, while Toronto's home defense has allowed 3.1 goals per game. With both power plays clicking, special teams could determine the outcome. Colorado is simply on another level right now, and the home crowd at Scotiabank Arena may witness an Avalanche masterclass.